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Posted on 7/31/16 at 7:28 am to rds dc
Can we get an update on this from the OT meteorology team?
This post was edited on 7/31/16 at 7:35 am
Posted on 7/31/16 at 7:34 am to MikeTh3Tiger
No change from last night. Still trucking along, models still show it hitting the Yucatan.
It is up to a 70% chance of formation though.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A fast-moving tropical wave is nearing the Lesser Antilles. Although
showers and thunderstorms are fairly well-organized, there are
currently no signs a closed surface circulation. However, this
system has the potential for some slow development during the next
couple of days, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation
is likely to be by the early to middle part of next week when the
wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser
Antilles, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today. Shower and
thunderstorm activity should spread westward across the eastern
Caribbean Sea and Hispaniola by tonight and on Monday. Interests in
these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
It is up to a 70% chance of formation though.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A fast-moving tropical wave is nearing the Lesser Antilles. Although
showers and thunderstorms are fairly well-organized, there are
currently no signs a closed surface circulation. However, this
system has the potential for some slow development during the next
couple of days, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation
is likely to be by the early to middle part of next week when the
wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser
Antilles, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today. Shower and
thunderstorm activity should spread westward across the eastern
Caribbean Sea and Hispaniola by tonight and on Monday. Interests in
these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
This post was edited on 7/31/16 at 7:35 am
Posted on 7/31/16 at 8:29 am to rds dc
Good thing our gas powered generator is being installed this week.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 8:36 am to Isabelle81
I'm going to Punta Cana on Wednesday how fricked am I?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 8:39 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
How close are we to setting the record?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 8:56 am to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
How close are we to setting the record?
For Punta Cana references or the hurricane free streak in the Gulf of Mexico? The Gulf streak is up to 1,049 days without a hurricane with the old record being 1,047 days set back b/w 1929 - 1932.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:13 am to rds dc
Can we get a timeline. I'm supposed to go to grand isle next weekend. Go do some light offshore fishing. Is this gonna frick me up ? I already have vacation time put in
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:16 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
No change from last night. Still trucking along, models still show it hitting the Yucatan.
Yea, not expecting much to happen until it slows down in a day or so but it does look good on sat this morning:
There weren't really any signs of a surface circulation as it moved through the Islands and the low levels are still a bit out ahead of the mid-levels but not as exaggerated as we've seen with some of the sheared out systems of the past few seasons:
Lower level spin (850mb Vort)
Mid-level spin (500mb Vort)
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:26 am to tigersownall
Maybe
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:29 am to Paul Allen
My Key West vacation is safe? Ferry from Frt. Myers on Fri. morning, back on Sunday night.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:37 am to rds dc
I'm going to Belgium in January, am I fricked?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:03 am to rds dc
Well this is not looking good for Louisiana with the latest model runs.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:03 am to LSUneaux
Link?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:04 am to LSUneaux
Will this hit Green Bay?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:06 am to rds dc
If/when 97L slows down it should organize quickly.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:17 am to rds dc
I've been trying to find the original one. I was a lurker at the time I think but I remember watching it unfold. His genuine concern for punta cana.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:25 am to LSUneaux
quote:
Well this is not looking good for Louisiana with the latest model runs.
latest runs show it traversing the Yucatan into Mexico... looks pretty good for Louisiana.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:32 am to rds dc
I'm heading for Reykjavík Iceland in a few days. How fricked will I be?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:38 am to sammy762
Theres a hurricane watch out for iceland
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