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Some Jack Bogle for your Friday

Posted on 6/14/13 at 5:59 am
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69895 posts
Posted on 6/14/13 at 5:59 am
From yesterday, Morningstar's 25th Investment Conference:

On retirement: “We’re headed for three train wrecks.”?
Echoing language he’s used before to describe the current U.S. retirement system, Bogle cited three areas of concern: underfunded Social Security (it can be fixed, he said; all that’s required is some political will); dramatically underfunded state and corporate pensions (they know their expected returns are unrealistic, but they all say they’ll hire good managers), and over-reliance on defined-contribution plans that aren’t strict enough to ensure success.

On defined contribution (e.g., 401(k)) plans: “We’ve taken a thrift plan and turned it into a retirement plan.”
Bogle says the plans are too lenient on investors, giving them too many options to cash out. “We need to be much more strict on withdrawals,” he said. “There is too much ease of access. The system has too much flexibility.”

Bogle further added that we should have a federal retirement board that determines eligibility for an investment firm to get into the retirement management system. “We need to get the costs out of the system and the discipline in,” he said.

On government bonds: “70% of the [Barclays Aggregate] bond index in Treasuries is too much.”

Echoing his sentiments from a recent Morningstar.com video interview, Bogle argued that the index’s stake in Treasuries and agencies is disproportionately high. Should it be 0%? No, he said. But neither should it be 70%.

On the Role of Social Security: “It’s probably the best fixed-income position you’ll ever have.”

With its steady payments and cost-of-living adjustments, Social Security is a key piece of retirees’ portfolios. But Bogle said we need to look at Social Security in the whole portfolio picture. If your investment portfolio is entirely fixed income, and Social Security is also playing that role in your holistic financial picture, is it too much fixed income?

On occasions that he disagrees with Vanguard: “It doesn’t happen.”

Rather, Bogle asserted, Vanguard disagrees with me. “They’re in a tough place,” he added. “Here’s this old guy who keeps saying what he thinks. Would he just shut the ….”

On the strength of his convictions: “I’m too old to speak out on an issue I don’t vigorously believe in.”

Given the positive impact Bogle has had for fund investors over the decades, we're glad he didn't wait to speak out.

On the role of fund shareholder activism: “Corporate America needs a lot of cleanup.”?
Bogle estimated that the fund industry owns 35% of all stock in the U.S., and actually much more given that many of those same managers also run institutional money. “We control corporate America,” he said, “and corporate America needs a lot of cleanup, house cleanup. … If the shareholders don’t speak, nobody is left.”

On the human factor: Human beings are the most important part of any equation. ?
The human beings with whom we serve, and whom we serve at Vanguard, Bogle said.

On public fund companies: Matthew 6:24
How can corporations be fiduciaries to their shareholders and to their fundholders? Bogle got biblical, citing Matthew: No man can serve two masters, for either he will hate the one, and love the other; or else he will hold to the one, and despise the other.

On improvements in the fund industry: “Keep working.”
The industry has gotten somewhat better, Bogle said. “But for heaven’s sake…success is a journey, not a destination. Once you think you’re there, it’s not a good idea. Keep working.”
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
1485 posts
Posted on 6/14/13 at 1:52 pm to
Mr. Jack Bogle sits on the right knee of God.
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 6/14/13 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

On the Role of Social Security: “It’s probably the best fixed-income position you’ll ever have.”


I really, really like his position here. This is where outside-the-box thinking comes into play, and it's absolutely true. Any relatively dependable, constant income stream should be considered as a part of an investment portfolio, and factored into asset allocations.

quote:

On public fund companies

This is actually a very interesting topic I haven't thought or heard much of. One one hand, public companies are looking to generate revenue from mgmt fees, while on the other hand perform well enough to beat it's peers. I guess BlackRock better keep up, or else.





Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69895 posts
Posted on 6/14/13 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

On the Role of Social Security: “It’s probably the best fixed-income position you’ll ever have.”



I really, really like his position here. This is where outside-the-box thinking comes into play, and it's absolutely true. Any relatively dependable, constant income stream should be considered as a part of an investment portfolio, and factored into asset allocations.




I agree, totally outside the box thinking. The only thing that keeps me from completely buying in to his point is my doubts of Social Security benefits being sustainable. However, I invest as if SS will be gone by the time I'm eligible for benefits, if it's still there when I hit that age, I'll consider it a bonus.
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 6/14/13 at 9:28 pm to
It's definitely going to be around, IMO. Whether that means less payouts, or some new way to print money/inject cash... America's faith in government relies pretty heavy on the success of SS.

But anyways, Bogle is my homeboy. Now if I could conclude whether or not I agree or disagree with his standpoint on indexing vs active management.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 6/15/13 at 6:01 am to
Public fund companies are skeptical at best. Compare black rock the company vs. black rock global allocation. You can do the same with t. Rowe Price vs. capital appreciation. The parent company kills their best fund. So the question then becomes, would you rather own one lack jack table or the who,e casino? I will take the casino almost every time.
Posted by CoolHand
Member since Dec 2011
2082 posts
Posted on 6/15/13 at 9:18 am to
quote:

But anyways, Bogle is my homeboy. Now if I could conclude whether or not I agree or disagree with his standpoint on indexing vs active management.


Well, to be homeboys with Bogle, I'd think you'd need to be firmly in the indexing camp,.
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 6/15/13 at 12:08 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/15/13 at 12:11 pm
Posted by Cmlsu5618
Destin, FL
Member since Sep 2010
3763 posts
Posted on 6/15/13 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

CoolHand


I guess so. I sway back and forth, because you can find plenty of data that supports both ends. I like a blend.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69895 posts
Posted on 6/16/13 at 8:00 am to
quote:

I guess so. I sway back and forth, because you can find plenty of data that supports both ends. I like a blend.





Exactly, while Indexing is a solid strategy, there are plenty of a actively managed funds that have kicked the crap out of the S&P over the last 10,20,30, 50, and in the case of one of my funds 80 years.

I do both.
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