Started By
Message

Letting Vegas Decide Playoff Rankings?

Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:56 am
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:56 am
With all this talk about perceived playoff ranking injustice, would getting Vegas involved be a positive solution?

Per RJ Bell, three teams not currently in the top 4 would be favored over FSU in a playoff game.

Baylor -4
Mich St -3
Miss State -2.5

Do you guys think there could be a way to let an association of Vegas bookmakers rank playoff teams? Or is the opportunity for corruption too great?
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20240 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:58 am to
No it's a stupid idea. Vegas doesn't penalize talented teams for losses
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94859 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:58 am to
quote:

Do you guys think there could be a way to let an association of Vegas bookmakers rank playoff teams? Or is the opportunity for corruption too great?

Bama would have made the playoffs in 2010 with 3 losses. Vegas is not how you want to do this.
Posted by Kickadawgitfeelsgood
Lafayette LA
Member since Nov 2005
14089 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:58 am to
Vegas was built by the stupidity of the public... Not the genius of Vegas
Posted by MrTwoBits
Member since Oct 2013
657 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:58 am to
Vegas only cares about one thing and that's making money. They couldn't give less of a frick if the "right" teams get in.

Awful idea.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 10:59 am to
With a month to get healthy, FSU would arse ram Michigan State.
Posted by SwaggerCopter
H TINE HOL IT DINE
Member since Dec 2012
27230 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:01 am to
quote:

No it's a stupid idea. Vegas doesn't penalize talented teams for losses


This.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94859 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:01 am to
In 2010, Bama would have been the 1 seed in the playoffs at 9-3 and ranked 16.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:02 am to
No yeah this would be a terrible idea.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3789 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:02 am to
I'm in favor of at least some Vegas input. Vegas doesn't care about when you lost. They do care about how talented the team is, what injuries you have, and whether they could win the game.

It all depends on the goal. If it's is to get the "best" teams in CFB, Vegas is a great resource. If you want the most "deserving", maybe not.

Either way, I think there should be clearly defined guidelines. Things like win your conference, P5 games, FCS opponents, etc.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

FSU would arse ram Michigan State

Florida State wouldn't "arse ram" anyone in the Top 25. They should have lost to Notre Dame, Louisville, Clemson, Boston College, Florida and Miami. Doesn't mean they shouldn't be in the playoffs, but saying they would arse ram a top 10 team is pretty retarded if you have watched them play one single game this year.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Doesn't mean they shouldn't be in the playoffs, but saying they would arse ram a top 10 team is pretty retarded if you have watched them play one single game this year.

I don't think Michigan State is that good at all.

Yes, Florida State plays a lot of close games. But with a month to prepare, I think they'll be an entirely different team come playoff time.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94859 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:05 am to
quote:

If it's is to get the "best" teams in CFB, Vegas is a great resource
No it isnt. Bama is not always favored because Vegas thinks they are the "best" team. They are favored because Vegas tries to predict where the money will go and what the outcome would be. If you changed Bamas name to Auburn and kept the exact same players and coaches, Vegas would treat them differently because they know their perception and money following has changed.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94859 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:06 am to
quote:

They should have lost to Notre Dame, Louisville, Clemson, Boston College, Florida and Miami.
Tell me why they "should" have lost these games?
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:45 am to
quote:

I'm in favor of at least some Vegas input. Vegas doesn't care about when you lost. They do care about how talented the team is, what injuries you have, and whether they could win the game.


Vegas doesn't even care if you lost.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:46 am to
quote:

No it isnt. Bama is not always favored because Vegas thinks they are the "best" team. They are favored because Vegas tries to predict where the money will go and what the outcome would be. If you changed Bamas name to Auburn and kept the exact same players and coaches, Vegas would treat them differently because they know their perception and money following has changed.


Not really. This is more or less nullified by big smart money sharks. If the line is wrong, they will hammer it until it is right. People who do this for a living don't give a shite what the name on the helmet is. If they see profit, they will exploit it until Vegas shuts it down.

Vegas is usually a pretty good indicator of what the most knowledgable people predict.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
94859 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:48 am to
quote:

People who do this for a living don't give a shite what the name on the helmet is
Yes they do. They care because it effects how the money moves
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:50 am to
I also don't understand why people say Florida State should have lost any game. They had an unusual amount of close games but they shouldn't have lost any of them. Its not like any of the games their fate was out of their hands. That could be said about Alabama when they fumbled against LSU and got lucky that the clock worked out perfectly and LSU had a dumb personal foul/out of bounds kick.

The Notre Dame game for example was close, but FSU put their trust in the defense to get a stop. They ran conservative plays and punted. Its not like Notre Dame missed a FG or something. Same for the other games to my recollection. Hell Bama beat Arkansas by a missed extra point
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Yes they do. They care because it effects how the money moves


No. All they care about is what the actual line should be and what it is. If those don't match, they bet on the side where it should be. Vegas eventually adjusts it down. The thing is that the stupid money on one side stops betting at some point even though they like the line. Sharks will not stop betting if they like the line. They treat it like a business, not a gamble.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 12/3/14 at 11:58 am to
So that 10-2 Bama is in the playoffs every year?
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 3Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram