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A look at the Tight End situation with and without Jimmy

Posted on 7/7/15 at 11:39 am
Posted by Zoltan
NOLA
Member since May 2010
1395 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 11:39 am
Since this topic is so hot like Hansel right now, I'm posting the Saints' cumulative tight end stats from 07-14 (TGTS, REC, YD) so we can get a bird's eye view of how life will be in the year AJ (After Jimmy).

A couple of caveats:
1) 2011-14 only reflect Jimmy's stats, not Watson or Hill's.
2) 2010 includes Jimmy's stats with other TEs since he was a rookie.

Year: TGT / Rec / YD / TD / % Pass TD/ TOT Pass TD / League Rank

2014: 125 / 85 / 889 / 10 / 30% / 33 / 6th
2013: 142 / 85 / 1215 / 16 / 41% / 39 / 2nd
2012: 135 / 86 / 982 / 9 / 21% / 43 / 1st
2011: 149 / 99 / 1310 / 11 / 24% / 46 / 2nd

2010: 149 / 102 / 983 / 10 / 30% / 33 / 3rd
2009: 122 / 88 / 947 / 5 / 15% / 34 / 1st
2008: 150 / 107 / 1183 / 3 / 9% / 34 / 1st
2007: 101 / 75 / 700 / 4 / 14% / 28 / 9th

While it seems like a huge drop off TD wise, and in terms of %of production from one player it is, however pre Graham we found a way to make up for the production in other areas.

Little harder to gauge given the fact that the league has become more pass happy, but our TD rank has stayed constant before and during. Jimmy is a special talent, but it speaks a lot to Drew's talent and the system.



And for a bit of nostalgia, Saints who contributed to these Stats are: Jimmy, Jeremy Shockey, David Thomas, Darnell Dinkins, Billy Miller, Eric Johnson, Mark Campbell,and Ernie Conway.


This post was edited on 7/7/15 at 2:55 pm
Posted by Suntiger
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
32845 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 12:19 pm to
Without really thinking about it:

2014: 149/86/983
2013: 150/107/1310
2012: 135/85/982
2011: 149/102/1183
2010: 142/99/1215
2009: 122/88/947
2008: 125/75/889
2007: 101/85/700
Posted by metryboy
Member since Oct 2008
652 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 1:28 pm to
So when do we get to see the answer?
Posted by Zoltan
NOLA
Member since May 2010
1395 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 1:42 pm to
Ha, well, the participation part failed miserably so I may as well just update....

If history holds we should be just fine.

What's pretty amazing is despite the fact that Jimmy had 46 TDs from 2011-14 where as TEs all together from 07-10 had 22 (5 of those were Graham's in 10), we have still never finished lower than 4th in passing TDs.

This post was edited on 7/7/15 at 1:49 pm
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9309 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

3) Didn't post touchdowns because that was one area where he really made a difference


I think you need to list the TDs. By your own admission, you're cherry picking statistics to favor your argument. Losing those extra red zone TDs with Graham gone is going to be massive and it will be noticed.

I know the cool thing is to dismiss the guy headed out the door and call him soft and talk about how we won't miss him but we will. I remember numerous 1st and goals from inside the 5 yard line with Graham lined up out wide in single coverage. Even before the ball was snapped, everyone on the field and in the stadium knew where the ball was going but there was nothing that could be done about it.
Posted by Zoltan
NOLA
Member since May 2010
1395 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

I think you need to list the TDs. By your own admission, you're cherry picking statistics to favor your argument. Losing those extra red zone TDs with Graham gone is going to be massive and it will be noticed.


I will, the original thread was meant to be a try and guess the stats thing that flopped horribly, thats why.

ETA: Updated in OP with TDs
quote:


Year: TGT / Rec / YD / TD / % Pass TD/ TOT Pass TD / League Rank

2014: 125 / 85 / 889 / 10 / 30% / 33 / 6th
2013: 142 / 85 / 1215 / 16 / 41% / 39 / 2nd
2012: 135 / 86 / 982 / 9 / 21% / 43 / 1st
2011: 149 / 99 / 1310 / 11 / 24% / 46 / 2nd

2010: 149 / 102 / 983 / 10 / 30% / 33 / 3rd
2009: 122 / 88 / 947 / 5 / 15% / 34 / 1st
2008: 150 / 107 / 1183 / 3 / 9% / 34 / 1st
2007: 101 / 75 / 700 / 4 / 14% / 28 / 9th

While it seems like a huge drop off TD wise, and in terms of %of production from one player it is, however pre Graham we found a way to make up for the production in other areas.

