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So how fricked are we for the WC?

Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:10 am
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
70770 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:10 am
Now that the 32 teams are decided, I've been running draw simulations.

Belgium
USA
Chile
England

Brazil
USA
Nigeria
Italy

Brazil
USA
Ivory Coast
England

Switzerland
USA
Nigeria
Greece (would have gay sex with Blatter if we got this)

Argentina
USA
Ghana
Portugal

Brazil
USA
Ghana
Greece
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76634 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:15 am to
I drew Uruguay, Italy and France and then Argentina, France and Portugal in consecutive simulations.

It could suck. A lot.
Posted by 3rdRowTailgater
Tulsa
Member since Jul 2006
18607 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:26 am to
I just drew:

Uruguay
USA
Algeria
Greece

I'll take it.

ETA:
2nd time through

Belgium
USA
Chile
Greece
This post was edited on 11/20/13 at 1:31 am
Posted by cwil177
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
28422 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:34 am to
pretty frickin fricked I would say
Posted by WCMOTIGER
Columbia,MO
Member since Oct 2013
228 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 1:45 am to
Can you post the link to that site?

EDIT:Google helped me out
This post was edited on 11/20/13 at 1:48 am
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
84831 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 2:38 am to
we have a 1 in 4 chance of drawing either the swiss or columbia.

we basically need that to happen and also not catch a 3 and 4 like France and Ivory Coast or something.

So it's basically a 1/6 or so we get a draw we can reasonably hope to advance from.

So yeah, we're fricked.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
70770 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 2:42 am to
quote:

we have a 1 in 4 chance of drawing either the swiss or columbia.


Wait... you want Columbia???

Are you stupid?
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47472 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 2:44 am to
Okay negayank...
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28363 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 6:40 am to
How great would it be if we could get rematches with Pot 3 Algeria and Pot 4 England? I know that would be very slim.

My first simulation I drew Columbia, USA, France and Portugal.

Second time, Uruguay, USA, Ghana and Russia

LINK
This post was edited on 11/20/13 at 6:43 am
Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 7:16 am to
It sucks that the best team we've ever taken to a WC will probably put in the toughest group we've ever had.
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
5973 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 7:36 am to
We are completely f@#$ because we are the best team in pod 2, except Japan maybe close.

Therefore, we are from the weak pod, and any group with us in it is most statistically likely to be the group of death.

Our only shot to not be in a killer group is to get matched with Switzerland and/or the weaker two or so teams from each of the other pots.

Just drew the group -
Argentina
US
Nigeria
Croatia

I think we'd have an even chance of getting out of that group.

I'd have Croatia as maybe 3rd weakest in their pot, and Nigeria maybe 3rd or 4th in theirs? Replace Nigeria with Algeria, and I say its a 65% chance of advancing.
Posted by svb
Missouri Fan
Member since Jun 2012
3127 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 8:18 am to
Columbia sucks. I don't think any of their players play for big sides. Or do they all play in the Columbian domestic league?








-----

I don't really want to draw Colombia, they seem like they could be a real power next summer.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 8:55 am to
This is the deepest WC in memory. I think we can compete with any of the teams. We are the best team in Pot 2, and we are better than any of the African teams. We don't have the star power of certain other teams but we seem to be getting a group of players that work really well together. It will be exciting to watch for sure.
Posted by HumbleNinja
Ann Arbor
Member since Jan 2011
2997 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 8:56 am to
Just drew.

Group A

Brazil
USA
Ivory Coast
Russia

ehh...


Just drew a 2nd time

Group F
Spain
USA
Ecuador
Netherlands

We are definitely going to have a tough road no matter what.
This post was edited on 11/20/13 at 9:00 am
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
20740 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 9:09 am to
USA
Spain
Greece
Algeria

I can handle that
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
5973 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 9:20 am to
quote:

USA
Spain
Greece
Algeria


Sub Switzerland for Spain, and I think thats the best possible draw for us.

I would think our chances of winning that group would be fairly high.
Posted by bags03
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since May 2004
3023 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Sub Switzerland for Spain, and I think thats the best possible draw for us.


Spain is seeded so I don't think you could so even with Spain, that might be one of our best potential draws
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
5973 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Spain is seeded so I don't think you could so even with Spain, that might be one of our best potential draws


Amazingly (thanks to their super easy UEFA Group and the FIFA system), Switzerland is also seeded, thus they are in the same pot at Spain, Brazil, Argentina, Germany, etc. Easily the weakest team of that group, imo.

Posted by bags03
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since May 2004
3023 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 9:52 am to
Wow, didn't know Switzerland was seeded. I stand corrected
Posted by MrPackSix
Lakeview/God's Country
Member since Oct 2009
8220 posts
Posted on 11/20/13 at 10:33 am to
I got Spain, Cameroon, and Italy.

Holy Jesus that would suck balls
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