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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/10/12 at 10:56 am to carmenjello
Posted on 10/10/12 at 10:56 am to carmenjello
adding NW -3 for 1*
Card:
2* WKU -2.5
3* WVU -4
1* NW -3
Card:
2* WKU -2.5
3* WVU -4
1* NW -3
1
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:13 am to rocket31
A few line movements.
KState down to -6.5
WVU back down to -3.5
Baylor -8.5
UAB +13.5
WKU -1
KState down to -6.5
WVU back down to -3.5
Baylor -8.5
UAB +13.5
WKU -1
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:32 am to tigerbaittrick
Makes me like WVU that Rocket is on them.
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:50 am to bamafan425
I'm nervous ... both college games I bet on are seeing RLM 
Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:50 am to bamafan425
If I could get WV at 3!! Oh man.
Really like kstate and wku also.
Really like kstate and wku also.
Posted on 10/10/12 at 12:46 pm to wish i was tebow
Tread with caution with KSU
Paul Rhoads is 9-1 ats last 10 as a dog
Coming off a big win vs TCU hyped up at home with KSU in the classic look ahead to WVU following week fwiw
LINK
Fast forward to 1.15
Paul Rhoads is 9-1 ats last 10 as a dog
Coming off a big win vs TCU hyped up at home with KSU in the classic look ahead to WVU following week fwiw
LINK
Fast forward to 1.15
Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:02 pm to TigerTatorTots
Bankroll is getting low, so I bet the rest on South Carolina +2.5 so either way I will be happy no matter what happens. And maybe, just maybe I can be extremely happy if LSU wins by 1-2 
Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:40 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Hole:
I assume that WV is one of the two that you speak of when referring to RLM, but which is the other. Furthermore, where is the best plasce for me to find this information. TIA
I assume that WV is one of the two that you speak of when referring to RLM, but which is the other. Furthermore, where is the best plasce for me to find this information. TIA
Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:49 pm to suncloser
I've been in that boat before. It's like paying to see LSU win, or getting paid to lose. And like you said, tiny window for win-win.Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:59 pm to LSUJuice
Exactly. Last year was the most confused and mad I have ever been as an LSU fan. I placed a $100 bet on the Tigers, 15-1 to win the national championship. My friend kept begging me to place a hedge bet on Bama. My pride for LSU couldn't pull the trigger. Wish I would have!!
Posted on 10/10/12 at 3:26 pm to tigerbaittrick
Went ahead and put 3* on WKU down to -1. Try to jumpstart the weekend early again 
Posted on 10/10/12 at 3:28 pm to WRedmondsStang
West Virginia and WKU are experiencing reverse line movement
Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:00 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
So I guy I know has been calling me the last few weeks to get picks for this winner-take-all weekly pick'em ATS.
Only 5 games.
The pool is over $3400.
Last week he calls and asks for my top 5 and says he'll toss me a $200 or so if he wins. I give him Toledo, Ohio State, West Virginia, Wyoming and Duke. All 5 cover.
I texted him yesterday: Hey.. You went 5-0 last week in the pool.
He calls back and says.. "uhh.. We went 4-1. We played Maryland instead of Wyoming."
Is he FOS? I think so. He's like the bitch on the east coast who bought the pool of powerball tickets with the rest of he McDonald's coworkers; only to lie, hand the winning ticket to a friend and split the money with them.
Only 5 games.
The pool is over $3400.
Last week he calls and asks for my top 5 and says he'll toss me a $200 or so if he wins. I give him Toledo, Ohio State, West Virginia, Wyoming and Duke. All 5 cover.
I texted him yesterday: Hey.. You went 5-0 last week in the pool.
He calls back and says.. "uhh.. We went 4-1. We played Maryland instead of Wyoming."
Is he FOS? I think so. He's like the bitch on the east coast who bought the pool of powerball tickets with the rest of he McDonald's coworkers; only to lie, hand the winning ticket to a friend and split the money with them.
Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:11 pm to LSUAlum2001
Start giving him the opposite of everything you pick
Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.
Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.
This post was edited on 10/10/12 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:11 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
thanks Hole!
Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:32 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
What is RLM supposed to tell us exactly? If the team you bet on has a line that's dropping, you would assume that the line you got, isn't as valuable as it was when you bet it. However, on the other side, that would mean the public is steaming the opposite pick, which means you are on the other side of the public, which is generally viewed as a good thing.
What's the big to do about RLM and how much weight should be put into it when evaluating your plays?
What's the big to do about RLM and how much weight should be put into it when evaluating your plays?
This post was edited on 10/10/12 at 4:33 pm
Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:32 pm to LSUAlum2001
Definitely full of shite. Give him bad picks for no on IMO.
Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:00 pm to dcrews
Not exactly DCrews, RLM is when a larger percentage of the bets(usually meaning the public is on one side), however the line still moves in the direction of the smaller percentage of bets. For instance if the public is hammering WV -5 against TT with say 78% of all bets coming in on WV. However, the line moves to WV-3.5 indicating that although a smaller percentage; larger dollar amounts are on TT( usually assumed to be sharp $$) ultimately moving the line in TT direction.
Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:40 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.
It was me, lol
Navy is going to RUN all the way to the bank on Friday Night, and I plan on putting a significant amount on it...
34-21 Final
Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:54 pm to dgtiger3
On it with you. I sure hope you're right
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