Comparing Bama, FSU, Oregon, OSU objectively

I was playing with some numbers and thought I’d share. It doesn't mean much but thought I’d pass it on. Doesn't tell you much one wouldn't already conclude, but I’d give the edge to Bama and Oregon if they all finish undefeated and feel good about it.

Comparing Bama, FSU, Oregon, and Ohio St, here is what I found looking at the point differential of their games (final and at halftime) and also the ranking of their opponents. I used BCS rank for teams ranked in the BCS and current Sagaran for everyone else.


Average Point Differential/ Average opponent Rank/ Score/Rank (higher is better)
Bama 31.50/ 70.00/ 0.45
FSU 38.00/ 63.13/ 0.60
Oregon 38.75/ 77.00/ 0.50
OSU 31.22/ 90.33/ 0.35

Median Point Differential/ Median opponent Rank/ Score/Rank (higher is better)
Bama 30.00/ 60.50/ 0.50
FSU 34.50/ 64.50/ 0.53
Oregon 40.00/ 68.50/ 0.58
OSU 20.00/ 71.00/ 0.28
When you throw out the extreme scores, number gets a little closer

Average Pt Diff Final-Halftime/ Average % of Point Diff Scored at Halftime/ Median Pt Diff Final-Halftime/ Median % of Point Diff Scored at Halftime
Bama 8.63/ 73%/ 9.0/ 70%
FSU 18.25/ 52%/ 15.5/ 55%
Oregon 17.13/ 56%/ 17.5/ 56%
OSU 10.44/ 67%/ 9.0/ 55%

What this says, is Bama does their work in the first half, as 73% of their average point differential comes before halftime. Oregon and FSU come close to doubling up in the second half. Interpret how you will. Bama does less garbage. Looking at median, all but Bama expand the lead in second half by about 45%.

Moving forward, if you take the current rank of past and present actual and potential opponents you have:
AVE Opponent/ Median Opponent
Bama 59.23/ 47
FSU 66.10/ 65
Oregon 57.85/ 40
OSU 76.85/ 54

Top 4 Games
Bama
Neutral Mizzou TBD No. 8
at Auburn TBD No. 9
vs LSU TBD No. 13
at Tex A&M 49-42 No.15, 6 at time

FSU
at Clemson 51-14 No. 7, 3 at time
vs. Miami 41-14 No. 11, 7 at time
Neutral Miami TBD No. 11
at Florida TBD No. 22 (Sagaran)

Oregon
at Stanford TBD No. 5
at Washington 45-24 No. 18 (Sag), 16 at time
vs UCLA 42-14 No. 19, 12 at time
vs ASU TBD No. 22

Ohio St
Neutral Michigan St TBD No. 17
vs Wisconsin 31-24 No. 24, 23 at time
at Michigan TBD No. 38 (sag)
vs Iowa 34-24 No. 42 (Sag)

Cliffs:
-All four have played some BAD teams. Median is a better indicator IMO
-Still a ton left, obviously
-Bama scores early with less action in the second half (taking off the gas, you judge)
-Other 3 score a lot more in second half
-FSU has a solid argumnent for No. 1 today, but it's all down hill
-Bama and Oregon's schedules get much tougher
-Oregon plays the tougher schedule looking at average and median of opponents