Little harder to gauge given the fact that the league has become more pass happy, but our TD rank has stayed constant before and during. Jimmy is a special talent, but it speaks a lot to Drew's talent and the system.
This post was edited on 7/7/15 at 2:56 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278062 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 3:19 pm to
quote:


What's pretty amazing is despite the fact that Jimmy had 46 TDs from 2011-14 where as TEs all together from 07-10 had 22 (5 of those were Graham's in 10), we have still never finished lower than 4th in passing TDs.



back when our WR's were much better and younger. And when we had a legit receiving threat(or 2) out of the backfield.

I hate how people compare the situations, because they aren't comparable. Younger Colston, deep threat Devery, do it all Lance Moore. We haven't been able to replace or replicate the roles of these players.
Posted by Geauxgurt
Member since Sep 2013
10431 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

I think you need to list the TDs. By your own admission, you're cherry picking statistics to favor your argument. Losing those extra red zone TDs with Graham gone is going to be massive and it will be noticed.

I know the cool thing is to dismiss the guy headed out the door and call him soft and talk about how we won't miss him but we will. I remember numerous 1st and goals from inside the 5 yard line with Graham lined up out wide in single coverage. Even before the ball was snapped, everyone on the field and in the stadium knew where the ball was going but there was nothing that could be done about it.


Actually, I think it may help. Brees became very predictable in the redzone with Jimmy and teams knew it was coming.

Looking at looks in the redzones by year:
2014 - WRs = 32, TE = 32, Graham = 26
2013 - WRs = 26, TE = 32, Graham = 26
2012 - WRs = 40, TE = 24, Graham = 17
2011 - WRs = 38, TE = 32, Graham = 28
2010 - WRs = 56, TE = 30, Graham = 9
2009 - WRs = 46, TE = 22, Graham = N/A

New Orleans had a better ranking in Redzone TD percentage in 2012 when Graham/TE's were targeted the least.

Red zone success will be much better supported with an improved running attack which Jimmy really hurt more than he helped.
Posted by Zoltan
NOLA
Member since May 2010
1395 posts
Posted on 7/7/15 at 4:32 pm to
quote:



I hate how people compare the situations, because they aren't comparable. Younger Colston, deep threat Devery, do it all Lance Moore. We haven't been able to replace or replicate the roles of these players.


First off, what else could you possibly call looking at one era of stats vs another that is anything but a synonym for "comparing"....

At no point did I say "everything will go back to exactly how it was before now because Jimmy is gone!"

Its simply perspective of how we utilized multiple tight ends before we had a superstar. Everyone is concerned one way or the other about who will step up, who has to dominate targets etc etc, yet numbers in the past in terms of TIGHT END targets, receptions, and yards were extremely similar with the likes of names like Billy Martin, Eric Johnson, or even Mark Campbell.

And yeah, we haven't been able to replicate many of the roles you mentioned yet, but this is also the first time we are actually seeing whether or not we have replaced certain aspects. It's too early to say.

We have at least one serious receiving threat out of the backfield . Who knows what could happen with our 7th rounder....

Colston isn't young anymore sure, but we have two guys in Jones and Coleman that have similar builds at least. Coleman being 2 inches taller. A vet in Toon who at least showed promise at year's end.

We definitely have a legit deep threat in a guy like Cooks if we choose to use him in that role more often, with way better hands than Devery. Same with Morgan if he grows up.

"do it all" Lance Moore was a practice squad guy year one, NFL Europe for half of year 2, and started 4 games year 3 before breaking into the lineup seriously in year 4.

We don't know what we have, so what is wrong with getting perspective on how we achieved success in different ways and hoping that the trend can continue given the same coach and qb?






Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33660 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 12:19 am to
quote:

Darnell Dinkins


make sure and use him for a trivia question someday.
Posted by Zoltan
NOLA
Member since May 2010
1395 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 12:39 pm to
Guy had a whopping 5 catches in 09 ha
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