UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch | TigerDroppings.com

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TDsngumbo
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2011
5733 posts

UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch



Here's the info on Tropical Storm Dorian.

*Latest model runs are indicating a more southward direction, continuing on a westward to west-northwestward motion, missing the turn to the north*


60 MPH sustained winds, gusting to 70 MPH
WNW @ 20 MPH
Still forecast to remain a tropical storm.
Some models are beginning to point to a possible north-west movement toward days 6 and 7 but most models still point to this ending up in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. There will be a weakness in the atmosphere around days 6 and 7 that may pull it northward and away from the United States but that remains to be seen at this time.
Dorian will enter an unhealthy environment for tropical storms and hurricanes soon and that should keep its strength to a minimum. If it can survive this and get to the Bahamas still on a west or westnorthwestard track, it will enter the very warm water of the Gulf of Mexico, where it could potentially develop quickly.
This is still all about a week away so lots can and probably will change.
Still, keep an eye on it.
I'm going to start filling up and getting a few extra things at the grocery store on Tuesday or Wednesday of next week if it is still on this same path.

Tropical Storm Dorian

National Hurricane Center













This post was edited on 7/25 at 4:34 pm



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Chad504boy
New Orleans Saints Fan
Five Oh Four
Member since Feb 2005
84105 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


Storm Stacked
Louisiana fricked.






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Neauxla
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2008
29900 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


stay east!





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3xlsugrad
North Carolina Fan
Member since Feb 2012
11037 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


I hate depressions. They always get me down.





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DeathValleyTigerGirl
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The Crystal Ship
Member since Sep 2006
15950 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch








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nolanola
Member since Nov 2010
4629 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch








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Last call
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On the lake
Member since Oct 2012
783 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


In! First Page!! And





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Chad504boy
New Orleans Saints Fan
Five Oh Four
Member since Feb 2005
84105 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


quote:

They always get me down.


don't worry, they always pick up.






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Catman88
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
40345 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


Yes.. Lets look at computer models 5+ days out. Might as well rely on a fortune cookie for powerball numbers.





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jjbodean1970
LSU Fan
Morgantown, WV
Member since Mar 2006
6490 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


awesome, we're flying down to the coast this saturday for a week at the beach. kids have never seen a hurricane before!





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TJG210
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
22424 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


IN........stay the frick away!





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TDsngumbo
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2011
5733 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


quote:

Yes.. Lets look at computer models 5+ days out. Might as well rely on a fortune cookie for powerball numbers.


Hurricane forecasting has gotten drastically better in the last 3-4 years. These models are going to be pretty accurate (as accurate as ever). Not saying they will be spot on, but for the most part, they'll be close.

We'll have to keep an eye on steering patterns. Usually, deviations in forecasting happens when the storm gets within 1-2 days of landfall.






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LSUfan4444
LSU Fan
Mandeville
Member since Mar 2004
42650 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


Surgery next Tuesday....won't have to evacuate till next Thursday or so.

all clear







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link
Member since Feb 2009
14643 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


yea but dry air





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bbrownso
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2008
2878 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch




It's gonna be interesting to watch it this weekend.






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jmcs68
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Member since Sep 2012
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 Online 

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


I am not in the mood for this.





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Bullfrog
LSU Fan
Earning Merit Badges Daily
Member since Jul 2010
18581 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


That just blows.



This post was edited on 7/24 at 9:26 am


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Chadaristic
Alabama Fan
SWFL
Member since Jan 2011
17131 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


quote:

Might as well rely on a fortune cookie for powerball numbers.


Does not work imo.






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Catman88
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
40345 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


quote:

Hurricane forecasting has gotten drastically better in the last 3-4 years. These models are going to be pretty accurate (as accurate as ever). Not saying they will be spot on, but for the most part, they'll be close.


I used to program ocean models. Im aware of the capability.






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notiger1997
Member since May 2009
24033 posts

re: UPDATED - Tropical Storm Dorian thread - Looks like one to watch


quote:

Hurricane forecasting has gotten drastically better in the last 3-4 years


Yes it has, but you can in no way even make an educated guess as to how this may affect the gulf coast(if at all) at this time is the point I think the guy was trying to make.






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