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Basketball Bet Thread 12/12
Posted on 12/11/12 at 11:31 pm
Posted on 12/11/12 at 11:31 pm
NBA:
Hawks -4
Spurs -3
Warriors +8
Cavs +8
TWolves -3
Grizz -6
20-14-1 YTD
NCAA:
Towson +18
Wisconsin -18
88-69-4 YTD
Hawks -4
Spurs -3
Warriors +8
Cavs +8
TWolves -3
Grizz -6
20-14-1 YTD
NCAA:
Towson +18
Wisconsin -18
88-69-4 YTD
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 11:40 am
4
Posted on 12/12/12 at 12:47 am to maclauer
I only bet NBA now... leaning Cavs +8, Hawks -4.5 ... and I'm honestly thinking about swallowing 8 points on the road in a b2b and taking the Clippers. I think the Bobcats are horrible, and their frontcourt is so stuff that Jordan/Griffin will do work. Meanwhile, the frontcourt has NO offensive skill to expose the Clippers defensive weaknesses.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 12:55 am to Ghazi
I can't really figure out the Bobcats. They fricked me over the other night. I'm staying away from their games.
The Magic are my team in the NBA and they've made me some money this year but I'm selling high on them after their 3-2 Western road trip. They are 1-6 in their last 7 games at home ATS (and I bet on them in that lone victory, which was against the Pistons
).
I should've waited to bet GS; they will probably be at +9 tomorrow. Oh well.
The Magic are my team in the NBA and they've made me some money this year but I'm selling high on them after their 3-2 Western road trip. They are 1-6 in their last 7 games at home ATS (and I bet on them in that lone victory, which was against the Pistons
). I should've waited to bet GS; they will probably be at +9 tomorrow. Oh well.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 1:15 am to maclauer
I'm not sure why the Magic are even 8-12. I have a future bet on them winning under 23.5 wins and its not looking good... for now.
I mean, simply put... their roster just looks terrible. It's nothing but role players, their 2 best players are Davis and Afflalo, which would be bench players on most contenders.
Their offense is horrible, somehow their defense is above average though.
and I think the Bobcats are just terrible... I dunno if I'll swallow the 8 points but theyre bottom 5 in defense, rebounding, and defense... their front court is lousy, they're super young...just one year removed from a historically bad team.
I mean, simply put... their roster just looks terrible. It's nothing but role players, their 2 best players are Davis and Afflalo, which would be bench players on most contenders.
Their offense is horrible, somehow their defense is above average though.
and I think the Bobcats are just terrible... I dunno if I'll swallow the 8 points but theyre bottom 5 in defense, rebounding, and defense... their front court is lousy, they're super young...just one year removed from a historically bad team.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 1:25 am to Ghazi
Wolves -3 would be a strong play tommorow IMO.
I bet Denver -5 tonight and won... saw the whole game... their offense is so frustrating. seems like nobody can create his own shot, terrible shooting, lazy turnovers.. team becomes mediocre without the fast break.
Also, their bigs cannot defend Love. Minesota's a surprisingly good defensive/rebounding team this year.
I bet Denver -5 tonight and won... saw the whole game... their offense is so frustrating. seems like nobody can create his own shot, terrible shooting, lazy turnovers.. team becomes mediocre without the fast break.
Also, their bigs cannot defend Love. Minesota's a surprisingly good defensive/rebounding team this year.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 1:40 am to Ghazi
Afflalo, Redick, Davis, and Vucevic are all underrated players. Nelson can get streaky and Nicholson is a good looking rookie.
The Magic are who they are though -- a team that gets blown out by good teams and beats bad teams by playing hard and unselfishly every night.
Vaughn has done a great job this year. In watching the Magic @ Suns game Sunday (I had about 3/4 of my account on the Magic), the contrast was stark. The Suns are incredibly selfish and undisciplined, while the Magic tend to play above their heads.
The Magic are who they are though -- a team that gets blown out by good teams and beats bad teams by playing hard and unselfishly every night.
Vaughn has done a great job this year. In watching the Magic @ Suns game Sunday (I had about 3/4 of my account on the Magic), the contrast was stark. The Suns are incredibly selfish and undisciplined, while the Magic tend to play above their heads.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 2:27 am to maclauer
I'm gonna be watching the Portland St, DePaul, and Savannah St lines tomorrow. I'd be willing to grab them at 14, 7, and 25, respectively, if any of them get there.
