Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU | Page 2 | TigerDroppings.com

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PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10743 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

It seems to me that there are many games where LSU does not cover the spread and likewise LSU does not allow the opposing team to cover the spread.

You lost me with this

ETA: Unless you are only referring to "covering" as the favorite in a particular game and are saying that LSU does not allow opponents to cover when LSU is the dog in a game. I.e. Bama 2012?

If that's what you mean, then go back and take a look at 2011.



This post was edited on 8/22 at 1:48 pm


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themunch
LSU Fan
At home/ at work/ it's all the same
Member since Jan 2007
11294 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


I do not bet on games, but there are many games where LSU does not win by the gaming margin. When LSU is picked to lose which lately has not been many times, the team that beats them does not cover the spread either. The opposition might win but gamblers lose. LSU wins and again gamblers using the Vegas spread lose. That is what I have noticed in recent years, say the last ten.





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themunch
LSU Fan
At home/ at work/ it's all the same
Member since Jan 2007
11294 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


I am not saying it is for every case but a majority.





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More beer please
North Carolina Fan
Running into people/things
Member since Feb 2010
30092 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

When LSU is picked to lose which lately has not been many times


link?






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PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10743 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

The opposition might win but gamblers lose.


Not if you bet on the underdog which is pretty common among those that bet.

quote:

That is what I have noticed in recent years, say the last ten.


Well like I said, go back and take a look at 2011 because we covered the spread in pretty much every single game we played sans like 2.






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lsuhunt555
Oral Roberts Fan
Member since Nov 2008
21843 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


Its articles like this that make me not read articles like this. Its the same logic as when people say "Bama lost 10 starters and will reload. LSU lost 10 starters and probably will take a step back this year due to lack of experience."

Why the frick can certain team reload and others cant when theyve been signing the same caliber of players?






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goldennugget
LSU Fan
Bias Monitor
Member since Jul 2013
7618 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

LSU will be able to run the football at will against their DL which will be decimated without Fields. I also believe LSU will be able to throw the ball effectively against them with CC at the helm.


I remember Wisconsin saying the same thing






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PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10743 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

I remember Wisconsin saying the same thing


Ok.






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ProjectP2294
Penn Fan
St Louis County
Member since May 2007
31921 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

I remember Wisconsin saying the same thing


Wisconsin had Cam Cameron running their offense? I must have missed that.






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More beer please
North Carolina Fan
Running into people/things
Member since Feb 2010
30092 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

I remember Wisconsin saying the same thing


Good thing wisconsin doesnt play in the SEC. And TCU has only ever faced Vandy...once






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PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10743 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Why the frick can certain team reload and others cant when theyve been signing the same caliber of players?


Don't get too worked up. People will realize pretty quickly that this defense is full of star studded talent.






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ProjectP2294
Penn Fan
St Louis County
Member since May 2007
31921 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Why the frick can certain team reload and others cant when theyve been signing the same caliber of players?


If the article implied that TCU has signed the same caliber of players that LSU has over recent years, the writer is dumber than I thought.






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More beer please
North Carolina Fan
Running into people/things
Member since Feb 2010
30092 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

If the article implied that TCU has signed the same caliber of players that LSU has over recent years, the writer is dumber than I thought.


Sounds like Bleeding Purple






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bigpapamac
South Alabama Fan
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
18524 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


Because people are betting on TCU Vegas doesn't predict outcomes, they don't think LSU will win by 3-4 points and they could care less. They're just trying to get equal action on both teams, and 3.5 is the number they've found to do it.






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Bmath
LSU Fan
TX
Member since Aug 2010
7130 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Why the frick can certain team reload and others cant when theyve been signing the same caliber of players?


Because they are back to back national champs with a coach everyone trusts in Saban.

We are coming off a bowl loss and people think Miles is aloof.

It is what it is.






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PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10743 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Because people are betting on TCU


No one is betting on TCU. On SportsBook the action is listed as 96% LSU and 4% TCU.

quote:

They're just trying to get equal action on both teams


Then they need to raise the spread to about 10.






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lsuhunt555
Oral Roberts Fan
Member since Nov 2008
21843 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Don't get too worked up. People will realize pretty quickly that this defense is full of star studded talent.



It just irks me how stupid people are. Its like they believe Bama is signing 3 year NFL players and everyone else is signing D3 level players.






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Mo Jeaux
LSU Fan
NYC
Member since Aug 2008
13411 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Seems like our youth is a weakness and theirs is a strength


Makes sense to me.






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geauxranger54
LSU Fan
Hoover, Alabama
Member since Feb 2012
1143 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

Because people are betting on TCU Vegas doesn't predict outcomes, they don't think LSU will win by 3-4 points and they could care less. They're just trying to get equal action on both teams, and 3.5 is the number they've found to do it


Is that really how that works?






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goldennugget
LSU Fan
Bias Monitor
Member since Jul 2013
7618 posts

re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU


quote:

No one is betting on TCU. On SportsBook the action is listed as 96% LSU and 4% TCU.


Lines don't move based on public action. They move based on sharp action.

This means the public is pounding LSU(not a surprise) but the sharp/smart/high roller money is coming in on TCU to keep the line around 3.5-4.5.

If a bunch of sharps/wise guys come in and pound the LSU line it will move.

It could also be a trap line, with books themselves gambling on a TCU cover which would be a giant score for the books. A big risk, but high return.






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