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Started By
Message
Powerball odds in perspective
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:19 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:19 am
If you drive one mile to the store to buy your lottery ticket and then return home, your chance of being killed (or killing someone else) is about 10 times greater than the chance that you will win the Powerball Jackpot.
If you “played” Russian Roulette 100 times per day every day for 79 years with Powerball Jackpot odds, you would have better than a 99% chance of surviving.
Equivalent chance of flipping a coin and getting heads 28 times in a row
You have a greater chance of any of these things happening...
-Have an IQ of 190 or greater (1 out of 107 million, although the odds are greater on the OT I'm sure)
-Give birth to quadruplets, even without the help of fertility treatments (1 in 729,000)
-Be killed by an asteroid strike (1 in 74,817,414)
-Be struck by lightning, while drowning (1 in 183 million)
-Being killed by a vending machine (1 in 112 million)
-Getting murdered during a trip to the Grand Canyon (1 in 8,156,000)
-Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)
-Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
-Dying from using a right-handed product incorrectly if you are left-handed (1 in 4.4 million)
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
Good luck everyone
If you “played” Russian Roulette 100 times per day every day for 79 years with Powerball Jackpot odds, you would have better than a 99% chance of surviving.
Equivalent chance of flipping a coin and getting heads 28 times in a row
You have a greater chance of any of these things happening...
-Have an IQ of 190 or greater (1 out of 107 million, although the odds are greater on the OT I'm sure)
-Give birth to quadruplets, even without the help of fertility treatments (1 in 729,000)
-Be killed by an asteroid strike (1 in 74,817,414)
-Be struck by lightning, while drowning (1 in 183 million)
-Being killed by a vending machine (1 in 112 million)
-Getting murdered during a trip to the Grand Canyon (1 in 8,156,000)
-Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)
-Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
-Dying from using a right-handed product incorrectly if you are left-handed (1 in 4.4 million)
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
Good luck everyone
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:20 am to TDawg1313
can't you just let me dream about winning instead of being Debbie downer
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:22 am to TDawg1313
Somebody win this and make this stop!
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:23 am to TDawg1313
quote:
Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
This can't be right. To me, it assumes that there are only 157 million possible women's names, when there are an infinite amount of possibilities. For it to make sense to me, it would need to read Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. from a word-bank of all 157 million names.
ETA: I'm still winning tonight though
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to TDawg1313
I'm calling bullshite on the odds of being killed by falling airplane parts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to TDawg1313
I bet my odds of winning the powerball are better than the odds of me being born when I was born and who I am today
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:24 am to TDawg1313
Someone will win eventually, I just hope it's me.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:25 am to TDawg1313
quote:
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:27 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:25 am to TDawg1313
1 in 10 million, huh? No way I'm going outside today now that I know that.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:26 am to TDawg1313
On Mike and Mike this morning, they quoted a statistician who determined that Bartolo Colon has a greater chance of hitting an inside-the-park home run than you do of winning the Powerball Lottery.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:27 am to Iko
all are circumstantial anyone can win
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:29 am to TDawg1313
quote:
TDawg1313
that stuff is bullshite though, becuase someone will win the Powerball, probably tonight.
All that shite you listed isnt going to happen to anyone within a certain timeframe, some of it may, but it may not.
as in, someone isnt going to be hit by an asteroid or falling airplane parts tonight. There's a finite-ness to this that makes those comparisons invalid.
eta: you know who won't win? someone who doesn't have a ticket
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:29 am to TDawg1313
"So you're telling me there's a chance"
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to TDawg1313
Odds of not winning if I don't play at all:
100/100
BTW, glad you posted this. I haven't heard this shite over and over the last 2-3 weeks.
100/100
BTW, glad you posted this. I haven't heard this shite over and over the last 2-3 weeks.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to Theboot32
quote:
that stuff is bullshite though, becuase someone will win the Powerball, probably tonight.
You're ignoring how many tickets are sold for tonight's drawing, making a winner much more likely than all the stuff listed in the OP.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:31 am to TDawg1313
quote:
Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)
That sounds awful
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:33 am to TDawg1313
Quit trying to improve your chances.
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