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re: 2015 Season-Long Hurricane Thread - Watching Invest 96L
Posted on 3/10/15 at 11:20 pm to Jim Rockford
Posted on 3/10/15 at 11:20 pm to Jim Rockford
=
I think a lot of people fall in that category. I lived through Andrew and then worked Katrina/Rita. I got reassigned after 2005 and didn't even look at the tropics for a couple of years.
quote:
Even in a slow season, it only takes one to ruin your day. Being upstate, Hurricane season was never anything but a mild curiosity, until I started dating my current SO. She was emotionally traumatized by Katrina, and is on edge the whole summer and fall. I always pull for a below average season for her sake
I think a lot of people fall in that category. I lived through Andrew and then worked Katrina/Rita. I got reassigned after 2005 and didn't even look at the tropics for a couple of years.
0
Posted on 3/10/15 at 11:33 pm to TDsngumbo
Damn
Posted on 3/11/15 at 12:43 am to TDsngumbo
They are almost never correct.
We are all doomed now.
quote:
Activity is forecast to be about 20% below the 1950-2014 average and about 30% below the 2005-2014 average
We are all doomed now.
Posted on 3/11/15 at 12:50 am to member12
quote:
We are all doomed now.
Peej can save us with a prediction of an above average season. Don't let us down, Peej!
Posted on 3/11/15 at 1:22 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
Geaumedic is going to crack your skull open and eat your brains for lunch, baw.
Posted on 3/11/15 at 1:32 am to TDsngumbo
Is this a serious thread?
Posted on 3/11/15 at 1:33 am to Cap Crunch
Don't forget we have a few months of midwest stormchasing before Hurricane season gets in full swing.
Posted on 3/11/15 at 1:35 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Don't forget we have a few months of midwest stormchasing before Hurricane season gets in full swing.
could have an early dixie season too
Posted on 3/11/15 at 9:09 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Don't forget we have a few months of midwest stormchasing before Hurricane season gets in full swing.
March is looking pretty calm at this point. I would plan to chase later than normal. This will probably be another below normal year, esp. if the AAM continues to be more nina like and we get parades of positive tilted throughs
Posted on 3/11/15 at 9:36 am to member12
quote:
They are almost never correct.
Exactly.
I like when they're wrong about activity levels, they just revise the forecast in mid-season.
Posted on 3/11/15 at 9:40 am to TDsngumbo
Helpful generator tip.
Before bringing your genny in for repair cuz it won't start, try turning the in-line fuel valve to on.
You're welcome
Before bringing your genny in for repair cuz it won't start, try turning the in-line fuel valve to on.
You're welcome
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:10 am to ksayetiger
quote:
no spanish name?
quote:
Joaquin
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:22 pm to rds dc
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:25 pm to rds dc
Unrelated but take cover Cut Off!
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:30 pm to rds dc
Just saw this on tv. Tornado watch for lafourche parish
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:37 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Being a hurricane fanatic
Explain.
Posted on 3/12/15 at 11:40 pm to rds dc
Shiiiit.....6-9 inches of rain in an evening.....
70-90 MPH sustained winds.....
Byyyye
70-90 MPH sustained winds.....
Byyyye
Posted on 4/28/15 at 5:12 pm to IT_Dawg
I suspect we will see many variations of this type of article in the coming months.
Major hurricane drought nears decade milestone — will it continue?
Still, a pretty fascinating streak, esp. when viewed as a statistics problem. The historical record isn't large enough to account for the current streak. There is a really interesting paper by Hall from NASA that calculates the current streak to be a once in a 177 year event. It is behind a pay wall but for those that do have access to Geophysical Research Letters the article is The Frequency and Duration of US Hurricane Droughts.
Major hurricane drought nears decade milestone — will it continue?
Still, a pretty fascinating streak, esp. when viewed as a statistics problem. The historical record isn't large enough to account for the current streak. There is a really interesting paper by Hall from NASA that calculates the current streak to be a once in a 177 year event. It is behind a pay wall but for those that do have access to Geophysical Research Letters the article is The Frequency and Duration of US Hurricane Droughts.
This post was edited on 4/28/15 at 5:13 pm
Posted on 4/28/15 at 5:32 pm to rds dc
quote:
Still, a pretty fascinating streak, esp. when viewed as a statistics problem. The historical record isn't large enough to account for the current streak. There is a really interesting paper by Hall from NASA that calculates the current streak to be a once in a 177 year event. It is behind a pay wall but for those that do have access to Geophysical Research Letters the article is The Frequency and Duration of US Hurricane Droughts.
anybody can get this it would be appreciated ha.
As a statistician this interest me quite a bit.
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