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Started By
Message
Les Miles and the 80% factor
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:35 pm
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:35 pm
In the 7.5 years under Les Miles, we have had issues offensively against teams that can match us physically.
80% of the time, LSU is physically superior to their opponent...enough to where it can exert its will in the trenches and win the game by sheer physicality.
It is the other 20% of the time, where our offensive system will struggle mightily.
We will win a few of the 20% games due to our amazing defense, AND IF the BALL BOUNCES RIGHT (2007 Florida, 2010 Bama, 2011 Bama, etc)
We'll also lose a few of the 80% games (2007 UK, 2010 Arky, etc).
And guess what Les Miles's winning percentage is at LSU? That's right...about 80%!!!
80% of the time, LSU is physically superior to their opponent...enough to where it can exert its will in the trenches and win the game by sheer physicality.
It is the other 20% of the time, where our offensive system will struggle mightily.
We will win a few of the 20% games due to our amazing defense, AND IF the BALL BOUNCES RIGHT (2007 Florida, 2010 Bama, 2011 Bama, etc)
We'll also lose a few of the 80% games (2007 UK, 2010 Arky, etc).
And guess what Les Miles's winning percentage is at LSU? That's right...about 80%!!!
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:36 pm to TigerWerm
All he does is win....most of the time
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:37 pm to TigerWerm
Made up a percentage stat I see.
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:37 pm to ipodking
He'll continue to win 80% of the time as long as he's here.
But fans shouldn't expect anything different in these evenly matched games. If we're lucky, we'll win 9-6 or 21-17, etc.
But fans shouldn't expect anything different in these evenly matched games. If we're lucky, we'll win 9-6 or 21-17, etc.
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:38 pm to TigerWerm
quote:
80% of the time, LSU is physically superior to their opponent...enough to where it can exert its will in the trenches and win the game by sheer physicality.
quote:
And guess what Les Miles's winning percentage is at LSU? That's right...about 80%!!!
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:39 pm to TigerWerm
It's crazy that your research resulted in that parallel. SCIENCE!
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:43 pm to TigerWerm
I love made up statistics!!!
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:45 pm to Bmath
quote:
I love made up statistics!!!
of course they're made up, but we're all friends here, why not have some fun extrapolating right?
The point is...his current offensive scheme isn't viable enough to consistently win against the few teams in CFB that can physically match us (Bama, FLA, UGA, etc).
Granted, it's probably only 20% of the teams in CFB that can match us....
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:48 pm to Bmath
It looks like with all the talent Louisiana has , we could have an offense that could put some damn points on the board .
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:50 pm to TigerWerm
Ok #1 that's a huge oversimplification
and #2 you do realize that a coach who wins 80% of his games is a hall of famer, right?
and #2 you do realize that a coach who wins 80% of his games is a hall of famer, right?
This post was edited on 10/7/12 at 9:51 pm
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:51 pm to Draconian Sanctions
I have no problem with this.
This post was edited on 10/7/12 at 9:52 pm
Posted on 10/7/12 at 9:51 pm to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Ok #1 that's a huge oversimplification
yes
quote:
and #2 you do realize that a coach who wins 80% of his games is a hall of famer, right?
yes
Posted on 10/7/12 at 10:29 pm to TigerWerm
It's painful to watch LSU. If I don't watch does that mean I'm not a fan?
Posted on 10/7/12 at 10:39 pm to TigerWerm
its the 20% that will keep LSU from championships. are you completely blind?? the offense is terrible and its not because they're young. only 20% or so of teams in college football have equal or better talent than LSU. just like Les Miles...an arrogant bully when he crushes a weaker team, but befuddled when an "equal" opponent beats him.
Posted on 10/7/12 at 10:43 pm to TigerWerm
Les makes the big bucks to win going forward not just to rest on past wind. It will be interesting to watch the season play out. Will Les adjust?
Posted on 10/7/12 at 11:11 pm to TigerWerm
quote:
The point is...his current offensive scheme isn't viable enough to consistently win against the few teams in CFB that can physically match us (Bama, FLA, UGA, etc).
no coach in america has a pristine record against top 10 teams. Nick Saban is 15-11 against top 10 teams. Les Miles is 13-11. No offensive scheme is viable enough to consistently beat teams that match up with you physically. If you're evenly matched with another team, logic would dictate you have a 50/50 chance of winning. Amazing how Saban and Miles are hovering right around 50% against top 10 teams isn't it
Posted on 10/7/12 at 11:18 pm to lsufball19
quote:
no coach in america has a pristine record against top 10 teams. Nick Saban is 15-11 against top 10 teams. Les Miles is 13-11. No offensive scheme is viable enough to consistently beat teams that match up with you physically. If you're evenly matched with another team, logic would dictate you have a 50/50 chance of winning. Amazing how Saban and Miles are hovering right around 50% against top 10 teams isn't it
I agree with you, that's why I'm saying that fans shouldn't expect any different. And this is also why I can predict the results for the rest of Miles' tenure here.
This post was edited on 10/7/12 at 11:19 pm
Posted on 10/7/12 at 11:23 pm to TigerWerm
i took it as it being a knock on him or something. if that's not what your intention was, i apologize
Posted on 10/7/12 at 11:30 pm to TigerWerm
This actually makes sense to me!
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