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Started By
Message
Ray Kurzweil. Google's Director of Engineering predicts Singularity by 2029
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:53 am
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:53 am
This guy has 140+ tech predictions since 1994 with an 86% success rate.
This is happening sooner than I thought.
Humans will merge their brains with machines in 12 years.
LINK
This is happening sooner than I thought.
Humans will merge their brains with machines in 12 years.
LINK
quote:
By 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence,” Kurzweil said in an interview at the SXSW Conference with Shira Lazar and Amy Kurzweil Comix
quote:
Known as the Singularity, the event is oft discussed by scientists, futurists, technology stalwarts and others as a time when artificial intelligence will cause machines to become smarter than human beings. The time frame is much sooner than what other stalwarts have said, including British theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking, as well as previous predictions from Kurzweil, who said it may occur as soon as 2045.
quote:
Though many luminaries, including Hawking, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and even Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates have warned about the age of machine learnings and artificial intelligence, Kurzweil isn’t worried.
quote:
“That’s not realistic,” Kurzweil said of one artificial intelligence potentially enslaving humanity. “We don’t have one or two AIs in the world. Today we have billions.” Musk, who has said that humans must merge with machines or risk becoming irrelevant, is working with OpenAI, a non-profit artificial intelligence research company, that is focused on making AI friendly to humanity.
This post was edited on 3/17/17 at 8:54 am
33
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:54 am to musick
Augmentations are gonna be the future of humanity!
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:54 am to musick
The Singularity is inevitable. Not sure if it will happen by 2029, but it will happen.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:55 am to musick
12years....Ill proba wait this one out for a bit. Let those first adapters give it a go.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:56 am to musick
Kurzweil has always been notoriously optimistic with his timelines. But I hope he's right.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:57 am to musick
I'll wait a few months after release before installing to let all the bugs get worked out
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:57 am to musick
quote:
Musk, who has said that humans must merge with machines or risk becoming irrelevant, is working with OpenAI, a non-profit artificial intelligence research company, that is focused on making AI friendly to humanity.
I can't wait for the debate on AI rights and whether or not AI "slavery" should be abolished
Going to be some fun times ahead
Posted on 3/17/17 at 8:57 am to musick
X'ers will be the first generation to live forever.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:01 am to LucasP
Same here Luke,
I have a feeling we may have the choice to live forever in a machine or die once we get closer to 60 years old.
Going to be an interesting dilemma.
I have a feeling we may have the choice to live forever in a machine or die once we get closer to 60 years old.
Going to be an interesting dilemma.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:04 am to musick
San Junipeiro
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:05 am to musick
How can I tell my future machine overlords that I come in peace?
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:07 am to musick
Future Baw
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:08 am to musick
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:09 am to musick
quote:
feeling we may have the choice to live forever in a machine or die once we get closer to 60 years old.
I'll take normal death, please.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:15 am to LordSaintly
quote:
The Singularity is inevitable. Not sure if it will happen by 2029, but it will happen.
With ReRAM I can see it. LINK
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:16 am to musick
quote:
have a feeling we may have the choice to live forever in a machine or die once we get closer to 60 years old
I can't imagine the psych screening process needed to decide who gets in.
The damage one could do without a full deck post-assimilation?
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:16 am to NYNolaguy1
quote:
How can I tell my future machine lords I come in piece?
11000110101001100 I believe though I'm a little rusty.
But seriously 12 years is a laughable timeline. Another poster pointed me to the complexity break, which is basically the idea that not all technological progress is exponential since the more information becomes known about a subject or field the harder it becomes to innovate further within that field, and I think we are approaching that break with computation. Hell I think Moore's law failed for the first time ever a couple years ago and has been progressively slowing down.
Once we can have a conversation with an Alexa type thing (actual conversation, pas Turing test), master quantum computing and start getting really good at mapping the brain, I'll start getting nervous.
I predict end of century at the earliest as it stands right now
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:18 am to musick
Sheldon Cooper believes this will happen within 100 years.
Posted on 3/17/17 at 9:20 am to Big_Slim
quote:
I predict end of century at the earliest as it stands right now
Well now I feel much better. Thanks random anonymous internet poster.
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