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50-50 shot to make Omaha?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:20 pm
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:20 pm
I had a conversation this morning with an Auburn dude, and he thought LSU was a long shot to make it to Omaha. I know, it is an Auburn grad....
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
17
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:22 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
I would say all that makes it upwards to 70-80.
Oregon St. is a good team, so is Miami and UCF. But if they knock us out in the regionals or super regionals at the box, it's a HUGE upset.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:22 pm to therocketscientist
That sounds right, maybe, if we were matched with the College Station regional.
But we got the Coral Gables regional. I'm pretty sure we're going to Omaha.
...and tell your Auburn friend that we're a lot better now than when they saw us in March.
But we got the Coral Gables regional. I'm pretty sure we're going to Omaha.
...and tell your Auburn friend that we're a lot better now than when they saw us in March.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:26 pm to Party At LSU
based on our super regional pairings I would say we have a very good chance of making it to Omaha.. no less than 80% chance
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:28 pm to therocketscientist
What regional is Auburn in? 
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:28 pm to therocketscientist
70-30 bra.... We got a good draw if we get by the beavers.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:35 pm to Corn Dawg Nation
Vegas wouldn't give you money back on a 100 bucks.......
100 bucks would probably pay around 60..........>50%
100 bucks would probably pay around 60..........>50%
This post was edited on 6/1/12 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:36 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Auburn dude
Hahahaha
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:39 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Auburn dude
After setting him straight, did you insult his sweater vest?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:12 pm to therocketscientist
99 
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:24 pm to therocketscientist
I'd say 2-to-1. (67% for the math challenged).
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:27 pm to MountainTiger
33% Our hitters get shut down too easily.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:30 pm to MountainTiger
quote:
I'd say 2-to-1. (67% for the math challenged).
I think that's an accurate number. Although I think we have a very good chance to get there, anything can happen.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:32 pm to therocketscientist
Playing at home and being matched up with the Miami regional makes LSU a good bet to get to Omaha.
But having watched LSU hitting go anemic at times this year I'm not placing a bet.
But having watched LSU hitting go anemic at times this year I'm not placing a bet.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:35 pm to therocketscientist
It's always 50-50. Either we do or we don't.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:38 pm to therocketscientist
75% at worst. Homefield advantage is huge.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:39 pm to KT70
I'd say 70%
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:51 pm to CajunFootball
quote:
It's always 50-50. Either we do or we don't.
2 outcomes doesn't always mean both outcomes are just as likely.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:06 pm to Tiger Stadium 11
How many times have we lost a home super regional? Have we ever lost a home super regional?
How many times have we lost a home regional when we were a national seed? Like once?
How many times have we lost a home regional when we were a national seed? Like once?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:42 pm to Draconian Sanctions
If we win our games then its 100% that we go to the CWS.
If we lose our games then its 0% that we got to the CWS.
Do the math!!!
If we lose our games then its 0% that we got to the CWS.
Do the math!!!
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