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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:16 am to
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:16 am to
quote:

Damn -1.5 at home against a shitty Navy team, I think everyone should load up on Central Michigan.

/sarcasm



I'm not loading up by any stretch of the imagination, but I did toss a little bit down on CMU-1.5. And I do believe that Navy is a shitty team.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80750 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Thoughts on a teaser with aTm -2 and under 86? I think La Tech is overrated and is just a trendy upset pick. I think aTm's defense is better than people are giving them credit for, and Tech might not get to 30.

Its either over or nothing for me. No way would I bet the under with La Tech's defense in the equation
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:20 am to
Good point. But can is possibly (just jinxed it) get above 51-34?
Posted by shuke33
Under The Bridge
Member since Nov 2010
9052 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:21 am to
I just want to thank you all for talking me out of betting on BC to defeat Army last week.
Posted by shuke33
Under The Bridge
Member since Nov 2010
9052 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:24 am to
My picks for this Saturday:

Iowa State +6.5 over Kansas State
Texas +3.5 over Oklahoma
Fresno State +7.5 over Boise State
Texas A&M -7.5 over LA Tech
LSU - 2.5 over South Carolina
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80750 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:26 am to
Yes. A&M could drop 70 on them
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:29 am to
quote:

I just want to thank you all for talking me out of betting on BC to defeat Army last week.


I'm pretty sure I was pushing Army stronger than anyone on this board, I just felt it was a perfect spot for them last week.
Posted by shuke33
Under The Bridge
Member since Nov 2010
9052 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:29 am to
UNC-Miami could be a shootout.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Thoughts on a teaser with aTm -2 and under 86? I think La Tech is overrated and is just a trendy upset pick. I think aTm's defense is better than people are giving them credit for, and Tech might not get to 30.


If you felt stronger about the first half of the pie than the second, you could always just toss down on TAMU at the ML. It's prolly in the -250 range.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16833 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:11 pm to
Navy ML tonight! FACT!
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:22 pm to
Down to a pk.

ETA: Locked Navy in at a pick'em.
This post was edited on 10/12/12 at 12:35 pm
Posted by shuke33
Under The Bridge
Member since Nov 2010
9052 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:37 pm to
Whoa, Why is everyone jumping on Navy for?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:43 pm to
CMU has a terrible rushing defense. They give up 234 yards/game and have given up 17 rushing touchdowns on the year.
This post was edited on 10/12/12 at 12:44 pm
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7265 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:43 pm to
Pk on 5dimes? right now it's -1 navy I must've missed it. Guess I'll wait and see if I can get it at that. Id take navy at either though.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Whoa, Why is everyone jumping on Navy for?


Because it is the only game on tonight.


In all seriousness, these threads get so watered down by the in game discussions and everything else that it is hard to figure out where everyone stand by the time it gets to Friday.

I posted this on Tuesday, and a few other posters agreed they liked the play.
quote:


I can't figure out for the life of me why the WKU line is so low?

I'm taking WKU -2.5 on Thursday
and a BIG play on Navy +2 Friday night.

I would suggest taking Navy now the line is dropping and they may be favored by kickoff, I expect them to win this one running away. Their ground game will cause major problems for CMU.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:50 pm to
Do let it be known that starting QB Trey Miller for the Midshipmen will NOT be starting. Keenan Reynolds is getting the start. Miller is expected to be available if needed though.

Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

dgtiger3

When do you think you'll post your Saturday plays?
Posted by Broseph Barksdale
Member since Sep 2010
10571 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:52 pm to
That dude was a fumble machine though. Can't be much worse.

This is the worst Navy team in 10+ years.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16833 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:52 pm to
Do let it be known that Reynolds is the one that led the comeback in the 4th quarter and OT.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

When do you think you'll post your Saturday plays?


I'm working on it.
I said somewhere earlier in the thread I have been tweaking my system a little over the last week to give me a more accurate picture as far as a final game score. I felt like my system was giving me winners (We are at (25-15) 62% on the year) but I have always been very timid about laying large numbers on a favorite.
The system held up last night as it liked Tulsa -17 a lot and they did cover for me.
Needless to say its going to be an interesting week for me, I have 1000 different opinions and I'm trying to go through each games and look at the ones that have all the intangibles in our favor. We all know handicapping is a little more than half computers and matchups, and the rest emotional and gamblers intuition. I will have them done by 5pm I think.
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