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Started By
Message
re: Remaining 10 baseball games, how many we lose ?
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:19 am to GeauxxxTigers23
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:19 am to GeauxxxTigers23
quote:
We get swept by Fla
Drop one each A&M and OM
Lose to UNO due to some retarded experimenting to get ready for the post season.
This HCB syndrome is reaching epidemic status.
1
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:20 am to Gameover321
quote:4
how many we lose
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:20 am to liquid rabbit
I legit see the switch flip and we go 10-0
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:21 am to 3rdPart Tiger
quote:Engineer actually. You?
Math major?
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:21 am to LSUTygerFan
quote:
This HCB syndrome is reaching epidemic status.
Its getting a bit out of hand...
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:21 am to harry coleman beast
quote:
Negatiger
I was counting the losses for you.
Of course, I screwed it up so I'll just drop out of this thread. FML
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:23 am to GeauxxxTigers23
Wow this past week absolutely megafricked alot of people's hopes for this team. I say 8-2. Sweep uf and 2/3 of aTm & black bears and beat uno
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:23 am to ForeverLSU02
Honestly look at it though... Thinking about the minimum wins we get each series:
Florida: we get at least one win with Nola going against a TBD. In nearly all cases we win with Nola not going against a team's ace. AT LEAST 1 WINS.
A&M: this team isn't going to the postseason. We get at least 2. 2 WINS.
Midweek: WIN
Ole Miss: they choke down the stretch every year. They'll prolly win the next two series to be on the hosting bubble and will choke it in true Bianco fashion on Skip's big weekend. 2 WINS.
We go 6-4 down the stretch at min.
Florida: we get at least one win with Nola going against a TBD. In nearly all cases we win with Nola not going against a team's ace. AT LEAST 1 WINS.
A&M: this team isn't going to the postseason. We get at least 2. 2 WINS.
Midweek: WIN
Ole Miss: they choke down the stretch every year. They'll prolly win the next two series to be on the hosting bubble and will choke it in true Bianco fashion on Skip's big weekend. 2 WINS.
We go 6-4 down the stretch at min.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:24 am to Choupique19
From Boyd's World, what we need to do to clinch a Top 8 RPI (not a top 8 seed, just RPI):
quote:
Louisiana State
Remaining: 7 home, 3 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 4
ROWP: 0.501
Top 45:
No more wins needed.
Top 32:
No more wins needed.
Top 16:
2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
4 home wins, 0 road wins
Top 8:
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 0 road wins
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:25 am to Ignignot
quote:
Wow this past week absolutely megafricked alot of people's hopes for this team.
We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:27 am to ProjectP2294
quote:
Top 8:
5 home wins, 2 road wins
Seems doable
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:27 am to ProjectP2294
quote:
Top 8:
4 home wins, 3 road wins
5 home wins, 2 road wins
6 home wins, 0 road wins
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:30 am to ProjectP2294
That can be misleading sometimes though because it assumes everyone else wins at the same rate they currently are as well.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:31 am to harry coleman beast
You're so misunderstood.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:31 am to LSU=Champions
It means that based on our current schedule we at least need to do one of those three things to clinch a top 8 RPI. I thought I had said that already.
Home wins don't count for as much as road wins, so any road win we get means fewer home games we need to win.
Home losses count for more than road losses as well, that's why we even if we win more road games, we still need to not lose home games.
Home wins don't count for as much as road wins, so any road win we get means fewer home games we need to win.
Home losses count for more than road losses as well, that's why we even if we win more road games, we still need to not lose home games.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:32 am to TigerCub
quote:
That can be misleading sometimes though because it assumes everyone else wins at the same rate they currently are as well.
Definitely. And it changes every day because the ROWP changes every day.
I just didn't feel like C&Ping all the disclosures from Boyd's site.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:32 am to harry coleman beast
quote:
We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.
To each his own but it's really how you view it. Since Kentucky the level of competition has raised. I'd say Arky weekend was solid, bama we were tired, and this past weekend were unfortunate and pressing on Sunday.
None the less.......this series is absofugginlutely huge, if we respond well I say most of the "fear" of this team fading will disappear.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:34 am to ProjectP2294
quote:
5 home wins, 2 road wins
Most likely scenario.
Go 2/3 against both UF and OM with 1 midweek win.
Then, 2/3 from A&M.
Seems actually a little more difficult now that I think about it.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:34 am to harry coleman beast
quote:
We've been struggling since Kentucky and Sunday was really bad. Nothing wrong with being realistic.
You ignore 40 wins and focus on one loss?
This is baseball. There is a reason teams play 50+ games and not 12. I would say a 40-6 record is more of an indication of the team's ability than a 2-1 series loss to a top 15 team.
Posted on 5/1/13 at 11:36 am to Gameover321
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