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OFFICIAL Week 8 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 10/23/13 at 7:25 pm
Posted on 10/23/13 at 7:25 pm
Can't have that ****** shite
Posted on 10/23/13 at 7:42 pm to TheOcean
I don't care as long as we start talking some betting
Posted on 10/23/13 at 7:46 pm to DallasTiger45
That thread probably would have gotten whacked
Posted on 10/23/13 at 11:44 pm to TheOcean
Carolina -6 (-118)
No Muscle Hamster, no QB, fricking staph infections and shite. Carolina has a legit D, and Cam has his moments. TB fricked.
No Muscle Hamster, no QB, fricking staph infections and shite. Carolina has a legit D, and Cam has his moments. TB fricked.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 7:40 am to woahdallas
Even with the injuries, I think Carolina laying 7 points on most books now is way too much.
Carolina's 3 big wins were against the Giants, Minnesota, and St. Louis. 73% of the money is on Carolina, yet the line has only moved .5 towards Carolina. Tells me there's some decent money on TB's side. Also, if you compare Tampa's home stats versus Carolina's away stats, there's really nothing that sticks out. The only thing I noted was the drastic difference in penalties and Carolina's sacks allowed away.
I'm going to wait for the public to hammer Carolina some more and jump on the TB bandwagon at +7.5 for a unit.
eta: the prediction average from a number of system generators came out to -7.3. Yet another reason to snag TB + the points if the line crosses the 7 mark (which I think it will).
Carolina's 3 big wins were against the Giants, Minnesota, and St. Louis. 73% of the money is on Carolina, yet the line has only moved .5 towards Carolina. Tells me there's some decent money on TB's side. Also, if you compare Tampa's home stats versus Carolina's away stats, there's really nothing that sticks out. The only thing I noted was the drastic difference in penalties and Carolina's sacks allowed away.
I'm going to wait for the public to hammer Carolina some more and jump on the TB bandwagon at +7.5 for a unit.
eta: the prediction average from a number of system generators came out to -7.3. Yet another reason to snag TB + the points if the line crosses the 7 mark (which I think it will).
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 7:47 am
Posted on 10/24/13 at 7:51 am to TheOcean
I probably would pick Carolina if I had to, but probably won't actually bet it. Divisional games are usually closer than expected.
My favorite picks this week so far:
Saints -11.5 vs. Bills
Cowboys +3.5 at Detroit
Raiders +2.5 vs. Steelers
My favorite picks this week so far:
Saints -11.5 vs. Bills
Cowboys +3.5 at Detroit
Raiders +2.5 vs. Steelers
Posted on 10/24/13 at 7:58 am to Billy Mays
I'll also be taking the U if the # keeps climbing.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:00 am to TheOcean
I see some teaser potential this week.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:01 am to Ghazi
It's a strong teaser week, not a lot of matchups stick out. I was going to say that the best Carolina play might be to tease Carolina + the U.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:05 am to Ghazi
Carolina -1 and under 46.5 sounds pretty fricking solid. I still think the public will hammer Carolina tonight, so I'm going to hold off for now.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:05 am to Ghazi
I generally hate teasers involving more than 2 plays but 3 team 10 pointer with Seattle/KC/New Orleans sounds good to me. fading some bad teams with some major QB issues.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:09 am to Ghazi
Stay away from KC - pick Denver at home coming off a loss instead.
You'll thank me.
If browns put together one early scoring drive then get a turnover or something KC will struggle to make up double digit deficit against top 5 browns defense.
You'll thank me.
If browns put together one early scoring drive then get a turnover or something KC will struggle to make up double digit deficit against top 5 browns defense.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 8:11 am
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:09 am to Ghazi
GB another candidate for that.
I'm just fairly confident in the badness of the opponents of these teams.Rams/Vikings/Browns have too many issues at QB... and Bills are no different.
taking 3 of those 4 in a teaser IMO.
I'm just fairly confident in the badness of the opponents of these teams.Rams/Vikings/Browns have too many issues at QB... and Bills are no different.
taking 3 of those 4 in a teaser IMO.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:10 am to LasVegasBandit
yea, teasing Denver down to -4 wouldn't be bad. although not getting past a key number.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:11 am to Ghazi
10 pointer were talking about.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:04 am to LasVegasBandit
Couple units on Bucs +7 tonight
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:07 am to BigBrian774
Couldn't wait 6 hours to let it cross 7?
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:18 am to BigBrian774
Glennon looks decent I'm worried about the lack of Schiano Men though - TB gave up a few weeks ago and who knows if a "prime time" Thursday nighter with 66% capacity is enough to turn it back on?
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:46 am to LasVegasBandit
Divisional game + winless + at home in a primetime game. The Bucs are going to give a 100%. They've also played a much, much tougher schedule than the Carolina. I really tthink there's a lot of value in the Bucs once that # crosses 7.
And one of those stupid stats...winless teams going into week 6 cover the spread 64% of the time.
And one of those stupid stats...winless teams going into week 6 cover the spread 64% of the time.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 10:10 am to TheOcean
Interesting stats.
Carolina is an enigmatic team - they have the potential to look great and the potential to suck complete arse.
I don't like betting them or into them, I just want no part of it.
Props and totals seem like the better options tonight. If you have to pick a side and it gets to 7.5, TB is the sharper side, but I predict sharps are passing overall.
Carolina is an enigmatic team - they have the potential to look great and the potential to suck complete arse.
I don't like betting them or into them, I just want no part of it.
Props and totals seem like the better options tonight. If you have to pick a side and it gets to 7.5, TB is the sharper side, but I predict sharps are passing overall.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 10:11 am
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