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re: LSU Wins / Losses

Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:00 pm to
Posted by Dallasgrowl
Allen, Texas
Member since Oct 2003
7000 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Ah yes attack the messenger when you can't counter the argument. I'll still say hi to you when I walk in walmart later though!


Where is the formula for your latest amazing deduction? Your high school teacher will be happy to know you used the point slope formula online to make an incredible arse of yourself.

This post was edited on 5/6/10 at 12:03 pm
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Where is that formula for that assumption?


Assuming you're a walamrt greeter? Just seems to fit with your general name calling and aversion to discussing things rationally.

quote:

Your high school teacher will be happy to know you used the point slope formula online to make an incredible arse of yourself.


No, my applied statistics committee will be shocked that people tried to draw conclusions outside the support of a distribution. That's just silliness
This post was edited on 5/6/10 at 12:05 pm
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
58955 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

CptBengal



I'll ask you what I asked the other socially awkward 'tard last night. Do you have Asburgers or some other mild form of autisim? You know that people in real life do not talk like this, don't you? We don't deal in pure numbers and absolutes. We have the capacity to actually take a step back, have some perspective, and interpret data. The fact that you think you've made even a compelling argument--much less "proven" or "pw3nd" people--in this thread is maybe more bizzare than your premise itself.
This post was edited on 5/6/10 at 12:15 pm
Posted by drexyl
Mingovia
Member since Sep 2005
23055 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:11 pm to
this thread is just fricking terrible.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:16 pm to
Never mind the fact that he provided a "slope" without giving the variables he used, didn't include a correlation coefficient, and didn't provide any other information to determine the validity of his "facts" or to replicate them.
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25315 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

That means on average in any season Les Miles has lost 0.7 more games than the year before.


Using this fact to predict furture outcomes is severly limited.

1.) you did not include his rate of change from his predecessor

2.) the n value of your study is limited as it only encoumpases a few data points.

3.) you randomized your data to exclude 4/9 of his HC career and 4/11 of his season average changes

4.) in part the slope is effected by a single outlier (2008)

5.) implying that a complex end point that is reliant on a multiplicity of variables will follow a liner pattern (especially based off of limited data sets) is ignorant at best and malicious at worse.




This post was edited on 5/6/10 at 12:39 pm
Posted by The_Pistol
Member since Dec 2003
2519 posts
Posted on 5/6/10 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

I only analyzed the work Miles has done at LSU up to this point. The numbers are irrefutable. What he does in the future is a matter of speculation and opinion, both of which contain zero fact.


Sooooo...you're just stating a fact that Miles has won fewer games the past two seasons than he did in the first three. Congrats on your superior education, Captain Obvious.

Next time bring some substance. Here's your homework:

Predict the winner of the SEC WEST based on a multiple regression analysis of the following variables:
Number of returning starters
Number of returning lettermen
QB returning Y/N
Average Height of the lettermen
Average Weight of the lettermen
# of scholarship players on the active roster

Is there a statistical correlation between these variables and wins?

If you have the time, can you put your education to use and do that. I'd be very interested to see the results.
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