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Message
re: Terrence Jones has agreed to one-year deal with Pelicans
Posted on 7/15/16 at 8:05 am to NOLA Bronco
Posted on 7/15/16 at 8:05 am to NOLA Bronco
quote:
You are literally talking out your arse dude.
quote:
His defensive rating got better every year til his injury according to NBA.com. His defensive FG% did the same. Where before the turmoil he was above average in every defensive contesting category. His DRPM was decent and in the upper half of the league in terms of PF's before his injury.
We'd all like to believe that he's a solid defender, but the only thing that supports that is a pretty questionable metric.
Let's look at the top 50 DRPM for some context:
4. Cole Aldrich
5. Ian Mahinmi
10. Nikola Jokic
15. Pau Gasol
16. Nene Hilario
20. David West
22. Jeff Withey
29. Amare Stoudemire
43. Kevin Love
45. Elton Brand
I'm not sure why you're jumping all over Primetime Money. He's not exactly bashing the guy. He has, however, seen way more of Jones than any of us have. It seems like a pretty level-headed evaluation of a guy that we're bringing in for a little over the minimum. If he wasn't what PTM is saying he is, he would be getting better offers.
This post was edited on 7/15/16 at 8:08 am
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:17 am to NOLA Bronco
quote:You don't have the same understanding of him that I do. I have watched literally every game he's played in.
You are literally talking out your arse dude. His defensive rating got better every year til his injury according to NBA.com. His defensive FG% did the same. Where before the turmoil he was above average in every defensive contesting category. His DRPM was decent and in the upper half of the league in terms of PF's before his injury. Offensively he did get more efficient. Tapping out at 35% 3p%. And nearly 55% fg%. I really just don't know where you are building this narrative that he wasn't improving?
His first year, he was a rookie and spent most of his time in the D-league. He only played in 19 games and averaged 14 minutes in those games. He was good in the d-league and was pretty athletic in the NBA, so there was potential there.
The next season, he was a full-time NBA player. He got the starting job because Houston really had nobody else. He was decent on offense and average on defense. Some people may overrate his defense because he was athletic and was a decent shot-blocker. But overall, he was average and would get exposed by the top PF's. One example is in the playoff series with the Blazers, Aldridge torched him for 46 points and 43 points in the first two games of the series. He went from playing 36 minutes and 26 minutes in the first 2 games to only 13 minutes in game 3 because of his horrible defensive performances.
His 3rd year, like I said, he worked on his 3-point shot over the summer and was expected to increase his percentage, and we were hoping for a break-out year seeing as it was his 3rd year in the league. The only thing he improved was that he was a slightly better 3-point shooter. But he could still only shoot them when he was left wide open. He was decent, but was completely overshadowed by Donatas Motiejunas who had a break-out year. Both him and Motiejunas were rookies on the Rockets at the same time, and there has been huge debate as to which player was better from the moment they were rookies. Well, year 3 left no doubt. D-Mo completely overshadowed Jones that year. D-Mo was reaching the potential people saw in him as a rookie, whereas Jones looked more or less like the same player.
And year 4, he was just awful. The stats really don't do it justice.
This post was edited on 7/15/16 at 9:22 am
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:27 am to Jwho77
Terrence Jones wasnt worth more than the league min? Whats the catch?
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:29 am to tke857
quote:
Whats the catch?
He had a terrible year last year due in large part to injuries that teams must be assuming could have long term effects and make him not a good basketball player permanently.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:29 am to PrimeTime Money
Thanks for the info.
It is what it is. Hopefully a minimum contract motivates him. If not no big deal.
It is what it is. Hopefully a minimum contract motivates him. If not no big deal.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:48 am to Fun Bunch
Yeah, I'd certainly try him out at the league minimum. If he can get back to where he was, he was a decent player. But I think that nerve injury might have caused permanent damage and he might never be the same.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 9:51 am to PrimeTime Money
Yeah. And if that's the case, at least AD got a bone thrown at one of his boys. Keeps his agent happy too.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 10:49 am to PrimeTime Money
I think it was more along the lines of getting strength and mobility back in the foot, ankle, and knee. That takes awhile. From what I read, I don't think the nerve damage is permanent
If it acts up we aren't on the hook for much. If he's fully healthy he's our 2nd best frontcourt player
If it acts up we aren't on the hook for much. If he's fully healthy he's our 2nd best frontcourt player
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:27 am to GynoSandberg
I can't see how Jones is seen as our 2nd best front court guy objectively, even if we give him the benefit of the doubt in literally every category. I think this is classic optimism. Basically, he would have to play the way he did in his second year, which makes up 25% of his career. You know what also makes up 25% of his career- last year, which was god awful
The objective truth and realistic projection moving forward is that he will likely have as much overall value as DC if he is healthy. He will be slightly more valuable offensively and slightly less valuable defensively, so one will get the PT depending on the matchup
But the optimism Boom has about Gordon and Ryno, that everyone laughs at. From an objective standup, the optimism about Jones is just as bad. Now, yes I understand the price tags are much different. But I am talking about the gap between what some are thinking Jones will be vs the most likely objective projection
The objective truth and realistic projection moving forward is that he will likely have as much overall value as DC if he is healthy. He will be slightly more valuable offensively and slightly less valuable defensively, so one will get the PT depending on the matchup
But the optimism Boom has about Gordon and Ryno, that everyone laughs at. From an objective standup, the optimism about Jones is just as bad. Now, yes I understand the price tags are much different. But I am talking about the gap between what some are thinking Jones will be vs the most likely objective projection
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:31 am to Crewz
No the difference is the optimism of boom is making them players they've never been before. The optimism around here is him being pre-injury form.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:36 am to Crewz
I think that is fair. I am slightly excited in the sense that there is maybe a 25% chance we get his 2nd year production on a minimum 1 yr deal. And I don't care if there is a 25% chance(or greater) that we get last year's production because he is on a 1 yr min deal. He will probably be somewhere in between. And that is fine because he is an end of bench guy on a minimum deal.
