Ultimately, his ceiling will depend on his outside shot. However, guys with his physical profile and passing ability(Rondo and Ricky Rubio) have been extremely successful at the next level without a consistent jumper. There are a lot of explosive but undersized scorers who can't run point in the NBA; Carter-Williams' ability to defend SGs and run the offense at 6'6 would allow a team to start someone like Ben Gordon, Lou Williams or Brandon Knight. While you couldn't pair him with a poor jump-shooter like Rodney Stuckey, any guard with a good jumper would look good next to him.
If he was a 35-40 percent three-point shooter, he would be in the conversation for the No. 1 overall pick. Instead, like Damian Lillard, he could make a backdoor run at the Rookie of the Year award if he lands in the right spot in the lottery. He's the best player Boeheim has had in a decade; there will be a lot of NBA teams watching to see if he can keep up his hot shooting in the next few rounds.
Nerlens Noel- dependent on his recovery
Players I would not draft at 5 or pray Pelicans do not draft period:
5. Michael Carter William
Burke had one of the most decorated seasons in recent college basketball history, and it was well-deserved. There wasn’t a single part of his game which didn’t improve from his freshman season. He has the qualities of a great court leader, a very high basketball IQ, and he isn’t afraid to have the ball in his hands in big moments. Some may have issues with his size, but his skill is so advanced, you rarely notice it. He does need to tighten up on the defensive end, and he can be a better finisher once he gets into the lane, but Burke is the best point guard in this draft, and he should be ready to contribute very quickly in the NBA.
Draft Value: Early 1st – Early Lottery - #1-6
Burke would be a great fit for any team that runs a pick-and-roll heavy offense, but he is not limited to that type of offense. He is good in transition, and he can put points up quickly if necessary. The best point guard in this year’s Draft.
Porter is a very versatile player who can help create mismatches in different areas of the court. He understands spacing well and he has good court vision and sense. He continues to improve in almost all areas of his game, and he should be capable of guarding a couple of positions at the NBA level. Porter understands how to make an impact, even when he doesn’t have the ball on offense, setting solid screens and attacking the offensive glass relentlessly. He still has work to do to improve his quickness, but he understands the game so well that he finds ways to compensate.
Draft Value: 1st Round – High Lottery – #3-8
Porter is still developing as a player, but 2 years at Georgetown has given him a solid foundation from which to build. He should be capable of playing in multiple systems and has the skills and understanding to make an impact in a variety of ways from Day 1.