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Powerball odds in perspective

Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:19 am
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12309 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:19 am
If you drive one mile to the store to buy your lottery ticket and then return home, your chance of being killed (or killing someone else) is about 10 times greater than the chance that you will win the Powerball Jackpot.

If you “played” Russian Roulette 100 times per day every day for 79 years with Powerball Jackpot odds, you would have better than a 99% chance of surviving.

Equivalent chance of flipping a coin and getting heads 28 times in a row


You have a greater chance of any of these things happening...

-Have an IQ of 190 or greater (1 out of 107 million, although the odds are greater on the OT I'm sure)
-Give birth to quadruplets, even without the help of fertility treatments (1 in 729,000)
-Be killed by an asteroid strike (1 in 74,817,414)
-Be struck by lightning, while drowning (1 in 183 million)
-Being killed by a vending machine (1 in 112 million)
-Getting murdered during a trip to the Grand Canyon (1 in 8,156,000)
-Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)
-Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
-Dying from using a right-handed product incorrectly if you are left-handed (1 in 4.4 million)
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)

Good luck everyone
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67589 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:20 am to
can't you just let me dream about winning instead of being Debbie downer
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83924 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:20 am to
Nervous, brah?
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
24558 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:22 am to
Somebody win this and make this stop!
Posted by SwaggerCopter
H TINE HOL IT DINE
Member since Dec 2012
27227 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:22 am to
frick.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84049 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)


This can't be right. To me, it assumes that there are only 157 million possible women's names, when there are an infinite amount of possibilities. For it to make sense to me, it would need to read Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. from a word-bank of all 157 million names.

ETA: I'm still winning tonight though
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57443 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to
I'm calling bullshite on the odds of being killed by falling airplane parts
Posted by 13SaintTiger
Isle of Capri
Member since Sep 2011
18315 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to
I bet my odds of winning the powerball are better than the odds of me being born when I was born and who I am today
Posted by Breaux
Member since Nov 2005
3965 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to
Someone will win eventually, I just hope it's me.
Posted by Deep Purple Haze
LA
Member since Jun 2007
51668 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:25 am to
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26125 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:25 am to
quote:

-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)



This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:27 am
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
98699 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:25 am to
1 in 10 million, huh? No way I'm going outside today now that I know that.
Posted by Iko
Mandeville
Member since Jul 2013
85 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:26 am to
On Mike and Mike this morning, they quoted a statistician who determined that Bartolo Colon has a greater chance of hitting an inside-the-park home run than you do of winning the Powerball Lottery.
Posted by The Ostrich
Member since May 2009
2541 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:27 am to
all are circumstantial anyone can win
Posted by Theboot32
Member since Jan 2016
2435 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:29 am to
quote:

TDawg1313


that stuff is bullshite though, becuase someone will win the Powerball, probably tonight.

All that shite you listed isnt going to happen to anyone within a certain timeframe, some of it may, but it may not.

as in, someone isnt going to be hit by an asteroid or falling airplane parts tonight. There's a finite-ness to this that makes those comparisons invalid.

eta: you know who won't win? someone who doesn't have a ticket
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am
Posted by sec13rowBBseat28
St George, LA
Member since Aug 2006
15350 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:29 am to
"So you're telling me there's a chance"
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to
Odds of not winning if I don't play at all:




100/100



BTW, glad you posted this. I haven't heard this shite over and over the last 2-3 weeks.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84049 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to
quote:

that stuff is bullshite though, becuase someone will win the Powerball, probably tonight.


You're ignoring how many tickets are sold for tonight's drawing, making a winner much more likely than all the stuff listed in the OP.
Posted by TheChosenOne
Member since Dec 2005
18515 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)


That sounds awful
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
57571 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:33 am to
Quit trying to improve your chances.
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