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re: Tropical Storm Erika - fat lady has sung, passed out, & getting dry humped

Posted on 8/24/15 at 2:27 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41532 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Nobody should frick with TDsNgumbo

couldn't agree more
quote:

greatest Message board weatherman ever

'preciate it, man.


Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 2:28 pm to
No Gulf

No care
Posted by TigerPox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 2:29 pm to
I seriously read his post with the sarcastic font on.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202612 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Nobody should frick with TDsNgumbo




quote:

couldn't agree more




Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:01 pm to
it's ok PJ. TDsNgumbo wasn't around to see how many lives I saved during Gustav
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38209 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

TDsNgumbo wasn't around to see how many lives I saved during Gustav


For realises?
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:09 pm to
everything on the OT is for realsies
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41532 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

TDsNgumbo wasn't around to see how many lives I saved during Gustav

Oh I was here. Except y'all didn't know me as TDsnGumbo
This post was edited on 8/24/15 at 3:12 pm
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166128 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:19 pm to


Everyone better start checking their generators and water supply.

The suddan wave is pretty stacked and has great formation. A bit further north and will avoid some initial shearing off the coast.

The ghanan wave may take some time but has the heart of a lion.

Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41532 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:20 pm to

quote:

Everyone better start checking their generators and water supply.

The suddan wave is pretty stacked and has great formation. A bit further north and will avoid some initial shearing off the coast.

The ghanan wave may take some time but has the heart of a lion.


But will Punta Cana be okay!?
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:22 pm to
quote:


The ghanan wave may take some time but has the heart of a lion.
any dentists want to take a shot at that one?
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131234 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 3:49 pm to
Break it down for me Bay.

I do not trust most of the Charlatans that post in the hurricane threads.

You and Rummel are the 2 I trust most.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5308 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 5:44 pm to
The latest model runs are showing quite a ridge around 5 days that would keep this on a Westward or WNW track towards the Gulf. 5 days out is not a long time for these models and they can usually be trusted in that time frame. Doesn't mean things can't change but I am keeping a close eye. This may have a hard time ramping up because of its fast forward speed but if this makes it into the Gulf and slows down, someone better watch out.

Baytiger, can you explain the image you posted showing the 500mb pattern. The image says it is valid for tomorrow. I am self taught and have TONS to learn. If the image is valid for tomorrow, how does that tell us what the pattern will be when this approaches the coast, in 5-7 days?
This post was edited on 8/24/15 at 5:49 pm
Posted by TakeAGander
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
557 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

But will Punta Cana be okay!?


Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 6:17 pm to
Upper level ridges parked over the Southern plains will effectively close the Gulf coast for business. Downstream trough will likely recurve Erika. SAL May be Erika's downfall like Danny. Wind shear should not be as bad as it was for Danny.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
30589 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 6:31 pm to




What website did you find these computer models on?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41532 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 7:12 pm to
That's wunderground.com
Posted by TigahRag
Sorting Out OT BS Since 2005
Member since May 2005
132775 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 7:22 pm to
Oh Lord ..
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Baytiger, can you explain the image you posted showing the 500mb pattern. The image says it is valid for tomorrow. I am self taught and have TONS to learn. If the image is valid for tomorrow, how does that tell us what the pattern will be when this approaches the coast, in 5-7 days?


it's actually valid for Saturday.. and honestly I just picked a random one from this weekend. I was illustrating the 500mb wind, which is the primary steering flow, blowing offshore from Georgia and the Carolinas. Basically what that's showing is that the storm either hooks out into the Atlantic or rides all the islands to get into the Gulf of Mexico and gets destroyed in the process. Obviously it's a forecast and it's a long way out so there's a chance it changes, but the main message I was trying to convey is that there's a low probability this storm goes into the east coast.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/24/15 at 8:34 pm to
Yall frickin hungry for a hurricane to hit us huh
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