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Started By
Message
Isaac remnant now 40% chance of becoming cyclone w/i 48 hours
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:00 pm
From the National Hurricane Center:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE AT LEAST MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THURSDAY AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE AT LEAST MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THURSDAY AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY
5
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:06 pm to chinhoyang
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:08 pm to KingRanch
TWC =
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:09 pm to chinhoyang
All projections have it going to Florida, correct?
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:15 pm to chinhoyang
Panic mode
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:15 pm to ZZTIGERS
quote:
All projections have it going to Florida, correct?
Accurate to say there isn't much certainty in the path.
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:31 pm to chinhoyang
that looks like a gary crowton play
Posted on 9/5/12 at 3:34 pm to The Egg
TigerDik86 Prediction 9/5/12
(So when it happens it will be recorded)
This post was edited on 9/5/12 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 9/5/12 at 4:35 pm to The Egg
quote:
that looks like a gary crowton play
naah, that would mean saving it for the next storm
Posted on 9/5/12 at 6:06 pm to ZZTIGERS
quote:
All projections have it going to Florida, correct?
The projections didnt work to well the first time around.
Posted on 9/5/12 at 7:28 pm to The Egg
quote:
that looks like a gary crowton play
Posted on 9/5/12 at 7:41 pm to Hulkklogan
Just look at the NHC and they must have updated
quote:
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Posted on 9/5/12 at 7:43 pm to chinhoyang
Damn, and I just drained the gas out of my generator and put it back into storage today!
Posted on 9/6/12 at 6:55 am to LSURussian
Why would you drain your generator? It's not even the peak of hurricane season yet.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 8:44 am to Python
fricking Isaac...
Posted on 9/6/12 at 8:53 am to chinhoyang
haha that track is all jacked up
Posted on 9/6/12 at 10:56 am to saturday
Any updates?
(Yes I'm to lazy to google myself)
(Yes I'm to lazy to google myself)
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:18 pm to CajunFootball
I googled and failed
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:33 pm to tduecen
quote:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico has not become any better organized since yesterday...and if this trend continues...the reconnaissance mission scheduled for later today will be cancelled. This weather system is drifting southward and still has the potential for some development during the next day or so before environmental conditions become unfavorable. This system has a medium chance...40 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Posted on 9/6/12 at 1:10 pm to chinhoyang
The hurricane that won't quit.
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