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Statistical proof NOLA has best statistical odds to win #1 pick w/ 3rd best odds
Posted on 4/18/12 at 8:55 am
Posted on 4/18/12 at 8:55 am
Statistical evidence shows that odds are against the 1st and 2nd pick to win the 1st pick lotto ball. Odds are they only have 44.9% chance of getting selected.
That leaves a bigger number of 55.1% chance another remaining team will get selected.
Of these remaining teams, NOLA will have the highest of odds of winning the lotto ball with the 3rd pick of 15.6% and the T wolves pick will only increase these odds.
Statistical evidence we are in the driver's seat.
That leaves a bigger number of 55.1% chance another remaining team will get selected.
Of these remaining teams, NOLA will have the highest of odds of winning the lotto ball with the 3rd pick of 15.6% and the T wolves pick will only increase these odds.
Statistical evidence we are in the driver's seat.
7
Posted on 4/18/12 at 8:56 am to Chad504boy
We need a lawling casty emoticon 
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:16 am to Chad504boy
Having Minnesota's picks definitely help, but I don't think that statistically we have the best chance.
I would say, that we have a pretty good chance at that spot.
I would say, that we have a pretty good chance at that spot.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:17 am to Chad504boy
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:21 am to Chad504boy
actually we still have a 15.6% chance (so not good). The reason that the 1st and 2nd worst teams only get the pick 44.9% of the time is because if you add up the chances for the rest of the field, it would be greater than their chances to get the first pick. And just because historically they havent won the 1st pick, that doesnt lessen their chances of getting it. Its like that board near the roulette tables listing the numbers that have won recently, just because they won in the past doesnt change the chance on where the ball lands next. If i was forced to bet, i would go with 1 or 2 rather than 3
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:23 am to Studmuffin09
quote:
actually we still have a 15.6% chance (so not good). The reason that the 1st and 2nd worst teams only get the pick 44.9% of the time is because if you add up the chances for the rest of the field, it would be greater than their chances to get the first pick. And just because historically they havent won the 1st pick, that doesnt lessen their chances of getting it. Its like that board near the roulette tables listing the numbers that have won recently, just because they won in the past doesnt change the chance on where the ball lands next. If i was forced to bet, i would go with 1 or 2 rather than 3
You are so wrong. Odds are against 1 and 2 and then favor #3 bro. Take your non sense to another board.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:26 am to Chad504boy
how can the odds be against the 1st and 2nd worst teams if they have the best odds
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:27 am to Studmuffin09
quote:
how can the odds be against the 1st and 2nd worst teams if they have the best odds
55.1 > 44.9
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:31 am to Chad504boy
15.6%<44.9%
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:32 am to Chad504boy
quote:
55.1 > 44.9
You do realize, of course, that your 55.1% includes . . . oh screw it. Yeah, we're going to win it.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:33 am to VOR
I'm not sure who's trolling who
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:44 am to Studmuffin09
quote:
15.6%<44.9%
This scientific statistical theory went over your head dude.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:47 am to Chad504boy
don't forget the stern factor
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:49 am to Elleshoe
I had a premonition this morning after leaving the gym that the Hornets would land the number 2 spot. Not that bad, really.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:49 am to Chad504boy
so what you're saying is that we have the best chance of the teams with the worst chance, o ok. It's in the bag for us now
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:49 am to Elleshoe
quote:
don't forget the stern factor
I think that hurts us to be honest. Stern may have to go out of his way to ensure we don't win to avoid that suspicion of the stern factor.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:54 am to Chad504boy
quote:
Stern may have to go out of his way to ensure we don't win to avoid that suspicion of the stern factor.
Winning the lottery from the 8 spot (Cleveland) or 9 spot (Chicago) is suspicious. Winning from 6 or lower has been quite common lately.
Stern took so much heat owning the Hornets, if it had bothered him he'd have been doing a big victory lap saying I told you so when the team was sold, bu the didn't. I think Stern has already proven that he's an old dictator that doesn't care what other people think about him. If lottery rigging is an option I'm sure Stern would rather the next sure fire star in the league pair with Gordon in New Orleans than get forgotten on terrible teams in Charlotte or DC.
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:57 am to SLafourche07
quote:
I'm not sure who's trolling who
Doesn't matter
we winnin this shite This post was edited on 4/18/12 at 9:58 am
Posted on 4/18/12 at 9:59 am to Elleshoe
quote:
don't forget the stern factor
this. 15.6%>84.4% when we have him on our side
Posted on 4/18/12 at 10:02 am to Chad504boy
All your info is false. There is a 100% chance we win cause stern will rig the lottery
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