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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/28/15 at 9:45 am to jimbeam
When are you coming back? If sunday I'd think you'd be fine, Monday different story
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:05 am to Chad504boy
quote:
this storm is so scary. people will underestimate this storm and die. happens every year. erika will claim a life. don't let it be you man.
I get trolling and always enjoy a good one. However, this is pretty tasteless given that as many as 20 people may have been killed yesterday during the flooding on Dominica. That is one of the poorest islands in that area and countless people lost everything they had.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:07 am to rds dc
quote:
I get trolling and always enjoy a good one. However, this is pretty tasteless given that as many as 20 people may have been killed yesterday during the flooding on Dominica. That is one of the poorest islands in that area and countless people lost everything they had.
or it proves my point.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:09 am to CuseTiger
Flying in Wednesday night in Miami.. the storm should be passed over by then. 
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:19 am to CuseTiger
Looks like it may not really even hit Miami now...crazy
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:21 am to Buckeye06
quote:
Looks like it may not really even hit Miami now...crazy
IF it does take that track, Miami would be in the worst of it. A direct hit would, believe it or not, be the best thing for Miami since the center is so weak. The strongest winds and worst rain is to the east of Erika.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:22 am to TDsngumbo
I'm seriously thinking she continues westward for quite some time and curves north into the central Gulf. I'm not joking.
Of course, she would probably be extremely weak at that point.
Of course, she would probably be extremely weak at that point.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:23 am to TDsngumbo
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 5:24 am
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:24 am to TDsngumbo
Any models calling for this to dissipate? Given the shear and track over Hispanola it wouldn't surprise me
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:36 am to Pedro
quote:
Any models calling for this to dissipate?
Yes
quote:
Given the shear and track over Hispanola it wouldn't surprise me
You would be correct. However, it looks like she may skirt the southern coast of Hispaniola and possibly hit Jamaica. That would hurt her and the environment in the Caribbean isn't very conducive either.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:59 am to Pedro
quote:12Z GFS initializes it as an open wave and never closes it again. 00z ecmwf kind of hinted at that but reclosed it near appalachicola.
Any models calling for this to dissipate?
I wouldn't be surprised if we don't hear from Erika again after she gets to Hispaniola outside of rain and gusty winds from the remnants over Florida... but the wave has been surprisingly resilient despite all she's gone through so maybe it'll come back together over the Bahamas
This post was edited on 8/28/15 at 11:00 am
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:03 am to baytiger
last "vortex" fix from recon was 1012mb.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:09 am to baytiger
quote:
last "vortex" fix from recon was 1012mb.
And at 16.8N 70W... That is the definition of just mailing it in
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:09 am to baytiger
Is there anything else out in the open water brewing or are we ok for now?
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:18 am to tunechi
quote:
Is there anything else out in the open water brewing or are we ok for now?
Yea, I hear there is a tropical storm in the Indian Ocean that's suppose to go south and curve around Africa, head north through the Atlantic Ocean, make one trip around the world, and magically appear in the bahamas. From there it could go north, northwest, or west. It's not suppose to happen until a few years, but you should be prepared and start worrying now.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:33 am to baytiger
quote:
12Z GFS initializes it as an open wave and never closes it again.
But keeps the remnants around all week with them drifting west just south of the Panhandle and starting to "strengthen" again...
Posted on 8/28/15 at 11:39 am to rds dc
Tropical Rainstorm Erika
Posted on 8/28/15 at 12:03 pm to baytiger
Recon seems interested in the area around 17N 70W and now there is convection going up just east of there.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 12:07 pm to TDsngumbo
More of your dramatic thread title edits.
"Much more west"
This was like Danny "almost certain to end up in the Gulf as a tropical storm."
"Much more west"
This was like Danny "almost certain to end up in the Gulf as a tropical storm."
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