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re: who once said they'd trade Biyombo for Ryno?

Posted on 5/24/16 at 9:06 am to
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 9:06 am to
Yeah, Biyombo is, for now at least, a cheaper version of Asik, which is why some posters advocated going after him rather than resigning Asik.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25326 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 9:20 am to
quote:

a cheaper version of Asik,


that's understating it a bit.
he's a lot cheaper, can actually finish at the rim, and can actually jump to block peoples shots.

He's a better and cheaper version of Asik.

quote:

which is why some posters advocated going after him rather than resigning Asik.



yes i did. I advocated for Biyombo and Seraphin as better options at center that make under $3M.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 10:11 am to
quote:

he's a lot cheaper


You forgot the "for now" part, next year is a player option and you can bet he'll opt out and get paid after these playoffs.

quote:

can actually finish at the rim


Despite Biyombo's superior finishing at the rim 64% vs 59%, their Per 36 point production is pretty much the same. 9.0 vs 8.2. Asik actually made .1 more baskets per 36 on only .3 more shots. Biyombo scored more because he was the "superior" FT shooter this year at 62%, although they both are 55% for their careers. They're similarly productive on offense, you not wanting to poke your eyes out is not a requirement for points to be scored.

I'm about to prove to you that even by your standards Biyombo isn't much different than Asik in your mind. When Biyombo opts out and gets at least what Asik got, would you want to sign him? If you say yes I'll know you're lying because that goes against your core principle on center spending.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115295 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 10:16 am to
quote:

which is why some posters advocated going after him rather than resigning Asik.




This was a semi-popular opinion at the time, especially considering what they both signed for. Hell. I didn't even like Biyombo at the time but I thought about it.

Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9908 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I'm about to prove to you that even by your standards Biyombo isn't much different than Asik in your mind. When Biyombo opts out and gets at least what Asik got, would you want to sign him? If you say yes I'll know you're lying because that goes against your core principle on center spending.


Perhaps Bioyombo would have taken a longer contract if one had been offered. I stated wehn we signed Asik that Bioyombo was 90% Asik at 1/3 of the cost at the time and while Bioyombo is young and athletic Asik is aging and getting injury prone. Bioyombo is better running the floor and protecting the rim while turning the ball over less and prviding the same rebounding.

Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Perhaps Bioyombo would have taken a longer contract if one had been offered.


Hindsight says at the very least you offer him what we gave Ajinca, and I bet he'd have taken $20 million guaranteed. I understand why they wanted the more proven player, but it still pisses me off that Asik got that many years. Even if Asik didn't have age/injury issues, it was pretty obvious his usefullness would be limited within a year or 2 because of AD's growth. And if MM sources were correct and the contract was designed with stretching after year 3 in mind...if you have that little confidence in him as a long term fit you definitely forget that you gave up a pick to get him and kick the tires on someone cheaper like Biyombo.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115295 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 12:49 pm to
Asik should have gotten a 3 year deal or he could GTFO. That's what we all thought it would be at the time. 3 years max.

The length of the deal was surprising to say the least.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25326 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 12:55 pm to
I didn't know it was a player option. Thought it was a 2 year deal with a team option.

quote:

When Biyombo opts out and gets at least what Asik got, would you want to sign him?


absolutely not

quote:

If you say yes I'll know you're lying because that goes against your core principle on center spending.


that is correct. i believe there are serviceable centers in the league, that fit what we need, that make under $5M.
Unless we get a center who is a dominant game changing force, i don't want to pay a lot for a center, and even then i still would only be happy doing that if we already had some young wing player that was a budding superstar on a cheap contract.

All guys that will be cheaper than Asik next year that are FA:
Zaza is still a cheap guy that provides a good service. He's about as bad at finishing as Asik, but he's had a good year in Dallas
Mahinmi is a guy that won't cost much that can give us more than Asik.
Both Speights and Ezeli will be given a shot in FA, with Speights probably not costing much. I don't see him as much of a starter though, and he just doesn't seem like much of a defender. Ezeli might fetch too much.
Mozgov lost him a lot of money this past year. Had he been a free agent last summer he would have gotten $15M, He'll probably still be in the $5M range.
Miles Plumlee can be had this summer for cheap, and will definitely bring more energy than Asik. That's who i would want.
Hibbert will be cheap, and if you want a low post guy to play 10-15 minutes against the few good bigs left in the league, he could play that role.
Nene would be a nice PF/C to match with AD offensively, although his defense isn't good at all.

