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Evidence Strongly Suggesting Alabama Officiating Bias

Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:15 pm
Posted by Stingray
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2007
12420 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:15 pm
I performed a t test comparing the penalties called on LSU and Alabama during the regular season over the ten years from 2003 to 2012. I took the data of penalties each game from the official LSU and Alabama sites. Over this period each team played 118 games.

LSU's penalties per year goes like this: 89, 73, 74, 76, 76, 104, 74, 91, 67, 89.
Alabama's penalties per year: 48, 48, 63, 63, 48, 55, 70, 70, 66, 69.

LSU's average penalties per game is 6.8898.
Alabama's average penalties per game is 5.0847.

Using the t test comparing all the games, I get a p value of 0.0001! This means that there is certainly a difference between the penalties of these two teams. The important question is why?

I see two possible explanations.
1. Alabama is a more disciplined team. I find this to be highly unlikely as they would have to be more disciplined consistently of over a ten year period which included multiple different coaches on each team, including one coach who coached at both schools!
2. There is a bias for Alabama. This is much more likely. It would not take a conspiracy, just the subtle bias that is a result of the current structure of the SEC head offices. Also seems likely when we look at the other areas where Alabama seems to have created an advantage for itself.
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143616 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:16 pm to
get a new hobby.
Posted by CQQ
Member since Feb 2006
17048 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:17 pm to
Posted by CreoleGumbo
Faubourg Bayou St. John
Member since Sep 2003
1829 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:17 pm to
go on......
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:17 pm to
wow..... really? Do you see men in black suits following you around also?
Posted by Big Lake
Member since Jul 2011
3844 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:18 pm to
Do you have ISDS tomorrow too?




shite like this needs to stop you are embarrassing us.
Posted by BayouBandit24
Member since Aug 2010
16533 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:19 pm to
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39800 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

89


And if dumbarse JC Copeland doesn't get the personal foul, we have 88 and are in the BCSCG.

So there.

Posted by MoreOrLes
Member since Nov 2008
19472 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:22 pm to
Of course its Biased towards bama.


Just find any coach or Oline player at any level and ask them if its possible to go a whole year without a holding call. Then tell them that bama did it in 09.

Hilarity or a perplexed look will ensue.
This post was edited on 12/4/12 at 2:25 pm
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
20935 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:23 pm to
Interesting, This includes Non Saban years which would suggest its more bias than coaching given no one would say Shula was a coach that inspired discipline...
Posted by 228Tiger
Harrison County
Member since Feb 2012
12112 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:23 pm to
make it stop
Posted by whomewhat
Member since Jan 2004
765 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:25 pm to
It is amazing how much more disciplined Saban's teams became when he left LSU. If your numbers are correct he had more penalties in 2003 and 2004 at LSU than he's ever had Alabama. Likewise Shula, that legend of a coach had fewer penalties at Bama than LSU has ever had during the years you listed.
Posted by Stingray
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2007
12420 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Of course its Biased towards bama


I agree, but mention that to some LSU fans and they think you are a conspiracy nut. I thought some hard evidence might adjust their perspective.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:26 pm to
No, the presentation of objective data into the conversation only shows you are a conspiracy nut. Terrible catch-22. Either you're making it up or you're obsessed.
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123553 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:26 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

I performed a t test comparing the penalties called on LSU and Alabama during the regular season over the ten years from 2003 to 2012. I took the data of penalties each game from the official LSU and Alabama sites. Over this period each team played 118 games.



awful method.

You should compare the penalties against the same teams using a mutivariate ANOVA with an auto-regressive error structure.

You probability value for the tail of 0.0001 seems absurd anyway. Did you use a 1 or two tailed test? What was your null hypothesis?
Posted by GeauxTigerTM
Member since Sep 2006
30596 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:28 pm to
Hope you don't mind, but I'm gonna dump this here too. This breaks it down a little differently.



As you stated, it doesn't seem to matter who the coach is, what the team's record is, etc. BAMA gets penalized less BY FAR than LSU.
Posted by whoisnickdoobs
Lafayette
Member since Apr 2012
9352 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:28 pm to
Posted by Ghostfacedistiller
BR
Member since Jun 2008
17500 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:31 pm to
All games or just SEC games?

Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 12/4/12 at 2:31 pm to
I've had enough


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