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re: Is Carlos Beltran a Hall of Famer?

Posted on 8/30/15 at 5:57 pm to
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71294 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

Yeah.....I meant greatest player. It's always Ruth, Mays, Aaron, Cobb....the guys with 600 HRs and 3,000 hits.



Yeah... I always hear Ted Williams brought up before Aaron and definitely before Cobb.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110490 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 5:59 pm to
I actually sorta see what he's saying.

There was a best hitter ever thread a couple of weeks or so ago. And it was basically all Bonds vs Ruth, and went a couple or even a few pages before a poster brought up Ted Williams.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 6:00 pm to
I don't I usually hear Ruth, Mays, Bonds, Cobb, and Aaron before Williams. Most of that is because of the years that Williams gave up to the military, if he doesn't do that he is easily 600+ home runs and 3000+ hits. Although he did play till he was 42.
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10307 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Switch hitting doesn't make a hitters accomplishments more impressive.



you're not in touch with reality if you think that.


Well dude I played professionally and I was a switch hitter. Switch hitting is a lot easier than not getting the jelly legs when a ball is coming at your head 95 MPH and you need to wait that fraction of a second to determine if it is a fastball or a curve ball.



Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 6:01 pm to
So Mike Stanton post on Tigerdroppings....
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

Well, BR has them basically identical. Fangraphs has Beltran 3.1 higher.

I know. That is why they said they use different formulas.

quote:

So something has to give.

Call it bWAR and fWAR. To me, a difference of 3.1 WAR over an entire 15 year career is pretty marginal. Telling me one player has a 68 career WAR and the other is 62 career WAR is not enough for me to say that the 68 is better.
Posted by lsu31always
Team 31™
Member since Jan 2008
107730 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:10 pm to
Can we get back to PJ saying Kenny Lofton is the second greatest leadoff hitter of all time? Sure fire HOF?



You know the guy who got 3.2% in 2013.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278081 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:20 pm to
what is your name, let me look up your splits
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Can we get back to PJ saying Kenny Lofton is the second greatest leadoff hitter of all time? Sure fire HOF?

Is it stupid, yeah. But is it one of the top 100 stupidest things PJ has said about baseball? No.
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 7:41 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

To me, a difference of 3.1 WAR over an entire 15 year career is pretty marginal.

It's about 18 places on their all-time list.
quote:

Telling me one player has a 68 career WAR and the other is 62 career WAR is not enough for me to say that the 68 is better.


Beltran has a career OPS 50 points higher. He's going to finish with more hits, doubles, homers, XBH, walks, and maybe more runs too. Lofton stole more bases, but Beltran hits in the middle of the lineup; so his role wasn't to run as much. He has a higher career stolen base percentage than Lofton.

Beltran has 9 seasons with an OPS over .900. Lofton had 1. Of course, Lofton wasn't a power guy.

I would definitely say that Beltran is a better offensive player than Lofton. Can Lofton's defensive advantage make up for that?
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 7:55 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

Beltran has a career OPS 50 points higher. He's going to finish with more hits, doubles, homers, XBH, walks, and maybe more runs too. Lofton stole more bases, but Beltran hits in the middle of the lineup; so his role wasn't to run as much. He has a higher career stolen base percentage than Lofton.

Beltran has 9 seasons with an OPS over .900. Lofton had 1. Of course, Lofton wasn't a power guy.

All of tells me so much about the two than just WAR. WAR is just one stat with value, but it has a lot of flaws.

I prefer Beltran overall, but it is personal preference. I trust offensive numbers more, so I have trouble trusting the difference between Beltran's and Lofton's defense according to WAR. Obviously, Lofton is the way, way better defender.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:21 pm to
Y'all are arguing stats but the real question is did he play well enough long enough for a high enough profile club so that he'll have the right people lobbying for him?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84585 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:32 pm to
So are you saying that a switch hitter with a .281 lifetime average is more valuable than a right handed hitter who has a .295 lifetime average?

Is he more valuable than a right handed hitter with an identical .281 lifetime average?
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26572 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:36 pm to
Nah. .281 is just not good enough these days. Hall of Very Good.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

Nah. .281 is just not good enough these days. Hall of Very Good.

Signed,

Craig Biggio
.281 career hitter
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278081 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:46 pm to
Where did I say that? Why don't you quote the part in which you are contending?
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 8:47 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:54 pm to
A .281 switch hitter is probably more valuable than a .281 righty (if we assume all else equal) because it always give the hitter a platoon advantage and the manager more flexibility in constructing his lineups.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84585 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

A .281 switch hitter is probably more valuable than a .281 righty (if we assume all else equal) because it always give the hitter a platoon advantage and the manager more flexibility in constructing his lineups.


Agreed, but that is basically the end of it IMO. You can't give a switch hitter the nod over a guy with better stats simply because he is a switch hitter. The advantages of hitting from both sides of the plate are already evident in Beltran's stats.

Additionally, when it comes to the HOF, none of these guys should be a liability against LHP in the first place. It's not like were talking about taking Beltran or a guy who hits .230 vs LHP.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84585 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

Where did I say that? Why don't you quote the part in which you are contending?


You didn't say that specifically, I'm posing the question. How much more credit should a switch hitter get past his numbers alone, specifically as it pertains to his HOF resume?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278081 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:15 pm to
I was just speaking in terms of hidden value.

As far as how much credit , I'm not talking tons. But you get a guy like Beltran who will have 400HR, stole bases, and was a post season monster. Being a switch hitter may give him an extra boost since he'll likely be on the cusp.
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