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CHC Thread | Wound-Licking Off Day
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:58 am
Posted on 6/29/15 at 11:58 am
Well, what can we say? The Cubs aren't a team in need of a good humbling, but they got it anyway. After taking two from the Dodgers at Wrigley, they've lost five straight--the final two games of the Dodger series and then a pantsing sweep in St. Louis.
Here's the thing about that sweep by the Cardinals--it sucks that it's the Cardinals. And not just because I'm supposed to hate St. Louis, it's not that at all. More on that later. It's because the Cardinals lead the NL Central and just confidently widened their lead on the hopeful Cubs. If any other NL Central team were setting the pace in MLB like the Cardinals are and the Cubs just got swept by whomever that might be in this hypothetical, it'd suck just the same.
Just a quick aside on the Cardinals rivalry. I don't hate the St. Louis Cardinals. In fact, that organization is probably held in really high regard in all of sports. They are what the Cubs are trying to build in Chicago. It's a great rivalry, it's an old rivalry, and the Cubs are trying to make it a competitive rivalry once again. They do have a ways to go, though.
Good news on the health front over the weekend. Neil Ramirez came off the DL (Wada placed on the DL in a corresponding move) and pitched a scoreless, perfect inning striking out 2. His velocity was around 93 MPH and the hope is that it climbs a few ticks.
Jorge Soler is starting his rehab assignment with Iowa today as the ICubs finish a four game series against the Zephyrs in Iowa.
Mike Olt is playing well in his rehab assignment as he was 2 for 4 yesterday and is hitting about .290 at the moment. He could be up soon...hopefully. If he is recalled, I wonder what that does to the lineup. Maybe nothing...maybe he's a bench bat and utility corner fielder.
First rounder Ian Happ hit his 3rd professional HR and appears set to be promoted. Second rounder Donnie Dewees made his debut, and the first round talent is expected to handle the rookie level pitching fairly easily and get promoted along with Happ in short order.
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 1:21 pm
4
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:05 pm to The Sad Banana
4 for 43 with RISP...feels very last couple of years-ish right now for the cubs. Doesn't really matter who you're playing when you do that, you're going to lose.
Rizzo had me worried the way he was grimacing friday and saturday after taking a lackey fastball to the arm, but no indication of anything more than just the pain associated with getting hit by a fastball on the arm.
Sounds like we're not in it for neiese...good.
need to get another position player pitching so bryant can snap out of his little funk.
Rizzo had me worried the way he was grimacing friday and saturday after taking a lackey fastball to the arm, but no indication of anything more than just the pain associated with getting hit by a fastball on the arm.
Sounds like we're not in it for neiese...good.
need to get another position player pitching so bryant can snap out of his little funk.
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 12:06 pm
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:07 pm to piggidyphish
quote:
4 for 43 with RISP
WOW! That's all I can really say.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:11 pm to The Sad Banana
Any word on the progress of signing the kid we drafted in the 3rd round?
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:31 pm to The Sad Banana
I had to downvote due to your lack of hatred towards the Cards.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:45 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
quote:I understand that, but I really don't hate the baseball team. I sort of hate the fans more. I'm not saying I pull for them, but I guess I respect them.
I had to downvote due to your lack of hatred towards the Cards.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:47 pm to MetryMojo
quote:The Cubs have some overslot money to give him. It looks like it could be enough...I read that on BN the other day. It's just a matter of him signing.
Any word on the progress of signing the kid we drafted in the 3rd round?
The IFA signing period starts on Thursday and the Cubs look to be very active. Although, it does look like the Dodgers will be throwing all kinds of money at the pool and could overwhelm MLB.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:47 pm to The Sad Banana
You should try it. It's fun.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:50 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
Cubs 2/27 w RISP
Cards 11/34 w RISP
Cards 11/34 w RISP
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:52 pm to GynoSandberg
The spirit of Tavares must have been with them. It was hard to watch the Cubs strand so much.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 12:53 pm to The Sad Banana
quote:
It's just a matter of him signing
That would be huge.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:01 pm to GynoSandberg
Have we dumped Castro yet?
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:01 pm to The Sad Banana
quote:
I sort of hate the fans more.
Well that's probably because they hate you, unless you're exactly like them.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:11 pm to The Sad Banana
Looking at the schedule at the start of June, we all knew this month was going to be tough. The Mets series will end a stretch of playing 20 out of 30 games on the road. Starting on Friday, we play 16 out of 23 at home and only one of those series is against a team with a winning record right now.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:19 pm to TigerCub
Are you licking wood? Licking wounds? Or we would lick something?
