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re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/5/12 at 12:58 pm to
Posted by alfredblueforheisman
Member since Aug 2010
974 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 12:58 pm to
Taking kent state -3 based on what guy from gold sheet said on sports today just now.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 1:12 pm to
The more I look at it the more I think UCLA-Cal under 55.5 is my favorite play of the weekend.

Seems as if the lines are getting sharper every week.

3 Units.
Purdue +3
Texas Tech +4.5
UCLA-CAL under 55.5

2 Units
UNC -5.5
Vandy - Mizzou under 44.5
BC - Army over 57.5
Army +10 (I'm waiting for my book to get up to 10.5 before I play this)

1 Unit
Wake-Maryland under 49
Utah St. - BYU under 45 (Friday Night)
North Texas +11.5

Goodluck everybody, hoping I can cash again this weekend.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 1:31 pm to
Purdue +3 and UtahSt +7 so far... Going heavier on NFL the last 10-14 days with the success I'm having there.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 1:41 pm to
Really like Pitt tonight at +1.5 but can somebody clue me in as to why the drastic movement in that line this week? Opened at Pitt -3 and now at Syracuse -1.5?
Posted by tygerfan11
Member since Jun 2008
804 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 1:45 pm to
Thanks! Good luck everyone!
Posted by geauxtigs99
NY
Member since Dec 2005
1119 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 1:58 pm to
Not sure why the line has moved so much but SU is getting back an All-Big East OL and a starting WR. Neither have played a down this year. Not touching the game myself. From Syracuse originally and have been scorched by them in the past so I don't touch as a rule.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73232 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:09 pm to
Heavy KSU -24

Parlayed KSU -24 + NCST +17


Saints -3.5 Large Sunday Night.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Really like Pitt tonight at +1.5 but can somebody clue me in as to why the drastic movement in that line this week?


not sure, ive been looking for the last two days to find any information about this line movement; it moved 3 points in less than an hour.

i was going to have a nice write-up as to why i thought Pitt was the smart play tonight, but im not as confident. I still think Pitt is the better team and has the much better coach. And with two weeks to prepare I think they are the play here.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:22 pm to
kinda surprised the ND line is up to -14 now. i wouldnt touch it though...
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

kinda surprised the ND line is up to -14 now. i wouldnt touch it though...


I like ND to win the game but that is just so many points against Miami (a team that you literally can not predict how they will show up for a game).
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:34 pm to
Dg and rocket...either of you guys put the original Pitt -3 line into one of your systems earlier in the week? Just interested in what the numbers might have suggested prior to the swing. TIA
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:38 pm to
I'm with you on the K State pain train
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:38 pm to
Also for those of you looking for some Dogs to play tomorrow these are the games that our "upset predictor" liked but we didn't like the matchup for one reason another so we passed on releasing them as a play.

Toledo, Kent St, Duke, and UCF all fell into this scenario last week, the three dogs all won.
I will be playing a few of these tomorrow without a doubt, and may even add one or two to the card.

UMass +17
Illinois +14
Texas St +3
Northwestern +2.5
Ball State +2.5
Temple +3.5
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 2:58 pm to
on paper the line move makes no sense; unless their OL is that valuable.

shell & graham have been playing really well, which makes the game easier for sunseri.
cuse struggled vs minnesota last week (only had 3 points with a few minutes to play)
coaching, athletes, all favor pitt.
not sure really, most of the $$ is coming in on pitt as well but the line is moving the other way.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158722 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

not sure really, most of the $$ is coming in on pitt as well but the line is moving the other way.


Which usually isn't a very good sign
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:17 pm to
Thinking about playing Pitt 1H and BYU under
Posted by Rig
BHM
Member since Aug 2011
41856 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:18 pm to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:22 pm to
You stalking me brah?
Posted by Rig
BHM
Member since Aug 2011
41856 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:23 pm to
If I am I'm probably not doing a very good job at it
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/5/12 at 3:27 pm to
Just kidding. Love ya bro.


No homo!
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