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Started By
Message
How many HRs would Adam Dunn have to hit to make the HOF?
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:11 pm
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:11 pm
Just hit #400 last night. On his way to his 8th 38+ HR season. Only 32 years old.
Career slash line .241/.372/.502 .873 OPS 126 OPS+
Will probably finish with the most SOs in MLB history. Possibly the worst defensive player of this generation. Never finshed in the top 20 in MVP voting.
No way he gets in with 500. Doubt 600 either. 650? 700? No chance in hell?
Career slash line .241/.372/.502 .873 OPS 126 OPS+
Will probably finish with the most SOs in MLB history. Possibly the worst defensive player of this generation. Never finshed in the top 20 in MVP voting.
No way he gets in with 500. Doubt 600 either. 650? 700? No chance in hell?
7
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:13 pm to 1ranter1
700
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:14 pm to 1ranter1
763
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:15 pm to 1ranter1
600.... which is possible.... He may finish this season with 410ish.... at 32 he is still young enough if he can continue to produce 40+ home run seasons
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:15 pm to 1ranter1
Crazy it wasn't that long ago that 400 home runs was a big deal and 500 was automatic HOF. Now it's almost no big deal
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:18 pm to 1ranter1
he wont get in but I think he'll hit 600 HR's
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:20 pm to Pilot Tiger
I don't think he would actually get in either, he would have to hit 700 or close to it really.... Although he is a lot of fun to watch, you won't see many bloop singles with him playing 
Posted on 8/19/12 at 3:49 pm to 1ranter1
If he can stay healthy and play for 8 more seasons, averaging 30 HRs per, he will have over 650.
He'll be close.
He'll be close.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:03 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
If he can stay healthy and play for 8 more seasons, averaging 30 HRs per, he will have over 650.
I think people easily overestimate how hard it is to hold a job in your 30s, especially your late 30s. I am a huge Dunn fan but I think it is less than even odds that he gets to 500 and a major longshot that he gets to 600. He has a body type that does not age well. He also almost played himself out of a regular role last season.
This is a comeback season for him (and it has been fun to watch), but he is still barely above .200 with an OPS in the .840s. That is good but not spectacular. If he falls off at all next season, he is going to be struggling to keep a full time job. If he falls off a cliff (quite possible), the White Sox are only committed to one more year (after next) and it will be much easier to bench or release him.
In relation to the OP, I think he'd have to get near 700 for serious HOF consideration. I cant see him getting in with 600 (or even getting very close). Fun player to follow though.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:16 pm to emmanuellewis
650+, IMO. He's about as much of a one-tool player as I can think of, and that definitely hurts his case. That being said, if he has more than 650 it seems pretty clear to me that his one tool was pretty strong, and that will get him some consideration. It's not like he'd be the first "That guy? Hall of Fame? Really?" type of player to be admitted. He absolutely won't be a first ballot guy, but down the road he might luck into it.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:39 pm to Matisyeezy
He won't get in but he is a one of a kind player.
Not many people know that he has 130 more walks than pujols in 1000 fewer PA's.
Not many people know that he has 130 more walks than pujols in 1000 fewer PA's.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:48 pm to barry
One of the only three true outcomes players to exist.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:52 pm to Jcorye1
At only 32 here is the list of players who have more walks and more HR then him
Alex Rodriguez
Babe Ruth+
Barry Bonds
Carl Yastrzemski+
Chipper Jones
Darrell Evans
Dave Winfield+
Eddie Mathews+
Eddie Murray+
Frank Robinson+
Frank Thomas
Fred McGriff
Gary Sheffield
Hank Aaron+
Harmon Killebrew+
Jason Giambi
Jeff Bagwell
Jim Thome
Jimmie Foxx+
Ken Griffey
Lou Gehrig+
Manny Ramirez
Mark McGwire
Mel Ott+
Mickey Mantle+
Mike Schmidt+
Rafael Palmeiro
Reggie Jackson+
Stan Musial+
Ted Williams+
Willie Mays+
Willie McCovey+
Alex Rodriguez
Babe Ruth+
Barry Bonds
Carl Yastrzemski+
Chipper Jones
Darrell Evans
Dave Winfield+
Eddie Mathews+
Eddie Murray+
Frank Robinson+
Frank Thomas
Fred McGriff
Gary Sheffield
Hank Aaron+
Harmon Killebrew+
Jason Giambi
Jeff Bagwell
Jim Thome
Jimmie Foxx+
Ken Griffey
Lou Gehrig+
Manny Ramirez
Mark McGwire
Mel Ott+
Mickey Mantle+
Mike Schmidt+
Rafael Palmeiro
Reggie Jackson+
Stan Musial+
Ted Williams+
Willie Mays+
Willie McCovey+
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:53 pm to barry
quote:Yet leads the MLB in strikeouts this year with 172 (25 more than any other player) and has struck out 2,534 times in his career (2nd all time).
Not many people know that he has 130 more walks than pujols in 1000 fewer PA's.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:53 pm to Jcorye1
quote:
One of the only three true outcomes players to exist.
49.93% of Adam Dunn's PA end in a HR, BB, or K
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:55 pm to barry
quote:
49.93% of Adam Dunn's PA end in a HR, BB, or K
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:56 pm to barry
Mark Reynolds strikes out 33% of the time.
Hol e shite.
Hol e shite.
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:57 pm to barry
Currently 50th all time in HRs and could be scaring 46th by the end of the year. Crazy to think only 25 men ever have hit 500 HRs
Posted on 8/19/12 at 4:58 pm to Jcorye1
quote:
Mark Reynolds strikes out 33% of the time.
Hol e shite.
More Hole e shite
I just calculated Reynolds % and its 49.91%
Posted on 8/19/12 at 5:02 pm to 1ranter1
631.
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