Would i mind paying Al Jefferson Asik money, not really, but it wouldn't bother me that much. If he can be had for under $10M i'd like him. Same for Noah. Not sure if they will be under $10M though.

There are also multiple centers on rookie contracts on Boston and Denver that would be available for trades this offseason, especially with all the draft picks they have.

Would you consider, if we get Dunn, trading Jrue to Denver for Nurkic or Jokic and their 7th?
I don't know if Denver would go for that, or if i'd be happy with that but i'd rather Dunn/Brown/Nurkic than Dunn/expiringJrue. Find a way to dump Ajinca and get 2 decent wings in FA like Crabbe and Bazemore, if possible. Keep Tyreke and try to trade him later in the season if possible, but he'd help out Dunn as a PG to start the season.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9908 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Asik should have gotten a 3 year deal or he could GTFO. That's what we all thought it would be at the time. 3 years max.

The length of the deal was surprising to say the least.



Dell backed himself into a corner and basically had to agree to Asik's demands. It was absolutely horrible. I never wanted to resign Asik even before the #'s came out because I thought it was evident he would not be worth what he was expected to get or rather that you could get the majority of his production for much, much cheaper.

ETA - We could have Asik/AA or Bioyombo/Whithey and an extra $16M in cap space. Dell totally screwed the pooch on this one. It made no sense eating up that much space on centers when AD plays minutes at 5, Centers are fading in importance and we were signing Gentry.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 1:01 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Would you consider, if we get Dunn, trading Jrue to Denver for Nurkic or Jokic and their 7th?


No. I like Jrue a lot more than most, not because I think he's elite or anything, but 2 way players are becoming more valuable than ever and are hard to find. Plus if we get Dunn I think that means Tyreke is the player you move, and having Dunn and Frazier as your PGs is a rebuild strategy so it's not even remotely likely to happen.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25326 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Plus if we get Dunn I think that means Tyreke is the player you move,



I agree, i just don't think we could get rid of him.
Could he be someone we could give to Philly for a late first?
Luwawa, Prince, Bembry Damien Jones are projected to go around the 24 and 26 pick they have.


Problem with Jrue is he's expiring, and if he starts sucking, then we won't be able to move him, and if he does well, then he'll want $20M+ next year.

quote:

and having Dunn and Frazier as your PGs is a rebuild strategy so it's not even remotely likely to happen.



This is how we did something stupid and signed Asik to a 4 year deal, b/c we didn't want to appear to be rebuilding.
You can't just keep signing older guys and have zero draft picks or rookie/cheap contracts. At some point, you have to get younger, and expect your superstar to carry you and not appear to be rebuilding.
Portland appeared to be rebuilding, but Lillard had other plans.
There's no reason a healthy team with AD can't make the playoffs, while giving young players experience.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 2:06 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

I agree, i just don't think we could get rid of him.
Could he be someone we could give to Philly for a late first?


I've seen people throw that out there and I just don't see how you get more than 2nds for him, especially if you want cap space back. I guess if you trade 2nds for a 1st and instead of #26 what you're really doing is moving up 12 spots, maybe. But I'd be surprised.

quote:

Problem with Jrue is he's expiring, and if he starts sucking, then we won't be able to move him, and if he does well, then he'll want $20M+ next year


Why is that a problem? If he ends up not playing well off ball then maybe you don't resign him, but as long as we don't hear about his leg again I don't see why you wouldn't want him as a long term piece.

quote:

This is how we did something stupid and signed Asik to a 4 year deal, b/c we didn't want to appear to be rebuilding.
You can't just keep signing older guys and have zero draft picks or rookie/cheap contracts.

This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 2:19 pm
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Would you consider, if we get Dunn, trading Jrue to Denver for Nurkic or Jokic and their 7th?


quote:

No.




You wouldn't trade expiring, injury prone Jrue Holiday for a rookie scale center and #7? You know I value your opinions, but that is nuts. Denver has something cooking with all their young guys. Jokic just put up an absurd season (:nb4pergamestats:) and Jurkic, even coming off injury, still has plenty of promise plus he is a total badass on the court.

Now, the whole scenario is pure fiction. Denver would never, ever, ever offer that deal. They wouldn't offer either center for Holiday straight up.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 2:36 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

injury prone Jrue Holiday for a rookie scale center and #7?


