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Gulf Watch 99L - It's Done, It's Over
Posted on 9/20/15 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/20/15 at 4:59 pm
9/20 Update - So the models are back around to showing something in the Gulf in about a week. However, there appears to be much more model support this time round than the last. If anyone remembers, the Euro was showing an on-and-off again threat a while back but it really didn't have any support.
The models are trying to spin something up in the NW Caribbean in the vicinity of the Yucatan.
That area has been suppressed the last couple of weeks (red box above) but upper level conditions look to get more favorable in about a week and the red diamond is approximately the area the models are focusing on, at this time.
The Euro, Euro EPS & Control, GEFS, and the GFS are all showing some variation of a system.
EURO EPS
EURO
GEFS
GFS
From here the Euro package brings a system into Louisiana and the GFS is bound for Florida. Shear looks to be an issue and the different models handle the upper levels differently but the common theme, at this time, appears to be a weak sheared system that might be more of a hybrid system than truly tropical
This post was edited on 9/28/15 at 4:29 pm
5
Posted on 9/20/15 at 5:02 pm to rds dc
Better than the alternative.
Posted on 9/20/15 at 5:05 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
Better than the alternative.
Yep, but a weak rain producer would be welcome to most in the South at this point
Posted on 9/20/15 at 5:18 pm to rds dc
Big shout out to the Hurricanes that didn't form This past week.
Was living like one of the OT ballers, beachfront, on Cape San Blas.
Now, go back to shitting on peoples vacations.
Was living like one of the OT ballers, beachfront, on Cape San Blas.
Now, go back to shitting on peoples vacations.
Posted on 9/20/15 at 5:47 pm to rds dc
Gee ..I don't know .. Take this season as a whole and tell us what you think !
Posted on 9/21/15 at 7:32 am to rds dc
Essentially all the overnight guidance shows something between Louisiana and the Panhandle
Posted on 9/21/15 at 9:16 am to rds dc
A hurricane is the only thing that woulda stopped Buga sat nite.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 3:26 pm to rds dc
Basically every model is now showing a system in the Gulf next week.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 3:50 pm to rds dc
Keep us posted
Posted on 9/22/15 at 3:51 pm to rds dc
quote:
Basically every model is now showing a system in the Gulf next week.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 4:45 pm to rds dc
no spaghetti models, no care.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 4:53 pm to rds dc
quote:
Basically every model is now showing a system in the Gulf next week.
That's no bueno. I'm outta town and the wife is alone with the kids..........
Posted on 9/22/15 at 5:19 pm to Sid in Lakeshore
impossible. The world ends tomorrow.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 5:27 pm to rds dc
I always thought it is weird how these droughts stop right at the Canadian & Mexican borders.
Posted on 9/22/15 at 8:45 pm to GeauxBlonde
quote:
no spaghetti models, no care.
Here you go
Posted on 9/23/15 at 12:17 pm to rds dc
You can basically ignore this image, if you see it floating around this afternoon
This post was edited on 9/23/15 at 12:19 pm
Posted on 9/23/15 at 12:20 pm to rds dc
Well you just did the exact opposite of what you're trying to do by posting that image
I'm intrigued now. Skeptical, but intrigued. Kinda like when I see a trashy black girl wearing skimpy tight clothes.
I'm intrigued now. Skeptical, but intrigued. Kinda like when I see a trashy black girl wearing skimpy tight clothes.
Posted on 9/23/15 at 12:34 pm to rds dc
A 967 MB central pressure would be a Cat 4 to 5 hurricane. Wow.
Eta: I'm wrong. 967 would be about a Cat 2.
Eta: I'm wrong. 967 would be about a Cat 2.
This post was edited on 9/23/15 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 9/23/15 at 12:35 pm to rds dc
seriously, not only is this the end of the world day, it's almost October.
No storm is going to happen.
No storm is going to happen.
Posted on 9/23/15 at 12:46 pm to rds dc
quote:
You can basically ignore this image, if you see it floating around this afternoon
why is that?
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