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Official Week 5 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:19 pm
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:19 pm
Lines are out.
Let's do some work this week boys!
Let's do some work this week boys!
17
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:25 pm to dcrews
Already placed my #fadeKU weekly bet with Iowa State -14
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:31 pm to dcrews
2015: 4-4-1 -0.35u
Wasn't a great weekend. Didn't watch a second of the Texas game but it sounds like the refs had it out for UT.
I've hit a few since open.
1) Arkansas +7.5 -115 1u
2) Louisville +5 -110 2u
3) Kansas St +5.5 -110 2u
Wasn't a great weekend. Didn't watch a second of the Texas game but it sounds like the refs had it out for UT.
I've hit a few since open.
1) Arkansas +7.5 -115 1u
2) Louisville +5 -110 2u
3) Kansas St +5.5 -110 2u
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:31 pm to 5 Deep
Tough bets this week. Not too many stick out to me.
UGA -2
ECU -4.5
Wow MTSU -3.5 over Vandy
UGA -2
ECU -4.5
Wow MTSU -3.5 over Vandy
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:32 pm to Louie T
As I was submitting my Umass +3.5 bet the line moved to Umass +3, so I laid off. It's now Umass -3.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:37 pm to Louie T
I generally don't bite on these big opening lines for teams that looked spectacular the previous week, but UCLA -13 seem strange to anyone?
Also eyeing Florida at home getting 7 as well.
Also eyeing Florida at home getting 7 as well.
This post was edited on 9/27/15 at 6:41 pm
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:47 pm to dcrews
Mississippi State +7 at A&M
I don't typically place any bets this early in the week, but this one looks good to me.
I don't typically place any bets this early in the week, but this one looks good to me.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 6:52 pm to tigerbaittrick
quote:
Mississippi State +7 at A&M
They had trouble against Auburn on the road.
Didn't Auburn get inside the 5 yard line twice and come away with nothing because of turnovers? Not sure aTm will do that.
I dunno. I'm not sure I trust Moo State on the road against a much better aTm team.
Just get on the right side of the 7 at least.
This post was edited on 9/27/15 at 6:52 pm
Posted on 9/27/15 at 7:04 pm to dcrews
Early lines that jumped out at me before I do any research or running of numbers:
Cincy +5
Temple -24.5
Connecticut +18
Ball State +9.5
Miami (OH) +10.5
Purdue +24
Minnesota +6
Iowa +8.5
Mississippi State +7
Rice +7.5
Oklahoma State -5.5
Tulsa +8
Texas +18
Florida +6.5
Boston College +7
Illinois +7.5
Central Michigan +3
Texas Tech +15
Hawaii +24.5
Washington State +14.5
ULL +17
Arkansas +7
North Texas +14.5
Troy -3.5
Maryland +13
UTEP PK
Clemson -2.5
San Diego State -11
I think Fresno State is going to be my autofade team this year like SMU was last year
Cincy +5
Temple -24.5
Connecticut +18
Ball State +9.5
Miami (OH) +10.5
Purdue +24
Minnesota +6
Iowa +8.5
Mississippi State +7
Rice +7.5
Oklahoma State -5.5
Tulsa +8
Texas +18
Florida +6.5
Boston College +7
Illinois +7.5
Central Michigan +3
Texas Tech +15
Hawaii +24.5
Washington State +14.5
ULL +17
Arkansas +7
North Texas +14.5
Troy -3.5
Maryland +13
UTEP PK
Clemson -2.5
San Diego State -11
I think Fresno State is going to be my autofade team this year like SMU was last year
Posted on 9/27/15 at 7:12 pm to accnodefense
quote:
that jumped out at me before I do any research or running of numbers:
28 games jumped out at you?
Posted on 9/27/15 at 7:16 pm to oleyeller
quote:
28 games jumped out at you?
Well, games I will be giving a 2nd look to
Posted on 9/27/15 at 7:17 pm to oleyeller
Goldennugget gonna goldennugget.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 8:42 pm to accnodefense
Starting to run my sheets
Interested in how high they will set the over in the Texas Tech/Baylor game... my model has that as a 62-48 final score.
Interested in how high they will set the over in the Texas Tech/Baylor game... my model has that as a 62-48 final score.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 8:49 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Interested in how high they will set the over in the Texas Tech/Baylor game... my model has that as a 62-48 final score.
Probably around 89
Posted on 9/27/15 at 9:55 pm to dcrews
Started out really well the first two weeks and have sucked it up the past two. Hoping this week will be better
Posted on 9/27/15 at 10:01 pm to Bryant91092
Same, had my first losing week this past week. Need to get back on the winning track. Was kind of cocky with games this week and bet just to get in on action. Always my crutch.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 10:17 pm to BeYou
Sounds weird, but if its anything under 90, I'm probably gonna take it
Posted on 9/27/15 at 10:30 pm to josh336
I think Vanderbilt +3.5 is the honeypot line of the week
Everyone will be on Vandy based on how they played vs. Ole Miss
MTSU is not a bad team.
Everyone will be on Vandy based on how they played vs. Ole Miss
MTSU is not a bad team.
Posted on 9/27/15 at 10:43 pm to accnodefense
Agreed
Posted on 9/27/15 at 10:47 pm to dcrews
Just ran my model for all 54 sides of the week, nothing above 80% and hardly anything above 70%.
I will check and see how numbers above 65% did last week tomorrow.
This is going to be the case going forward as my model phases preseason numbers out of the final output and incorporates more 2015 results. It's going to be closer to Vegas lines as I imagine we both use the same types of calculations.
Right now its 4/7 2015 and 3/7 preseason numbers for teams that have played 4 games vs. FBS competiton.
I will check and see how numbers above 65% did last week tomorrow.
This is going to be the case going forward as my model phases preseason numbers out of the final output and incorporates more 2015 results. It's going to be closer to Vegas lines as I imagine we both use the same types of calculations.
Right now its 4/7 2015 and 3/7 preseason numbers for teams that have played 4 games vs. FBS competiton.
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