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:44 am to NOFOX
I agree he an end of the bench guy. As of now, I have him as 12th in the rotation. Nearly every post I have seen discussing him, however, see him as a guy guaranteed to get minutes and perhaps a guy that closes games
Now, if he becomes the guy he was two years ago, that's possible. But far from likely IMO
Now, if he becomes the guy he was two years ago, that's possible. But far from likely IMO
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:48 am to Crewz
quote:
Nearly every post I have seen discussing him, however, see him as a guy guaranteed to get minutes and perhaps a guy that closes games
Keep reading brotha
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:54 am to Crewz
quote:
Now, if he becomes the guy he was two years ago, that's possible
I said if he was fully healthy he'd be our 2nd best front court player. That would be the guy for 2 years ago
Thanks for the lecture on biased optimism though
Posted on 7/15/16 at 11:59 am to GynoSandberg
He was the guy he would need to be once in four years to be the guy you are hoping for.
My whole point is that we can do that with any player if we want to hope for the best. I am hoping Asik is post all star 2014-15. But the objective projection says he will be less than that
It's just confusing to casual observers when we talk about this guy like he could be great - yet, we got him for the min in a cap explosion year. There is far more bad, objectively, than good over those 4 years
My whole point is that we can do that with any player if we want to hope for the best. I am hoping Asik is post all star 2014-15. But the objective projection says he will be less than that
It's just confusing to casual observers when we talk about this guy like he could be great - yet, we got him for the min in a cap explosion year. There is far more bad, objectively, than good over those 4 years
Posted on 7/15/16 at 12:05 pm to Crewz
I guess my overall frustration is that the board seems to pick and choose who to be optimistic with. All I see is that Asik or Ajinca has to go because they stink, where an optimist can easily come along and say, "If they are the version they were two years ago..."
But since Jones is the shiny new toy and he hasn't burned us yet, we give him the benefit of the doubt and at least have some hope for him. But Asik and Ajinca are just bums and have no chance of being their past selves
If you are gonna give the benefit of the doubt to one, give it to all
But since Jones is the shiny new toy and he hasn't burned us yet, we give him the benefit of the doubt and at least have some hope for him. But Asik and Ajinca are just bums and have no chance of being their past selves
If you are gonna give the benefit of the doubt to one, give it to all
Posted on 7/15/16 at 12:15 pm to Crewz
You obviously understand that it's much easier to be optimistic about someone who makes $1 million rather than someone making $10 million.
If Terrence Jones comes in and plays 10 minutes and scores 5 points a game and grabs a couple of rebounds, it was a great deal.
If Omer Asik plays 15 minutes and gets 6 pts 6 rebounds, we're going to be a little sour about it. The more money someone is being paid, the higher the bar is for "optimism." It's certainly not a hard concept to grasp and I think you get that.
So I'm a little unsure about why you're trying to link the two.
If Terrence Jones comes in and plays 10 minutes and scores 5 points a game and grabs a couple of rebounds, it was a great deal.
If Omer Asik plays 15 minutes and gets 6 pts 6 rebounds, we're going to be a little sour about it. The more money someone is being paid, the higher the bar is for "optimism." It's certainly not a hard concept to grasp and I think you get that.
So I'm a little unsure about why you're trying to link the two.
This post was edited on 7/15/16 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 7/15/16 at 12:16 pm to Crewz
We've been in this abusive relationship for years, don't judge us
Posted on 7/15/16 at 12:23 pm to Jester
quote:
We'd all like to believe that he's a solid defender, but the only thing that supports that is a pretty questionable metric
I actually posted three different stats just because of that reason.
You wouldnt see me accusing Jones of being a good defender, but the numbers do say he was getting better. Topping out as average to slightly above average depending on the metric.
My only point, and it remains my point, was that out of who is available in terms of front court guys for that price, Jones was and is the guy with the lowest risk, highest upside. Which is not to say his upside is anything great, and was more to do with the competition at minimum salary, front court players that are left.
This post was edited on 7/15/16 at 12:24 pm
Posted on 7/15/16 at 12:30 pm to hendersonshands
A lot of truth to that.
The SECOND that Drew Brees got a huge contract the haters came out of the woodwork no matter what he did, and what he had done for the Saints.
Just the nature of message boards. Guys that are on cheap deals, hope springs eternal. Big deals frick THAT PIECE OF shite FOR NOT PLAYING PERFECT EVERY SECOND.
The SECOND that Drew Brees got a huge contract the haters came out of the woodwork no matter what he did, and what he had done for the Saints.
Just the nature of message boards. Guys that are on cheap deals, hope springs eternal. Big deals frick THAT PIECE OF shite FOR NOT PLAYING PERFECT EVERY SECOND.
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