He is not injury prone. He has had one major injury, which did not respond well to mismanagement, but so far appears to have responded well to proper management. The orbital socket injury could have happened to anyone, and outside of that and the initial back to back restrictions, he didn't miss a game due to injury. I would like to see him healthy for another full year before resigning him, but I think this year went as well as possible from the standpoint of his injury.

As for not making the trade, I think making the playoffs this year is very important going forward. Dunn + Brown? + Nurkic + #26 and losing Tyreke and Jrue is not going to be a playoff team. Didn't you basically say the same thing the other day. Not that they needed to make the playoffs, but the time to blow it up has passed. Losing Jrue/Tyreke/Gordon/Ryno is about as explosive as it gets.

Now maybe if you can trade #26 for Teague I'd think about it, but if we could trade #26 for Teague, why would Philly trade for Tyreke instead of Teague? Maybe Tyreke being a Philly guy makes them think they could resign him whereas the odds of Teague sticking around are low?

This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 3:37 pm
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9908 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

You wouldn't trade expiring, injury prone Jrue Holiday for a rookie scale center and #7?


Jokic + 7 for Jrue? I would in a heartbeat. Jokic's rookie season was really fantastic. Matt Moore recently tweeted that Jokic had a 21.5 PER season and Towns had 22.5. Towns is obviously much better, but Jokis is really good. We woudl have him cheap for years to come and another mid lottery pick. No way in hell Denver would give up Jokic and #7 for Jrue, but if they offered we should run to accept.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 3:38 pm to
Yeah, you're not getting Jokic, you'd get Nurkic if they even thought about doing this. That's part of why I said no. For those that think Nurkic is great, imagine a younger Asik that shot even worse but took 16 shots per 36 instead of the 6 that Asik takes.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 3:42 pm
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

o way in hell Denver would give up Jokic and #7 for Jrue


Obviously. The deal teddyp put forth is complete fantasy. Like I said, they aren't offering either guy straight up for Holiday.

quote:

He is not injury prone. He has had one major injury, which did not respond well to mismanagement, but so far appears to have responded well to proper management


quote:

I would like to see him healthy for another full year


So he's just had one injury that has plagued him for 3 three years and we're still waiting to see how he reacts for the 4th year. But he's not injury prone...

quote:

As for not making the trade, I think making the playoffs this year is very important going forward


To the current management or in the best interests of the actual franchise? Current team clearly wants to make the playoffs. They forced their coach to apologize for calling out the delusion of playoffs when they were 13 games under .500 in March. Management is detached from reality.

But, if you had sane people running the show, I don't see how replenishing the talent base in this manner (again, fictional) isn't the best move. It's about being good 3-4 years from now.

quote:

For those that think Nurkic is great, imagine a younger Asik that shot even worse but took 16 shots per 36 instead of the 6 that Asik takes.



And the danger of only looking at basketball reference for knowledge rears its ugly head.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 4:14 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

So he's just had one injury that has plagued him for 3 three years and we're still waiting to see how he reacts for the 4th year. But he's not injury prone...



Eric Gordon is injury prone. The odds of him missing 15+ games per season from a random injury that happens under relatively safe basketball conditions are very high. If 2015 ends up being the last time the stress fracture/reaction bothers Holiday, how is he injury prone? If we had better injury management and 2015 went like 2016, we'd all feel the stress fracture was behind him. But it didn't so we need another year to figure out if the problem is the injury is chronic, or if it was all the medical mismanagement. If he's relatively healthy next year then it's safe to point the finger at the team and not Jrue's leg. Is there a chance it's the leg? Yes, but with all we've seen I think mismanagement has to be the odds on favorite.

quote:

To the current management or in the best interests of the actual franchise?


The draft alone is not going to be enough to convince AD to stay, even if we acquire more picks or rookie scale players. We're going to have to use the draft plus smart trades and Free Agency which means we need to be seen as an up and coming team again as soon as 2017, which means making the playoffs, or at least barely missing them. Something that won't happen if you turn all of our present assets outside of AD into future assets.

quote:

And the danger of only looking at basketball reference for knowledge rears its ugly head.


I remember he looked pretty good in a game against us, he appeared to have a decent jumper IIRC, but he's a low 40% shooter, that's not what you want your center doing. He's young, so I'm sure he'll get better, but do you think he's going to be more than a "10/10" type of center?

