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Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:29 pm to rds dc
welp i was wrong looks to make a landfall near tampa
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:30 pm to lsuman25
Big changes this run, rolling right up the west coast of FL.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:30 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Great news
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:33 pm to AU24
quote:
Guy on the weather channel just compared 99L potential path and current GOM water temps to Katrina path. Umm I think it's a little early for the fear baiting from the weather channel.
I agree 100%. BUT, on the flip side, if they didn't and it happened to turn into a katrina type storm... shite would be lit
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Great news
Thanks to that little thing off of Texas that hasn't been there on past runs.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
I don't know what to expect from run to run with this storm.
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
I don't know what to expect from run to run with this storm.
Expect nothing.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Im going to start stocking up on water, batteries and canned goods.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm to J Murdah
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm to deuce985
quote:
It would be pretty hilarious if GFS turned out to be the only one right.
I'm not sure how much credit it deserves when 18 hours ago it brought the storm into Texas and 24 hours ago it didn't think the storm would ever get going.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:34 pm to rds dc
quote:
Thanks to that little thing off of Texas that hasn't been there on past runs.
yeah that lil low was like
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 1:38 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:35 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Already seeing the social media Mets writing off this euro run. This is why people get pissed. It's like people want it to go to a certain area and cheer it on when their chosen model agrees, but when it doesn't, they discount it.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:36 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
I don't know what to expect from run to run with this storm.
Pretty common in the early stages of development, the high amount of uncertainty has been highlighted by the ensembles. Hopefully, this is a start of a new east trend.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:36 pm to Chad504boy
That is shocking to see a hurricane being pushed slightly south of west by a ridge and then suddenly going due north so quickly. I don't see the ridge going away that fast. Just no way.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:37 pm to tke857
Landfall in the big bend of Florida Wednesday morning. Pressure at 987 millibars.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:40 pm to Wimp Lo
quote:
Already seeing the social media Mets writing off this euro run. This is why people get pissed. It's like people want it to go to a certain area and cheer it on when their chosen model agrees, but when it doesn't, they discount it.
Exactly, some mets get too invested in a solution and look for ways to make it verify vs accessing the situation and making changes. In reality, nothing has really changed since yesterday with a poorly organized system moving westward towards the Gulf. Still lots of uncertainty about what will eventually happen.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:41 pm to rds dc
quote:in previous runs the ECMWF operational has been a bit skewed from the ensembles, and then the ensembles catch up in the next run. It'll be interesting to see how this solution compares when the ensembles are out.
Pretty common in the early stages of development, the high amount of uncertainty has been highlighted by the ensembles.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:41 pm to rds dc
Wonder if it was being influenced by gaston also on the EURO looks like it shifted way west on the run with Gaston
Posted on 8/24/16 at 1:42 pm to BigB0882
quote:
That is shocking to see a hurricane being pushed slightly south of west by a ridge and then suddenly going due north so quickly. I don't see the ridge going away that fast. Just no way.
It's barely even a tropical wave right now. It's just a mess of clouds with little certainty that it will ever form into anything.
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