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Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:09 pm to Chicken
quote:
when is this supposed to happen?
Saturday night through Sunday or so.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:15 pm to slackster
It will be interesting if we have an intensifying storm in the gulf on or near the anniversary of the storm that shall not be named...
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:19 pm to rds dc
quote:
It doesn't show up in the freely available data but the ULL in question originates from an upper through off the NE. It then drifts to the SW and ends up over Coastal Carolina. That process helps to develop a weakness in the ridge - red circle. I've mentioned before that the upper level setup for this period is very complicated and the models still struggle with the movement and strength of upper level features.
Seems like every Atlantic "threat" has had a complex upper level setup for the past few years. Seems a little odd that ULL would work it's magic so quickly, but it's hard to ignore the Euro and GFS getting on the same page.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:20 pm to bayoudude
quote:
will be interesting if we have an intensifying storm in the gulf on or near the anniversary of the storm that shall not be named...
Just got done listening to the podcast about Baptist hospital in NOLA during K... I had forgotten how hell on earth it was when they started playing the old WWL broadcasts following the storm. It's on NPR's radio lab called "playing god"...
It's amazing how listening to old broadcasts like that can bring it all back. Scary/dark times. No one needs that kind of misery.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:21 pm to Duke
That certainly took a shift west from it's last run.
eta: although it still shows it hooking back towards florida.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:21 pm to lsuman25
quote:
looks like the euro develops the low way south on this run if looking at it correctly
Some minor changes this run but looks like the end result is the same with 99L getting tangled up with Florida. The upper level anticyclone over the Gulf and the ULL over S. Carolina work together to keep the system under pretty high shear. This would be a pretty good solution for everyone, keeps system out of Gulf and keeps heaviest rain to the east of Florida.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:26 pm to CockyTime
Does the Euro lose this until 96 hours or am I seeing this wrong? Also looks further West at that point.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:28 pm to rds dc
quote:never gonna happen. Jennings can't bring ULL to SEC power baw
ULL over south Carolina
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:30 pm to BigB0882
quote:
Does the Euro lose this until 96 hours or am I seeing this wrong?
It is easier to see it, or the remnants of it, by viewing the "Lower Dynamics" option and then the "MSLP Anomaly" on tropicaltidbits.com...
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:30 pm to jimbeam
then again south carolina's football team barely qualifies as sec these days.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:31 pm to BigB0882
quote:
Does the Euro lose this until 96 hours or am I seeing this wrong? Also looks further West at that point.
Even though the image above shows a low in the Gulf, the maps look more like an open wave that is being sheared. It may briefly be a TD/TS off of Georgia later on?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:35 pm to bbap
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:40 pm to bbap
quote:
then again south carolina's football team barely qualifies as sec these days
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:45 pm to jorconalx
Convection appears to be on the wane again and there are lots of outflow boundaries in there. Shear has lessened but is still an issue and the outflow boundaries are indicative of dry air in the system.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:54 pm to rds dc
I will say even though 99l is still struggling it is a fighter and it seems like waves that can survive hostile conditions seem to bite you in the arse in the long run
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:56 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 8/26/16 at 1:59 pm to GEAUXmedic
seems reasonable to me
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