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Started By
Message
Ginnie Mae IO Strips
Posted on 2/26/10 at 5:00 pm
Posted on 2/26/10 at 5:00 pm
I have a bond portfolio with mostly tax free munis, but a few corporate bonds. One of the corporates is maturing in 2012 and I can take a 10% profit if I sell now.
Broker approached me today about purchasing GNMA Interest Only Strips, which I can't find much research on. He says they are selling at discount now, 4% guaranteed, and initial investment should be recovered within a few years.
From what I have researched, the risk is tied to faster prepayments of mortgage loans, which wouldn't seem likely if interest rates are climbing long term.
Anyone have any experience with this?
Broker approached me today about purchasing GNMA Interest Only Strips, which I can't find much research on. He says they are selling at discount now, 4% guaranteed, and initial investment should be recovered within a few years.
From what I have researched, the risk is tied to faster prepayments of mortgage loans, which wouldn't seem likely if interest rates are climbing long term.
Anyone have any experience with this?
Posted on 2/26/10 at 6:39 pm to StPaul
I know Fannie and Freddie IOs have rallied like mad over the past 6 months. Hard for me to believe Ginnies are cheap, but what do I know.
Posted on 2/26/10 at 6:46 pm to StPaul
I don't specifically, but don't know that I would be excited about the opportunity due to the rate. Even if you get 4% your money is tied up and you can't reinvest at higher rates if and when rates go up. If you then tried to sell you would take a hit. How can the broker "advise" you with any certainty that the securities will pay out in a few years because as you suggested in your commentary extension risk (ie much fewer prepayments thereby extending the maturity of the underlying bonds) is much higher in rising rate environments and you are not being compensated to take this risk. The rate scenario we will likely see over the next few years is a scenario many advise against when contemplating buying GNMA or MBS in general. I am not a big fan of MBS, you are not compensated for call risk (ie, prepayment) nor extension risk.
Then again many people like GNMA's, I just have other risk in my portfolio and choose not to hold them as I don't want the double whammy of interest rates increasing and having a potentially negative impact on my equity holdings and the bonds taking a hit as well when new bonds are issued at higher rates and the market devalues outstanding off the run bonds.
Then again many people like GNMA's, I just have other risk in my portfolio and choose not to hold them as I don't want the double whammy of interest rates increasing and having a potentially negative impact on my equity holdings and the bonds taking a hit as well when new bonds are issued at higher rates and the market devalues outstanding off the run bonds.
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