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Playoff Odds after Week 8 of the Season

Posted on 10/29/13 at 7:56 pm
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45218 posts
Posted on 10/29/13 at 7:56 pm
LINK

Saints: 11.2 Mean Wins

Odds by Seed:
14.3% 1 Seed
32.5% 2 Seed
20.1% 3 Seed
3.5% 4 Seed
6.3% 5 Seed
10.6% 6 Seed

Summary:
70.4% Win Division
46.8% Bye
16.9% Wild Card

87.3% of making the playoffs in some form

Further Playoff Scenarios:

38.0% Conference Championship Game Appearance
18.5% Win NFC
8.8% Win the Super Bowl
0.5% Go 15-1

Special SB Matchups:
6.2% Peyton vs. Payton II
3.7% Super Bowl XLIV Rematch
0.2% Drew Brees Reunion Special

And for Shits and Giggles:

0.3% Falcons make playoffs.
0.8% Falcons awarded #1 overall pick
16.8% Falcons pick in the top 3

Yes, the Falcons have a better chance right now to be the #1 overall pick than they have to make the playoffs.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34807 posts
Posted on 10/29/13 at 8:13 pm to
I love this thread.

An almost 50% chance of bye week and home playoff game...Oh frick yes.
Posted by kclsufan
Show Me
Member since Jun 2008
12092 posts
Posted on 10/29/13 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

Yes, the Falcons have a better chance right now to be the #1 overall pick than they have to make the playoffs.

I logged in just to at this.
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 10/29/13 at 8:28 pm to
Hate to say it, but I feel like we end up with the two seed. We're about to hit a brutal stretch and with the way Seattles luck is going, I don't see them losing any more games.
We just have to hope whoever they face knocks them out for us to host the NFCCG
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58088 posts
Posted on 10/29/13 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

Hate to say it, but I feel like we end up with the two seed. We're about to hit a brutal stretch and with the way Seattles luck is going, I don't see them losing any more games. We just have to hope whoever they face knocks them out for us to host the NFCCG


After what I saw from Seattle last night, I predict they will lose to the Saint and 49ers.
We will only lose two more.
Posted by NorthGwinnettTiger
Member since Jun 2006
51805 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 9:15 am to
quote:

16.8% Falcons pick in the top 3

Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118566 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Hate to say it, but I feel like we end up with the two seed. We're about to hit a brutal stretch and with the way Seattles luck is going, I don't see them losing any more games.
We just have to hope whoever they face knocks them out for us to host the NFCCG


Seattle has two strengths, a good defense and Russell Wilson who does a great job of improvising.

I just hope those cracks in Seattle's OL turn into fissures. Russell Wilson needs to take more beat downs like Monday night and that should help to minimize Wilson's play making ability late into the season.
Posted by DEANintheYAY
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31975 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 1:14 pm to
Seattle still has to play

@SF
vs NO
@NYG (don't laugh too hard cross country trip to play in likely cold weather after playing Niners)
vs. AZ

All in all they could lose 2 more games.
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

with the way Seattles luck is going, I don't see them losing any more games.


So your opinion is based on "luck".



Seattle looked like absolute crap and got a "lucky" victory and you use that to support them going undefeated the rest of the way.

OK. NOT BUYING.

This post was edited on 10/30/13 at 1:26 pm
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34506 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 10:45 pm to
I've been saying it since week 4:



Seattle is NOT as good as ESPN wants you to think they are

Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
48769 posts
Posted on 10/30/13 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

0.5% Go 15-1


...so you're telling me there's almost a chance?
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