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Started By
Message
re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread
Posted on 8/20/16 at 5:11 pm to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 8/20/16 at 5:11 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:This is why I was asking
What kind of Anerican would I be if I didn't bet Sundays though?
It seems like bet NFL football purely because you just love that shite
1
Posted on 8/20/16 at 5:15 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
How's it got Ucla - A&M?
Says UCLA is slightly profitable at the cover, 6pt, and 6.5pt teaser level
Posted on 8/20/16 at 5:16 pm to ReauxlTide222
Been up in NFL the last two years, down the year before that. It's definitely a grind. Nice little run in the playoffs including backing the Broncos several times left a good taste in my mouth...
Posted on 8/20/16 at 6:28 pm to ChemE in the OP
Haven't loaded up my accounts yet but Texans -1.5 looks like a great bet. Texans killed the saints last year in preseason at the dome, Saints loaded w injuries everywhere and the Texans need to get Osweiler some reps.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 6:48 pm to Zipfer2022
Line moved in New Orleans's favor. Nothing for me today.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 7:06 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
I have excel spreadsheets with calcs on every game.
I tried this last year. Don't remember how well I did, but I was pretty close with Michigan. Way too exhausting to keep up with all the information on a week to week basis and not be paid for it.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 8:15 pm to ChemE in the OP
You guys are complete degenerates. There's absolutely no way to cap preseason games. You're essentially blindfolded playing pin the tail on the spread
Posted on 8/20/16 at 8:19 pm to Morally Bankrupt
Not true at all. If you beat the closing number consistently you generate value regardless.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 8:20 pm to Morally Bankrupt
You're thinking through the lens of capping on field performance, I have very little interest in that. Just want to enter the market at the right time.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 9:00 pm to Jyrdis
I consolidated my calcs to 2 sheets: 1 sheet is data on all 128 FBS schools. The other sheet is the weekly slate and the calc.
There will be 7-12 plays per week. The goal is to finish the year around 55-57%.
So.. 74-59 to 76-57 for the year.
There will be 7-12 plays per week. The goal is to finish the year around 55-57%.
So.. 74-59 to 76-57 for the year.
Posted on 8/20/16 at 9:16 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
55-57%
Good freaking luck!
And im not hating, or clowning.
Posted on 8/21/16 at 5:41 am to LSUAlum2001
I'm taking Washington and the points
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:29 pm to TulaneFan
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 1:33 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 3:07 pm to LSUAlum2001
Somebody talk me out of putting 10 units on my beloved Tide. I do it every season on the opening game, it's worked out pretty well in the past. I expect USC O-line to get overwhelmed early, then they'll settle in, but then both USC O-Line and D-Line should be worn down late...Bama wins 31-17. I know USC is talented, but I don't think they're ready for this.
Wisconsin O-line got worse today, too. LSU finna eat?
Wisconsin O-line got worse today, too. LSU finna eat?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:08 pm to bamaatlsu
Putting 10 units on a week one, 10.5 point public favorite isn't really my style... After doing a little more research I'm fairly certain UNC and Auburn will be my large week one plays. Will likely wait until close to game time as UGA and Clemson should receive a ton of public money within 24 hours of the game.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:11 pm to ChemE in the OP
Vandy -3.5 is interesting if you must make a 9/1 play.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:17 pm to ChemE in the OP
I'm with you on UNC, Chem.
I have no statistical reference or backup, but it sure seems like public favs hit a lot in week 1.
I already locked in the under 42.5 in the Vandy/USC game. I think it's going to be sloppy offensively, just hoping for no pick-sixes or scoop & scores.
I have no statistical reference or backup, but it sure seems like public favs hit a lot in week 1.
I already locked in the under 42.5 in the Vandy/USC game. I think it's going to be sloppy offensively, just hoping for no pick-sixes or scoop & scores.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:19 pm to bamaatlsu
What it must be like to be a South Carolina fan right now...
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:20 pm to bamaatlsu
quote:
have no statistical reference or backup, but it sure seems like public favs hit a lot in week 1.
Last year was an historic year for Week 1 FAVs if I remember correctly.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:23 pm to ChemE in the OP
I'm ready to start placing some bets. Never know if it's best to wait closer to kickoff or not.
I also should start tracking my betting trends. Just not sure the best way to go about it.
I also should start tracking my betting trends. Just not sure the best way to go about it.
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