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Where do you see oil heading?

Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:03 pm
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19577 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:03 pm
I have dragged my feet on picking up some XOM, Chevron, oil stocks in general. Was thinking it was going to bottom out around new years but not so sure now. Was hoping to get XOM @72 and COP@ 45. Should I just jump in now and quit trying to guess that bottom or do y'all see another dip coming? Was thinking there was going to be a seasonal winter dip and possible Iran coming back to market.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80744 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:08 pm to
No one really knows. I'd Jump in a little now and a little later if it keeps going down. Hold until you retire reinvesting dividends.
Posted by 3morereps
The Gym
Member since Jun 2015
6735 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:10 pm to
Between $40 and $50 a barrel in near term
Posted by GoldenD
Houston
Member since Jan 2015
928 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 11:41 pm to
I can't see it going down much more. It dropped to $45ish a few months ago, made a climb to $60, then found its way back to $45. I think this is pretty much the floor. It will take a while to climb unless OPEC holds a meeting and decides to cut production, US production information is released and shows a sharper negative trend than expected, or a major geopolitical incident.

Both XOM and COP have taken huge beatings to get to that point so it wouldn't be a bad entry spot, but the opportunity cost could be large waiting on the turn around. Be prepared to hold for a while before you see any significant gains other than the dividends they'll keep paying out.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7915 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 7:05 am to
I wouldn't jump on anything until the Fed fireworks are over this afternoon...I'll be looking close at some positions towards the close today.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8273 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Between $40 and $50 a barrel in near term


Probably something like this at least until sometime in 2016 when production declines can start to take charge. An official worldwide recession/deflationary period could push this a bit lower or a new middle east conflict could push this higher but it seems we are in a narrow band until we rebalance supply and demand.
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1748 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 8:30 am to
quote:

I have dragged my feet on picking up some XOM, Chevron, oil stocks in general. Was thinking it was going to bottom out around new years but not so sure now. Was hoping to get XOM @72 and COP@ 45. Should I just jump in now and quit trying to guess that bottom or do y'all see another dip coming? Was thinking there was going to be a seasonal winter dip and possible Iran coming back to market.


overthinking it, just buy some if you see it going higher....could always buy some now and some later...
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11321 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 2:53 pm to
I'd imagine a $40 to $60 range.

If supplies are as plentiful as we are led to believe, and I have no reason to doubt otherwise, I am kind of surprised the GOP debates haven't given voice to said's implication on geo-political relationships, strategies and the likes....I had always assumed the declining dependence on foreign oil to have been a game changer...guess not
Posted by Porker Face
Midnight
Member since Feb 2012
15309 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 5:36 pm to
I saw someone at GS say $20 by year end

I don't think that low, but maybe close
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72360 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 6:15 pm to
to the refineries.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 7:05 pm to
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