ETA: I like Portland St the most and Savannah St the least of these 3 fwiw, but all are leans/potential plays
ETA: I like Portland St the most and Savannah St the least of these 3 fwiw, but all are leans/potential plays
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 2:29 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 3:18 am to maclauer
locked in: Hawks -4, Cavs +8.5
gonna stay away from Clippers even though I love the matchup because its such a fast turnaround. Bulls game ended at midnightish... Bobcats game starts at 730
gonna stay away from Clippers even though I love the matchup because its such a fast turnaround. Bulls game ended at midnightish... Bobcats game starts at 730
Posted on 12/12/12 at 8:15 am to maclauer
quote:
NCAA early grabs:
Towson +18
Wisconsin -18
Just ran my numbers and took a first glance of the games today and I highlighted both of these. Still looking into my plays for today, but I like both.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 9:55 am to Htown Tiger
Oregon State ML
Posted on 12/12/12 at 10:20 am to HoLeInOnEr05
Anyone know a website that tracks potential RLM plays or identifies RLM for upcoming games?
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 10:22 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 10:37 am to maclauer
Depaul +5.5
Posted on 12/12/12 at 11:15 am to Billy Mays
quote:
Depaul +5.5
Like this play, but I want another point before I pull the trigger
Posted on 12/12/12 at 11:21 am to maclauer
RAS is on Fresno. Compared to usual, Vegas doesn't seem to care.
RAS being 6-10 this month, getting an extra point of value, and calling the bottom on Colorado after their terrible performance against KU, makes this a potential RAS fade spot.
RAS being 6-10 this month, getting an extra point of value, and calling the bottom on Colorado after their terrible performance against KU, makes this a potential RAS fade spot.
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 11:26 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 11:45 am to maclauer
Main Play (25-15 YTD): Oregon St -11
Leans (27-9 YTD): Towson +18, Wiscy -18
Leans (27-9 YTD): Towson +18, Wiscy -18
Posted on 12/12/12 at 11:45 am to maclauer
added Grizz -6. This Suns team is awful and 2-8 at home ATS. Grizz are 5-2 ATS on the road.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 11:53 am to maclauer
BTB NBA:
Bucks/Grizz/Spurs ML Parlay (+200)
Wiz +11
Bulls/Sixers UNDER 181.5
Warriors +8
Nuggets +3.5
Nuggets/Wolves UNDER 200
Hornets +14
Hornets/Thunder OVER 195.5
ETA: He was on Hawks, Grizz, Spurs, & Bucks ML. But the prices shot up from where he grabbed them. I parlayed three of them since I didn't wanna lay those prices per his suggestion. Gonna keep an eye on the Hawks ML.
Bucks/Grizz/Spurs ML Parlay (+200)
Wiz +11
Bulls/Sixers UNDER 181.5
Warriors +8
Nuggets +3.5
Nuggets/Wolves UNDER 200
Hornets +14
Hornets/Thunder OVER 195.5
ETA: He was on Hawks, Grizz, Spurs, & Bucks ML. But the prices shot up from where he grabbed them. I parlayed three of them since I didn't wanna lay those prices per his suggestion. Gonna keep an eye on the Hawks ML.
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 11:56 am
Posted on 12/12/12 at 12:35 pm to bamafan425
quote:
Warriors +8
quote:
He was on Hawks, Grizz, Spurs
quote:
Nuggets +3.5
Posted on 12/12/12 at 12:46 pm to maclauer
Rance (BTB) was talking about how he stayed late at one of the casino's and gave input on the lines and helped set them. So maybe that means he kills it tonight? He went 5-1 last night.
Posted on 12/12/12 at 12:54 pm to bamafan425
Minny is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 and Denver is playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back. I don't like that pick of his but he knows a hell of a lot more than I do.
All 3 NCAA dogs I talked about have moved in my direction. I want to hear what dg or nropp think before pulling the trigger because those are leans but would be low-confidence plays.
ETA: Gotta hit the road soon and decided not to play them, let's just call them documented leans
All 3 NCAA dogs I talked about have moved in my direction. I want to hear what dg or nropp think before pulling the trigger because those are leans but would be low-confidence plays.
ETA: Gotta hit the road soon and decided not to play them, let's just call them documented leans
This post was edited on 12/12/12 at 1:05 pm
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