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Started By
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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:43 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:43 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
GEAUXmedic
Unsettling images for sure.
0
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:43 pm to GEAUXmedic
doesn't really matter exactly where the model puts it from there, GM. Time to be on alert, guys.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:45 pm to baytiger
Ends up near Mobile. Way too close for comfort. Is this the beginning of a westward trend? 
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:45 pm to baytiger
Uhhhggg
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:46 pm to baytiger
Yea, if it were any other model i most likely would take it with a grain of salt, with it being the EURO i will most definitely be keeping a close eye on this one.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:47 pm to baytiger
Also looks to become a really big system in the Gulf on the Euro
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:48 pm to GEAUXmedic
God damn. Right up Mobile bay
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:49 pm to GEAUXmedic
So basically due north for the last 24 hours of the run? That doesn't leave much room for error east and west.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:49 pm to Bama and Beer
quote:
Right up Mobile bay
AKA your arse...
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:49 pm to Bama and Beer
frick. Really hoping now that this thing gets torn up in the islands
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:50 pm to glassman
Exactly
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:50 pm to GEAUXmedic
What kinda strength does that picture indicate?
Cat 2?
Cat 2?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:51 pm to slackster
Are models this early ever worth a whole lot?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:51 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
Just glancing at the map i would say a decent Cat 3
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:52 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
What kinda strength does that picture indicate? Cat 2?
950mb could be 125 mph winds. Category 3.
I'm not an expert though.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:53 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Are models this early ever worth a whole lot?
I wouldn't make drastic decisions 8 days out, but it is definitely worth watching. All else being equal, you'd like the models to say it was going away from you.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:53 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:doesn't matter
What kinda strength does that picture indicate?
Cat 2?
we're looking at model trends at this point.. mostly track and development trends. It's too far out to focus on minute details like wind speeds and central pressure, whatever.
the fact is that it looks like it will be in the gulf and will be a hurricane when it's there.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 1:57 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:54 pm to slackster
It actually landfalls as a sub 940mb hurricane. That 950mb on the map is after some weakening after landfall.
I would guess it is a Major at landfall, maybe approaching cat 4 even.
I would guess it is a Major at landfall, maybe approaching cat 4 even.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:55 pm to slackster
Typically at this far out I'd rather be in the bullseye, but being the Euro... absolutely not.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:55 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Also Peej said we have nothing to worry about with this one in the other thread.
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