I do think my premise on China though will happen. The shootings is still in the air and we won't be able to see its effect (if any) for about a year or two. China wants to frick over any major release that doesn't meet their requirements. They're release it if they go through something that makes the MPAA look like a cool stoner parent. R-Rated films generally aren't allowed to be shown in China, although they made an exception for Prometheus on the grounds that they edit out all the good parts.
China wants the American film system to be more or less ruled by China. No over-the-top violence, minimal use of guns, no cursing, only have movies with a very clear good and bad guy, make the governments into the good guys, the hero easy to relate to instead of a complex individual that may not translate over cultures very well, and always have the good guy win with a Happily Ever After bull shite. That's the direction we are about to head my friends with big studio releases.
If they don't do that, China will still let the film be released (if its edited and butchered to hell for their release), but they'll also pit it against another Blockbuster. The Dark Knight Rises for instance was released on the same week as Spider-Man, Prometheus, and The Expendables 2, which needless to greatly hurt all their potential box office gross. The Hobbit and Skyfall will be released in February in the same week, right when everyone has already seen it and got good bootlegged copies of it already in their living room.
They're sending a message to Hollywood in telling them that in order to get as much money as they deserve, they'll have to have the government in on the film in the beginning. Chinese officials were supervising the Avengers and Looper (which mind you is completely different overseas), and they had a good month to themselves and thus grossed a shit-ton of money. Didn't you notice all the stuff said about China in the film, despite the fact that I don't know why China has anything to do with this?
This post was edited on 2/4 at 4:18 pm