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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:02 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62719 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

significant European model agreement about tracking the storm south of Miami, FL, and into the Gulf of Mexico


Well,
quote:

ByteMe
Posted by Shankopotomus
Social Distanced
Member since Feb 2009
21057 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:03 pm to
LBAR model = Hurricane Andrew

frick that
Posted by ByteMe
Member since Sep 2003
22346 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

AKA
Mississippi



Posted by ByteMe
Member since Sep 2003
22346 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

Well,


Well what?
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
10666 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:06 pm to
Booked a free cancellation room in Alexandria this morning for Tuesday. That way i got something in my back pocket in case ish hits the fan
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62719 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:10 pm to
It ruins it if I've got to explain it.
Posted by Vood
Enjoying a Forty with Lando
Member since Dec 2007
8332 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:21 pm to
WAIT!!! We are going to die now? Earlier, it was going to go out to sea and avoid GOM.


This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 9:22 pm
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117677 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:22 pm to
See what?
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38205 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Earlier, it was going to go out to sea and avoid GOM.


That's not how it works. Models and forecasts are fluid and do not always represent what will actually happen. 99L is still nothing more than a tropical low/wave and we won't know more about it until it actually turns into something or fizzles out.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164014 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:26 pm to
Pray for Punta Cana
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166117 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:26 pm to
Seems like you folks don't know anything until landfall and even then sometimes they do a loopty loop nobody called
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38205 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:27 pm to
what lol
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
98703 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:28 pm to
It probably doesn't mean anything, but I was just watching House of Cards ***Spoiler warning*** and a major hurricane threatening the US turned north into the Atlantic, causing no major damage to the US.
Posted by Catman88
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
49125 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:28 pm to
Nothing Mama Juana can't fix
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38205 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

It probably doesn't mean anything, but I was just watching House of Cards ***Spoiler warning*** and a major hurricane threatening the US turned north into the Atlantic, causing no major damage to the US.


Posted by ByteMe
Member since Sep 2003
22346 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

Booked a free cancellation room in Alexandria this morning for Tuesday. That way i got something in my back pocket in case ish hits the fan





Good Call, you can never be too careful. Good luck to ish, I hope he doesn't hit the fan.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

00z runs have come back west some. Also starting to get convection firing nearer to the center.


Also, 18z GEFS shifted west and the 12z Euro EPS mean was west of the OP. Not really any major changes in thinking other than an eastward expansion of the spread today. The upper level setup across basically the entire western half of the Atlantic basin is pretty complicated and there were some significant changes with that on the 12z Euro. It will be interesting to see what the 00z models show tonight.

Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37472 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:30 pm to
What time do those come out?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

What time do those come out?


GFS runs at 10:30 pm and the Euro at 12:45 am. The run times are also listed in the OP.
Posted by djangochained
Gardere
Member since Jul 2013
19054 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 9:33 pm to
I'm flying to DR Sunday night for a Monday AM meeting, I should push this back a few weeks right ?
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