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re: This appears to be more of a reckoning than a correction...my goodness,
Posted on 1/21/16 at 11:07 am to LSURussian
Posted on 1/21/16 at 11:07 am to LSURussian
I'm holding my breath for you Russian but looks like your 3 naysayer criteria is holding some ground so far.
2
Posted on 1/21/16 at 11:27 am to Shepherd88
Yeah, I see that. But I'm not convinced we've hit a bottom.
Even though the DJ30 is up +235 as I type this, I would not be shocked to see it close today in negative territory. This rally today feels like profit taking from short covering more than it does a real move up from conviction.
Even though the DJ30 is up +235 as I type this, I would not be shocked to see it close today in negative territory. This rally today feels like profit taking from short covering more than it does a real move up from conviction.
This post was edited on 1/21/16 at 11:27 am
Posted on 1/21/16 at 11:31 am to LSURussian
Probably back below 15500 tomorrow 
Posted on 1/21/16 at 12:20 pm to LSURussian
hearing chatter about a possible big move up for $USD. Could mean another big move down for equities eventually.
watching the s&p500 1750 area
weekly/monthly moving averages grouped there
might be a good area to consider buying
watching the s&p500 1750 area
weekly/monthly moving averages grouped there
might be a good area to consider buying
Posted on 1/21/16 at 12:23 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:What does that mean?
hearing chatter
Posted on 1/21/16 at 12:26 pm to LSURussian
quote:
But I'm not convinced we've hit a bottom.
me either. I'm waiting to jump back in. I've DCA'd enough on the way down. I'll make only a couple more buys but I'm going all in so it needs to be really low.
This post was edited on 1/21/16 at 12:27 pm
Posted on 1/21/16 at 12:53 pm to LSURussian
guy I know that trades currency thinks USD is about to make a big move up
seeing that on a few trading blogs also
these guys do pretty good TA on currencies from what I've seen last few years
they've been talking about this for a couple months so nothing new really
seeing that on a few trading blogs also
these guys do pretty good TA on currencies from what I've seen last few years
they've been talking about this for a couple months so nothing new really
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:01 pm to LSURussian
quote:
the Money Talk Board Fear Factor Conta Indicator Buy Signal
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:01 pm to LSURussian
My worst year in the four was 15%...best was over 100. I trade futures so the returns can be very nice. Or it can be like last year and be very very bad with down ~50%.
I in no way am hinting 100% is normal...I can't deny I felt lucky hitting two very nice runners long SPX and short the aussie dollar.
I in no way am hinting 100% is normal...I can't deny I felt lucky hitting two very nice runners long SPX and short the aussie dollar.
This post was edited on 1/21/16 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:04 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:
guy I know that trades currency
been there done that. Lost my arse day trading currencies. I'll stick with my regular commodity futures contracts thank you very much. good luck to him though!
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:07 pm to LSU0358
quote:
I trade futures so the returns can be very nice.
damn right. easy to go short or long. takes money management and discipline though.
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:10 pm to LSURussian
quote:
But I'm not convinced we've hit a bottom.
Me either. We had a lower closing under last years low close in the SPX, but not in the Dow.
This post was edited on 1/21/16 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:13 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:Okay, thanks.
guy I know that trades currency thinks USD is about to make a big move up
they've been talking about this for a couple months so nothing new really
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:20 pm to LSURussian
think their target is 101.50 on USD Index.
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:24 pm to wfallstiger
Other than oil, what market fundamentals point toward serious long term downturn?
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:32 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:I've always thought a stronger dollar attracted overseas investors into buying U.S. stocks?
a possible big move up for $USD. Could mean another big move down for equities eventually.
They want to hold U.S. investment assets to offset the loss of buying power of their currency vs. the dollar.
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:36 pm to LSURussian
Uncertainty with the EU and in the Far East is sending capital into the USD, currently a seen as a safe place to park money.
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:45 pm to LSURussian
cuts into profits of large cap multinationals if they don't have adequate hedges in place
Posted on 1/21/16 at 1:49 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:True, but they do have hedges in place. Plus it makes the raw materials they need to import for manufacturing cheaper for them to buy so that benefits their profit margins.
cuts into profits of large cap multinationals if they don't have adequate hedges in place
Unless there is a real sudden drastic move up (or down) or a move that persists for years, large companies can handle it. At least that's been my experience.
Posted on 1/21/16 at 4:53 pm to LSURussian
Is anybody in here familiar with investing in the regional bank space? I work in the industry on the vendor side and I'm seeing a lot of institutions that I know are in acquisition mode at 1-2 year lows.
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