I respect your opinion too, and I've no doubt you've seen him play more than me. But if he was Marc Gasol or even Jonas Valencunias in the making, it'd be showing up in the stats. His inefficiency is just bad, why do you think it will get significantly better? He's a low 60% FT shooter. Gasol and Val are mid to high 70% FT shooters and Jokic shot over 80% so it's not hard to imagine him remaining efficient as his minutes increase.
This post was edited on 5/24/16 at 4:51 pm
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

we need another year to figure out if the problem is the injury is chronic


Right. Don't call him injury prone. Call it chronic, whatever. They are going to spend the entirety of his contract dealing with his injury. Waiting another year to see what happens when *hypothetically* you can get a lottery pick and a rookie scale 5 with promise is nuts.

quote:

The draft alone is not going to be enough to convince AD to stay


Obviously. But as you point out, it gives you talent and cap space. It's like this is 2013 all over again.

quote:

Free Agency which means we need to be seen as an up and coming team again as soon as 2017,


Why? That is a self imposed, arbitrary deadline. Cap is expected to explode again in 2017. Davis is locked in for the rest of the decade. If they can infuse 3 recent lottery picks plus a 4th next year into the team by trading Holiday (which they can't), it's the better long term move for the team and for Davis than hoping Chris Paul decides to come back to NO or Gordon Hayward maxes out here because they got the 8 seed in 2016.

quote:

ut if he was Marc Gasol or even Jonas Valencunias in the making


No one said that. He's 21. He's flashed legit skills. He's on a rookie scale. He's a good bet over the next 5-7 years to turn into a decent player. He could also easily flame out.

quote:

why do you think it will get significantly better?


Well, for one, he was coming off a significant knee injury this season. He was out of shape in the 500 MP this year. Citing this season as evidence of much of anything is risky.

And I never said significantly better. Why does he have to be a Gasol/JVal offensive threat? The dude can rebound and defend. He's shown some ability in other areas. He's a tough, fiery, hard nosed player who talks shite to everyone. He's unpolished, like almost every 21 year old NBA player. So what?

IF we lived in a world where this was an option:

Nurkic, #6, #7, 2017 1st to be good in 3-4 years

I'd take that bet every single time over Holiday/Davis #6, maybe getting an 8 seed and then hoping a big ticket FA comes to NO in 2017.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61420 posts
Posted on 5/24/16 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Right. Don't call him injury prone. Call it chronic, whatever.


But the thing is we don't know if this is chronic. All we know is that it was mismanaged for a year. This should have cost him the half season where it happened and then a minutes restricted season like we just saw, and then it should have been over. That's hopefully what we see next season. All of the Jrue doubters act like they know it's chronic, or at least is likely to be chronic, but we didn't hear or see a single negative sign this season regarding the injury. The majority of players come back from stress fractures. I think the ones that don't were about 30% IIRC from the articles that came out when it happened.

quote:

Why? That is a self imposed, arbitrary deadline.


Because it is unlikely that they are able to fill in the talent gap with short term or easily tradeable players to keep your financial flexibility intact for 2018. Fisher has a good article out today on a realistic and likely offseason. Use the picks, let Ryno/Gordon/Cole walk, sign Terrence Jones and Solomon Hill. You've got $38 million in cap space in 2017. But in 2017 you also have to resign or replace Jrue and/or Tyreke. Let's say you resign Jrue for $20 and let Tyreke go. In 2018 you have $90 million in salary, the cap actually steps back to $100 million, and you have to resign or replace QPon, probably taking up the rest of your cap space.

Will we be able to dump Asik in 2018? I hope we can, but it's far from certain, we were stuck with Gordon for his entire deal. If you don't sign a big money guy in 2017, your window to do so may go away. It's not an arbitrary deadline, it's the optimal, and perhaps last time with AD as a Pel to go after big money FAs.

quote:

Why does he have to be a Gasol/JVal offensive threat?


There's certainly value in him, I've just heard people talk about him, probably based on that one game where he killed us, like he's really good. He's probably going to be just another center in the 25ish MPG tier. There's nothing wrong with that, and if we had a FO with the vision and stamina to aim for 2019 I'd be ok "developing" for 2 more years, make the playoffs in 2018, and sign a top FA in 2019 to make AD think twice about leaving. But we don't have that, and by the time we would possibly get something like that they won't have time and it will be like Demps convincing CP3 to stay all over again.
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