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re: Official Week 5 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 9/27/15 at 11:03 pm to dcrews
Posted on 9/27/15 at 11:03 pm to dcrews
Liked these 7 enough to lock them in tonight:
I think Cincy will be closer to 2.5-3 at game time. Not sold on Miami... FAU could have beaten them had their QB not been knocked out.
Illinois will definatley be at 7 or lower come game time.
Charlotte should be on auto fade against any team in the upper half of FBS, which is why I am on Temple
NC State line will be closer to 7 come gametime
Oregon shouldn't be laying 10.5 with their defense to anyone. Colorado has momentum, at home, and I just like the number. 9.5-10.5 dogs have done well this year
I think this is Clemson's statement game. Notre Dame's only road game was a houdini against Virginia. Clemson lot better than Virginia. Line will be 4 or higher at game time
On San Diego State because I have Fresno State on auto fade.
I think Cincy will be closer to 2.5-3 at game time. Not sold on Miami... FAU could have beaten them had their QB not been knocked out.
Illinois will definatley be at 7 or lower come game time.
Charlotte should be on auto fade against any team in the upper half of FBS, which is why I am on Temple
NC State line will be closer to 7 come gametime
Oregon shouldn't be laying 10.5 with their defense to anyone. Colorado has momentum, at home, and I just like the number. 9.5-10.5 dogs have done well this year
I think this is Clemson's statement game. Notre Dame's only road game was a houdini against Virginia. Clemson lot better than Virginia. Line will be 4 or higher at game time
On San Diego State because I have Fresno State on auto fade.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:00 am to accnodefense
Charlotte Team Total under
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:50 am to josh336
quote:
Sounds weird, but if its anything under 90, I'm probably gonna take it
Don't blame you. Baylor and Tech games are always close games. In the last 6 years the game has been decided by 7 points in 4 of those games. Here are the totals from the past few years. Only thing I would caution is keeping an eye on an injury update on Mahomes. He tweaked his left knee in the TCU game and was suppose to have an MRI on it.
2014: 94
2013: 97
2012: 97
2011: 108
2010: 83
2009: 33 lol
Posted on 9/28/15 at 2:12 am to accnodefense
Two things I have learned as a beginner bettor this year.
1. Bet against Old Dominion
2. Bet against Charlotte
1. Bet against Old Dominion
2. Bet against Charlotte
Posted on 9/28/15 at 3:07 am to accnodefense
Will Kiehl play for Cincy?
Posted on 9/28/15 at 3:22 am to JG77056
quote:
Will Kiehl play for cincy?
I doubt he will play. The backup looked pretty good when he came in, he had like 500 yards passing. It doesn't really matter who's playing qb for them that offense is going to rack up a lot of yards and points.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 6:16 am to rawDAWG333
So far at first glance only Northwestern, Wisconsin, western Kentucky, georgia Southern and Duke stick out to me.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 6:27 am to accnodefense
quote:
Liked these 7 enough to lock them in tonight:
Like Cincy and Colorado.Clemson looks like they will be heavily backed by the public at that number with Vegas giving them the hook.
And that's a lot of points to lay with an atrocious SDSU offense. One could argue that SDSU should be on auto fade, considering they haven't won or covered yet.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 8:27 am to maclauer
quote:
Clemson looks like they will be heavily backed by the public at that number with Vegas giving them the hook.
indeed, this appears to be the bait line of the week.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 8:29 am to dcrews
Ball St. +9 at home vs. Toledo seems great.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 11:05 am to rocket31
I thought Clemson was a trap at first too, but my model has them as a 14 point winner so I figured anything under 3 is a good number.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 11:06 am to maclauer
quote:
And that's a lot of points to lay with an atrocious SDSU offense. One could argue that SDSU should be on auto fade, considering they haven't won or covered yet.
SDSU is bad but on the flipside you have Fresno State who might have the worst defense in FBS. They haven't stopped anyone yet. Something has to give so I trusted my model on this one
Posted on 9/28/15 at 11:21 am to accnodefense
quote:
Cincy will be closer to 2.5-3
already at 6 in my book today
clemson is down to a 1 and a pickem in several books
you jumped the gun
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:23 pm to oleyeller
quote:
already at 6 in my book today clemson is down to a 1 and a pickem in several books
Sheeeiiit
I am terrible at predicting line movement
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:30 pm to accnodefense
quote:
NC State line will be closer to 7 come gametime
State is 4-0 covering this year. Been undervalued. Good offense.
09/05 Troy W 49-21 -26.0
09/12 E Kentucky W 35-0 -24.0
09/19 Old Dominion W 38-14 -17.0
09/26 S Alabama W 63-13 -17.5
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:31 pm to maclauer
quote:
Like Cincy and Colorado.Clemson looks like they will be heavily backed by the public at that number with Vegas giving them the hook
Looks like the opposite happened - jumped back to a pick 'em in a lot of places with a quickness.
I've seen both teams live this year. It should be a close game...Clemson is going to have problems stopping ND's running game. If Watson plays well, there will be holes in ND's secondary. He didn't look very good in the game I saw him, but he is talented enough to turn it around.
I think ND is just a little better up front on both sides of the ball, and that makes the difference. Something like 28 - 24.
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:33 pm to DollaChoppa
quote:
State is 4-0 covering this year. Been undervalued. Good offense.
That's a Baylor-like schedule. It's like a bottom feeder tour of the South East.
I knew this already, I think NC State gets exposed eventually, but not against Louisville
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:37 pm to AbuTheMonkey
At first glance, things that interested me.
Minnesota +5
Iowa +6.5
Alabama ML
Oregon -9.5
Miss St +7
Texas +15.5
Minnesota +5
Iowa +6.5
Alabama ML
Oregon -9.5
Miss St +7
Texas +15.5
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:39 pm to LSUShock
quote:
Minnesota +5 Iowa +6.5 Alabama ML Oregon -9.5 Miss St +7 Texas +15.5
You missed the boat on Minnesota, Iowa, Texas
Posted on 9/28/15 at 12:48 pm to accnodefense
My lines just came out, didn't even see what they were at before.
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