So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick | TigerDroppings.com

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Me Bite
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So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


per Wikipedia



LINK








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teke184
LSU Fan
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
8548 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


They may have a 36% shot at coming in 6th, but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.


Picking somewhere in that range isn't a bad thing considering that there are probably 4-6 guys worth taking high in the draft, between Noel, McLemore, Smart, Burke, Porter, etc.






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Me Bite
LSU Fan
A.K.A. - Bite Me
Member since Oct 2007
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re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.


Not according to the chart above






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Suntiger
USA Fan
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
21116 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

between Noel, McLemore, Smart, Burke, Porter, etc.


I really like Etc. That dude can ball!






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teke184
LSU Fan
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
8548 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

[quote] but that's roughly the same odds as them coming in at either 3rd or 5th.



Not according to the chart above


26% shot at being #5, 10% shot at being #3.

Add the percentages and you get a 36% shot at being #3 OR #5.






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TigerinATL
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Feb 2005
32961 posts
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re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

odds are they get the 6th pick


You're looking at it wrong. Picking 6th is the most probable individual outcome, but it is not the most probable outcome.

Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.



This post was edited on 4/16 at 9:25 am


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Fun Bunch
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
24841 posts
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re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.




Was just coming to post something similar.






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VOR
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2009
41198 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

You're looking at it wrong. Picking 6th is the most probable individual outcome, but it is not the most probable outcome.

Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.







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OceanMan
UNO Fan
Member since Mar 2010
3650 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


^what they said





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Fearthehat0307
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2007
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re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


odds we get a top 3 pick 29.2%





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HeadyBrosevelt
Hawaii Fan
Down By The River
Member since Jan 2013
17374 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


Me dont do math





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teke184
LSU Fan
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
8548 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

odds we get a top 3 pick 29.2%


Odds of drafting Nerlens Noel = 8.8%
Odds of drafting Otto Porter = 20.4%






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Me Bite
LSU Fan
A.K.A. - Bite Me
Member since Oct 2007
6610 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

Picking 6th = 36% chance
Picking 5th or better = 55% chance.


Good point...

Nerlens in New Orleans would be money!






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ShoeBang
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since May 2012
4617 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


We could start calling him Nerleans





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John McClane
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Member since Apr 2010
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re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


We are getting #1. Thanks Stern





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Jumbeauxlaya
LSU Fan
Denham
Member since Jan 2011
17975 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


Why the shite can we not get 4th?





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teke184
LSU Fan
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
8548 posts

re: So if the Hornets (Pelicans) finish 5th.... odds are they get the 6th pick


quote:

Why the shite can we not get 4th?


You can only go up to spots 1 through 3 if you win the lottery.

Even if the teams with the most balls, the Bobcats, Magic, and Cavs, win the first three picks in any order, we still can't jump the Suns for the 4th spot.






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