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re: Unofficial Week 14 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 11/30/15 at 2:02 pm to
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12060 posts
Posted on 11/30/15 at 2:02 pm to
Seems like your wagers have gotten smaller than earlier in the season
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 11/30/15 at 2:25 pm to
If it gets to 21, I'd definitely consider Florida, but it's probably a no-play. I've really liked taking dogs this year, but man Florida looks God-awful (which is why I should take them, right).
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 11/30/15 at 4:11 pm to
Florida just can't score. Can't see them scoring on the best front they have played.


I'm gonna tease bama and the under
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 3:50 am to
quote:

Seems like your wagers have gotten smaller than earlier in the season



My wagers have always been small on my 5D account. I bet larger amounts with my guy, and those amounts have remained consistent over the season.*

As an example, on the Duke and UNC games, I had two bets on each game with my guy 100 dollars ATS (so risking (110), and 110 dollars on the ML (so risking 1.1 times the ML number (about 200 on each game on those bets)). On those games in my 5D account I was only risking 20 bucks for each game. I suppose I could ramp that up a bit now that I have a bit more of a monetary buffer in there. Or I could take out about 1,300 and keep betting small amounts.

I mostly have the 5D account to bet tennis. My guy only takes action on ATP matches, and he uses the odds from scoresandodds.com, which are terrible for tennis.

___________________
*I have stepped down my amounts from last year and the few years previous. I'm not trying to be a high roller. When I start betting so much that i really start caring whether I win or lose, I find that I do worse.
This post was edited on 12/1/15 at 3:54 am
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 3:54 am to
quote:

I don't like anything to be honest


I really don't think I do either. I could probably talk myself into something, but I don't think that's a recipe for success.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 3:59 am to
quote:

Early leans... Florida and Iowa.


If I played Iowa, it would just be for the purpose of getting some monetary consolation prize to balance out the cruel reality of a senseless world.

Iowa sucks. But, yes, they do have a chance of beating Sparty.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6809 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 5:15 am to
I put 2 units on Bama/UF under 40 with the intention of playing a middle later. I'm not too worried if I get stuck with it though. Even Florida fans don't feel like they will score.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73205 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 8:42 am to
5.5 units win 5 Bama -17

Best of luck
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:12 am to
The more I look at this game, I think I'm staying away. I could easily see Florida's defense keeping it a field goal fest, until Alabama scores late to ice it. 23-9 is highly possible. I really think under is the only play, but at 40 might just stay away and wait for the bowls.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42452 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:24 am to
Florida will play some tough D in the first half and break in the second half. Just like in the FSU game. I might end up just putting some $ on UF for the first half
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73205 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:27 am to
45-17 is my predicted score
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:38 am to
I'm looking at the Florida 1st half line as well.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42452 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:45 am to
UF's offense actually looked decent in the first quarter of the FSU game. If Treon can actually hit some receivers + Kelvin Taylor is somewhat healthy, I really think the game will be close at half.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
79110 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:56 am to
banner weekend for myself.

on these

northern illinois
mich st
wku + over
bama
clemson
kansas st
app st
usc/stanford over
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8419 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 11:18 am to
Only two I think I will play are Temple and Clemson. Maybe Baylor.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16825 posts
Posted on 12/1/15 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

59-48

Under Bama 40.5


adding U WV 60
U Hou 57
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/2/15 at 4:23 am to
quote:

UF's offense actually looked decent in the first quarter of the FSU game. If Treon can actually hit some receivers + Kelvin Taylor is somewhat healthy, I really think the game will be close at half.


I could definitely see UF keeping the SECCG reasonably competitive and then losing by 38 in the bowl game to focking UNC (or whoever). This team is substantially similar to that equally terrible Florida team with a nonetheless shiny looking resume who got swirlied by an exceedingly mediocre Louisville team
Posted by monsterballads
Make LSU Great Again
Member since Jun 2013
29262 posts
Posted on 12/3/15 at 8:42 am to
any updated plays?
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16825 posts
Posted on 12/3/15 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

59-48
Under Bama 40.5
U WV 60
U Hou 57


U USC 59
U SDS 50.5

these are steams
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/3/15 at 1:59 pm to
What is steam?
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