FYI, boats in the water along the coast | TigerDroppings.com
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fishfighter
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
20909 posts

FYI, boats in the water along the coast

With this little invest 97 coming our way, a lot of water will be pushed in. If you have a boat in the water, you might want to put some storm lines on your rig.

Venice area will see around a 3' tide surge.

On a side note. Right after this storm passes, one can catch all the redfish they want along Tiger Pass. I'm talking about catching them till you get tired reeling them in.


Capt ST
LSU Fan
Middle of the Mall
Member since Aug 2011
6765 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
Surge is going to burn the feed up on coast. Hopefully water doesn't stay up too long. And we just sprayed lilies last week.


fishfighter
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
20909 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
Happen last year in Reggio. Washed all the good feed out.

quote:

And we just sprayed lilies last week.


The storm could be good to wash that crap out.

Yesterday, the water was super high down in New Orleans just off I10 in the morning.
This post was edited on 10/3 at 6:58 am


Da Hammer
LSU Fan
Folsom
Member since May 2008
3402 posts
Online

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
I'm hoping that the front doesn't stall and gets through here pretty quick to push the surge out.

While that won't help with boats, it will potentially keep some feed in the ponds by getting the surge out quickly. Nothing like having the marsh look incredible and getting a depression to come in and take it all away...


fishfighter
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
20909 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
FYI

1. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

WTF? Going to be a lot bigger then what they though.


Motorboat
LSU Fan
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
12602 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
quote:

Surge is going to burn the feed up on coast. Hopefully water doesn't stay up too long.


and it was looking like a banner duck year for the coast.


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Bussemer
LSU Fan
Heading South
Member since Dec 2007
2388 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
Image: http://clients.impactweather.com/product/nfs2/hrc/published/1787/6135/dist58adv.jpg


Image: http://clients.impactweather.com/n2/hrc/published/spaghetti/1787/all.gif


Disturbance 58 Advisory 14

Issued: Thursday, October 3rd 2013 2:46am CDT
Current Location: 21.9N, 86.6W
Geographic Reference: 40 miles north of Cancun, Mexico
Movement: NNW near 10 mph
Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 mph with gusts to 60 mph
Organizational trend: Slowly increasing
Chance of Development Within 48 hours: 95 percent
Changes From Our Previous Forecast
We have increased the chance of development from 80 percent to 95 percent based upon increased organization as well as the latest model data.
Our Forecast
Disturbance 58 has become better organized during the past 6 hours. However, the latest satellite and surface data does not conclusively indicate that the system has a closed surface circulation. Therefore, it remains a disturbance. The latest satellite data did indicate winds as high as 45 mph in the Yucatan Channel. Once a circulation does form, the disturbance will almost certainly be upgraded to a tropical storm. We have again increased the chance of development, now to 95 percent. Our thinking is that the system will strike the northern Gulf Coast as a moderate to strong tropical storm, with winds between 50 and 65 mph. However, we cannot rule out that the system will become a hurricane. We estimate the chance that the system will become a hurricane to be 30 percent.
There has been no significant change to the track forecast. We still forecast the system to pass just east of the mouth of the Mississippi River early Saturday. Final landfall should occur in Mississippi, Alabama, or the western Florida Panhandle late Saturday or early Sunday.

Expected Impacts Onshore
Northeast Yucatan: The heaviest rains remain to the east of the Yucatan, over the Yucatan Channel. However, accumulations of 2-4 inches are possible today. No major flooding is likely.
Northern Gulf Coast:
Rain : Squalls associated with the disturbance could reach the area by late Friday. The heaviest squalls are likely late Saturday and early Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated totals of 10 inches, will be possible over a small area near and to the east of where the center moves inland. Localized flooding is possible.
Wind : Sustained winds in the 50 to 65 mph range are possible within about 50 miles east of where the center moves onshore late Saturday or early Sunday. Isolated gusts to hurricane force are possible.
Surge: A tidal surge of 2 to 4 feet is possible near and within 50 miles east of where the center makes landfall.
Expected Impacts Offshore
Eastern and Central Gulf of Mexico: The first squalls are likely to reach the deepwater lease areas offshore of Mississippi late today. Tomorrow and Saturday, wind gusts to hurricane force will be possible within the squalls. The strongest winds will likely occur within 50 miles to the east of the center.
The next advisory will be issued by 9 AM CDT.

Meteorologists: Derek Ortt / Jeremy Mazon
This post was edited on 10/3 at 7:44 am


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OldHickory
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2012
2930 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
Supposed to be upgraded to TS Karen within the hour.


nhassl1
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
1906 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
There goes my lease...


Capt ST
LSU Fan
Middle of the Mall
Member since Aug 2011
6765 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
quote:

The storm could be good to wash that crap out


We usually end up with the lillies from neighbor that doesn't spray. The one good thing is it kills the salvania and brings the reds in big time.


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eng08
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2013
2550 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
Nah I think you will be ok, where I have been going to Pearl River is screwed.


wickowick
LSU Fan
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
26570 posts
Online

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
It is going to depend on wind speed, how fast it is moving and the location of landfall...


wickowick
LSU Fan
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
26570 posts
Online

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast


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sloopy
LSU Fan
nola
Member since Aug 2009
4513 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
quote:

There goes my lease...


Where is that?


nhassl1
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
1906 posts

re: FYI, boats in the water along the coast
South of Montegut


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