I am happy about the weekend's results.
I am happy about the weekend's results.
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:20 pm to sms151t
Ha...thanks.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 1:32 pm to TigerCub
quote:
Looking at the schedule at the start of June, we all knew this month was going to be tough. The Mets series will end a stretch of playing 20 out of 30 games on the road.
and, if (giant if) we sweep them, then we get the 5-5 split over those 10 games that I think everyone would've taken at the outset.
But the way we got to 2-5 (for the first 7) is incredibly frustrating.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 3:51 pm to piggidyphish
Jeckyl Hammel vs. Jason Hyde
Interesting read by Mike from BN on Jason Hammel's successes as a Cub, both early last year and so far this year. The one thing I always look at when I read these kinds of posts about peripheral stats is how significant are the deltas (or differences) in the numbers.
But when comparing the weak contact and LOB% numbers, are those differences significant? We're talking about 1%-2% here. I guess I'm asking are the differences that great (1%-2%) to help explain something, or are the actual peripherals (14.7% and 15.8%; 79.3% and 77.3%) comparable?
However you slice it, Jason Hammel is a different pitcher when he wears a Cubs uniform. In a really, really good way.
ETA: SCHWARBER SMASH!!!
Interesting read by Mike from BN on Jason Hammel's successes as a Cub, both early last year and so far this year. The one thing I always look at when I read these kinds of posts about peripheral stats is how significant are the deltas (or differences) in the numbers.
quote:In comparing the hard hit ball percentages (25.4% vs. 35.1%), I can tell that a near 10% difference carries some significance...probably a lot to explain why he struggled with the A's as opposed to the beginning of the year with the Cubs.
Interestingly, during his bad stretch, Hammel actually allowed fewer hard hit balls (25.4%) than he did in the first half (35.1%), while also inducing more weak contact (15.8%) than he did when he was getting better results (14.7%). He even had a better LOB% in the second half (79.3%) than the first half (77.3%), indicating that he wasn’t getting unlucky with sequencing.
But when comparing the weak contact and LOB% numbers, are those differences significant? We're talking about 1%-2% here. I guess I'm asking are the differences that great (1%-2%) to help explain something, or are the actual peripherals (14.7% and 15.8%; 79.3% and 77.3%) comparable?
However you slice it, Jason Hammel is a different pitcher when he wears a Cubs uniform. In a really, really good way.
ETA: SCHWARBER SMASH!!!
This post was edited on 6/29/15 at 3:58 pm
Posted on 6/29/15 at 4:11 pm to The Sad Banana
Hard, medium, and soft hit percentages are based on the exit velocity of batted balls. As you can imagine, harder hit balls tend to fare better. I believe hard hit is somewhere around >90 MPH and soft hit is about <70 MPH. Don't quote me on those velocities, but I am pretty sure they are in that ballpark.
It seems like good Hammel is turning hard balls into medium hit batted balls. That is the biggest change in the profile. I don't view the 1.1% improvement in weak batted balls as significant. For what it is worth, I believe that these metrics stabilize fairly quickly, so that's nice.
The league average LOB% tends to be about 70-73%. Hammel appears to be good at that and there could be a lot in play here. Plus pickoff move, ability to not treat runners like Lester (sorry, I had to and I like Lester), favorable arbitrary sequencing, etc.
At the end if the day, Hammel has a really nice K-BB%, which I love. He also seems to have a knack for stranding runners, and he has allowed less hard contact as a Cub.
It seems like good Hammel is turning hard balls into medium hit batted balls. That is the biggest change in the profile. I don't view the 1.1% improvement in weak batted balls as significant. For what it is worth, I believe that these metrics stabilize fairly quickly, so that's nice.
The league average LOB% tends to be about 70-73%. Hammel appears to be good at that and there could be a lot in play here. Plus pickoff move, ability to not treat runners like Lester (sorry, I had to and I like Lester), favorable arbitrary sequencing, etc.
At the end if the day, Hammel has a really nice K-BB%, which I love. He also seems to have a knack for stranding runners, and he has allowed less hard contact as a Cub.
Posted on 6/29/15 at 4:41 pm to MetryMojo
quote:
Any word on the progress of signing the kid we drafted in the 3rd round?
He's going to sign. I actually thought he already had based on the info I got from his family friend.
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