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Started By
Message
I finally get why you switch in the Monty Hall puzzle
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:16 pm
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:16 pm
You have to look at the puzzle through the eyes of Monty Hall and not the game participant. You always switch to gain the best odds. It makes sense to me now.
7
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:17 pm to McVick
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:18 pm to McVick
20 pages
ETA: Well, if you had started this during the work day. Bump it tomorrow around 8AM.
ETA: Well, if you had started this during the work day. Bump it tomorrow around 8AM.
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 6:20 pm
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:19 pm to McVick
The frick?
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:20 pm to McVick
quote:FINALLY!!!!
I finally get why you switch in the Monty Hall puzzle
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:21 pm to McVick
here we go
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:21 pm to tketaco
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:23 pm to ell_13
I know, right? I now feel confident that I can explain the reasoning to someone else who does not understand the puzzle.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:24 pm to McVick
Let's hear it then.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:47 pm to ell_13
You have a 2/3 chance of initially picking wrong. Once you make a selection, Monty will reveal one door that is not the car. Once he has revealed this piece of information to you, statistics show that you have most likely picked a bunk door (a 2/3 chance of this happening) with your initial choice. You switch because of the reveal. You do not have a 50/50 chance once based on the boundaries of the game.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:48 pm to McVick
Posted on 9/15/14 at 6:58 pm to McVick
Posted on 9/15/14 at 7:10 pm to Yellerhammer5
Thanks for the link. Although it does not explain why it works, that website shows us visually why we should change doors.
I finally understood this after listening to the this week's Cracked podcast. It makes a lot more sense to look at the problem not through the participant's perspective but as a third party observer.
I finally understood this after listening to the this week's Cracked podcast. It makes a lot more sense to look at the problem not through the participant's perspective but as a third party observer.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 7:13 pm to Yellerhammer5
quote:
This is the last post needed in this thread, but please, spend the next 20 pages arguing.
a-hole
Posted on 9/15/14 at 7:28 pm to GRTiger
I think that if people don't understand why you should switch, they may be latently homosexual.
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