5th pick PPR league help!

I think you gotta go Charles or McCoy.

Because rice lost touches last year, how many more will he lose this year? Plus the fact that its a PPR I think Calvin is either #1 or 2 in non qb points.
I do think rice is the least risky RB after ap and foster though, but about 3rd or 4th high point potential

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And not Ray Rice?

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I love Ray Ray, but I'm taking JC or LM if in this position.

I don't think GL carries matter in Charles case. He doesn't need them. shite McCoy scored 20 in this offense. Wonder how many were goal line?

But for me you are splitting hairs w him and rice. Pierce impact is one of those overstated things fantasy people say to pretend they know what they're talking about.

Speaking of McCoy, he's going to burn people this year. Already having knee troubles and Kelly is expected to lead the NFL in rush attempts. If you take him you have to reach on Bryxe Brown in like the 4th

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Someone is taking Brees over Rice?

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in one of the leagues I played in last year, Brees scored 364 points and Ray Rice scored 283.

Given the information that you have provided I would go with
5A. Rice


5C. Charles
5D. Megatron

Rice is the closest thing to a sure thing as far as catches out of the backfield considering past 3 seasons he has amassed 78,63,76,61 receptions. Yes, Rice will have his TD's vultured by Bernard Pierce but he is guaranteed to get his touches week in and week out. As far as consistency, Rice had 3 or more receptions in 13 games last season.

Charles is also a decent pick here because of Fat Andy's system (see Westbrook/Shady)but also remember that his QB is Alex Smith and that Bowe is the only legit WR threat in the offense which will allow defenses to focus on him. Maybe McCluster can develop into a true slot WR but I just don't expect too much from the Chiefs in fat boy's first year.

Megatron is a monster, a force who cannot be stopped but taking him at 5 is a little too early for me given what you have said about how RB's fly off the board. If this is a snake draft you will be able to pick up an elite WR in the second round with your pick (Bmarsh or AJ).

With that being said I would not touch McCoy with a 10 ft. pole PPR or not. I don't expect Bryce Brown to supplant him, but he could do some damage as far as overall touches go. Don't get me wrong McCoy is extremely talented but there is way too much uncertainty for me to gamble on him at 5.

TLDR: Rice is on a different tier than everyone else available especially for a PPR scoring system

no.

PPR.

4 points for a passing TD.

Passing yards= 25 yards per point.

Brees threw for 5177 yards and 43 TD's, also had a rushing TD.

He's a beast.

Wow.

Still, I don't think it's safe to rely on Brees having a third season in a row like that. And in a 12-team league, Andy Dalton is your replacement-level QB for VAR, and he was only 100 points behind. On the other hand, replacement RB for Rice would be McGahee/Ballard/Woodhead, which are all more than 100 point dropoffs (especially in PPR).

So while Brees is undoubtedly excellent, if you're considering VAR he's not as valuable as Rice.

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in one of the leagues I played in last year, Brees scored 364 points and Ray Rice scored 283.

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That's great and all when you look at it as pure points scored versus another player. But I look at it this way:

Let's say Brees goes 5th overall in a standard scoring league. He scored 345 in my league last year. That's an average of 21.5 PPG

Matthew Stafford will be a 3-5th round pick in most leagues I'd imagine. He scored 275 last year for an average of 17.18 PPG

Thats a difference of roughly 4.5 PPG.

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That being said, let's look at 1st and 4th round RBs by comparison.

Ray Rice scored 222 in my league last season for an average of 13.8 PPG. He will go in the mid-late first round in most drafts this year.

Now, in the 4th round, the RB pickings will be slim. Most leagues require you to have 2 starting RBs. All your top tier guys will be gone and you'll have to hope to get a guy like say, BenJarvis. He scored 151 last season for an average of 9.1.

Thats a difference of 4.7 PPG.


In my opinion, if you skip a top tier RB (of which you generally need to start 2), in favor of a QB who will net you only 3-5 PPG more than a 2nd or 3rd tier guy, you hamstring your team. You points per position started will be down overall.


I don;t know about you guys, but I would much rather have:

Ray Rice
Stevan Ridley
Andy Dalton

Here there is no "reaching" in the third round for a mediocre(at best) RB in the third round when you could be getting an above average WR or TE at this position.

Than to have

Drew Brees
Matt Forte
Rashard Mendenhall (you'll have to reach for a RB2 in round 3 IMO)

TL:DR?

Reaching for QBs, more often than not, hampers your team in the long run over a season IMO. I've seen it happen many times and I've even done it a few times before I learned my lesson. Now that I ignore QBs in the first round as a rule, I have made the playoffs 4 straight seasons and won the league one time.