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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:34 pm to
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12087 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:34 pm to
Have an up vote Peej.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202618 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:36 pm to
Oh poor baby???????
Posted by SG_Geaux
1 Post
Member since Aug 2004
77929 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Didn't I say the panhandle over a week ago?????


Here is your attention.
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:38 pm to
So what if it doesn't hit the panhandle? What if it hits further South?

Will you eat crow?
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 9:46 pm
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
98723 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:44 pm to
I gave you credit back on page 160. Now get over yourself.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:48 pm to
Down from 1003 earlier in this same mission:

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 2:13Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5307
Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2016
Storm Name: Hermine (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 11
Observation Number: 09
A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 2:02:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°44'N 87°01'W (25.7333N 87.0167W)
B. Center Fix Location: 321 statute miles (516 km) to the WSW (241°) from Tampa, FL, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,420m (4,659ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 36kts (~ 41.4mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the NNE (29°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 82° at 35kts (From the E at ~ 40.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles (10 statute miles) to the N (10°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,527m (5,010ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,520m (4,987ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.03 nautical miles

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 57kts (~ 65.6mph) which was observed 95 nautical miles (109 statute miles) to the SE (128°) from the flight level center at 1:20:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 235° at 16kts (From the SW at 18mph)
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5827 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:48 pm to

They keep saying it's moving NNE but the coordinates haven't changed in the last 4 hrs. Looks stationary to me.

Posted by NewNameAgain
Member since Jul 2016
20 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:07 pm to
Any chance this thing splits into two distinct storms? It's starting to look like it's going that way.

Posted by TigerGrad2011
Member since Aug 2016
1578 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:11 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/14/23 at 10:22 pm
Posted by NewNameAgain
Member since Jul 2016
20 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:15 pm to
Imagine it depends on the final path, but I'm guessing rough. Glo or Southern Airways Express?
Posted by TigerGrad2011
Member since Aug 2016
1578 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:25 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/14/23 at 10:22 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:33 pm to
The little blue teardrop that appears to the immediate west of the upper convection blob seems to be the low level center of circulation. If anything can get wrapped around the north and west sides of that area it could be trouble.
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5827 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 10:54 pm to

The accu weather 10 pm CDT coordinates are 24.6 / 88.0. These coordinates are different than the NHS coordinates at 10 p CDT and if true, the center has been just about stationary since 7 am this morning.

Just an observation.

Posted by razorbackfan4life
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2011
8489 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:22 pm to
I'll be in Destin a week from this upcoming Monday. Hopefully it doesn't get too bad down there. Not for my sake, but for the residents.

This storm has had a mind of it's own throughout its entire life.
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 11:23 pm
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35606 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:33 pm to
Too much shear. Even last night it couldn't expand much to the west. It's huge too, making it even harder to organize. 20ish knots of shear from the west isn't helping.
Posted by ellunchboxo
Gtown
Member since Feb 2009
18779 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 2:23 am to
quote:

I'll be in Destin a week from this upcoming Monday. Hopefully it doesn't get too bad down there. Not for my sake, but for the residents.


Heading down there on the 14th. Hope all is well.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
21730 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:44 am to
Latest winds picked up to 60 MPH and showing signs of formation and strength. Looks like it will make it to a Cat 1 before landfall tomorrow. God Bless Florida and hope the storm surge is minimal.
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
6901 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 6:00 am to
quote:

Have an up vote Peej.


If this were an episode of big bang theory, it might be called the Hermine Anomaly.
Posted by makinskrilla
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jun 2009
9727 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 6:07 am to
I hope we can't get a refund on our condo. Was supposed to vacation in Destin sept 1-sept7
Posted by LSU Fan SLU Grad
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2006
4893 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 6:18 am to
quote:

Any chance this thing splits into two distinct storms?


Only because I just woke up and I'm cranky, sooooo...

WTF are you talking about?
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